Originally posted on 09/07/2013:

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You have to look at the current form and not just past results. Na Li usually played Serena tough and had been playing decent tennis this tournament and she was completely overwhelmed.

Azarenka was playing well last year at this time when she could have won the title. She was playing well in Dubai this year when she beat Serena. Cincinnati obviously this year had some different circumstances for Serena. But if you have watched any of Azarenka this tournament, her form is C+ level at best, She's getting crushed on her second serve and her 1st serve has been lucky to see her win 60% of the points which is a poor, poor number when you face someone like Serena. She can't afford to be broken 5-6 times in a match like this.

Not saying an upset cannot happen, but it will need a perfect storm scenario IMO. Shit match from Serena and Azarenka suddenly finding her best.