Originally posted on 08/19/2013:

Bullet point reasons as to why

- Boston bullpen was spent last night, they don't have many pen arms available tonight.
If Lester gets shelled early, he may have to take one for the team.

- That six hour flight from Boston to SF is a killer under any circumstances.
Usually I don't make that much of a deal in coast to coast travel, has to be a factor tonight.
I am not sure if Red Sox are even in California yet. Their game last night ended after midnight.

- National League Park
No DH, install Papi at first base tonight, or lose his bat.
Despite what some of you might say, Ortiz is not a mediocre first baseman, he is sub par, and that is being nice.

- The current regular batters on the Red Sox that used to play in the NL (Drew, Victorino) that faced Timmy on a regular basis in the past have had zero success against Timmy.

- SF hits left handed pitching very well
Scutaro is .331 this year v. LHP, and pretty much hit .330 against Lester when he was in the AL
Pence has plus power v. LHP and is batting .309 overall v. LHP
Posey is batting .319 v. LHP
Belt is batting .291 v. LHP
(fun fact, look it up) Timmy is batting .500 v. LHP 3 for 6

- Home underdogs
They usually do me well

- Plus money in coin flip situations
Line is sitting Boston -126/+116
This game s/be ev/ev
Love betting + money in even up propositions

This has to be mentioned if you are going to tail me.
You don't know what Timmy is going to show up.
He has been lights out several times this year.
He has been God awful several times this year.

Good Timmy shows up tonight, at home, against a worn out Sox team.
2* +116