Originally posted on 08/19/2013:

Just for the record I don't like taking the spread in either direction, however the reason I posted the link to that Tom Waterhouse post was to point out how poor of a play taking the Tigers ATS is (statistically). I'm not playing either side, I'm very happy with my own play, however "gun to my head" I would play the Roosters ATS absolutely. Obviously the best way to make money in the long term is to pick your spots in this sport particularly, so how taking a very poor team in serious turmoil without their two best players and with their third best player in career worst form is "a good spot" against a team that realistically could destroy them by 40+ is beyond me? Oh and I have crunched a lot of numbers on this one and can assure you that stats most definitely back up a very big Roosters win tonight. MNF hoodoo b/s means nothing to me. I have zero interest in superstitious elements, genuine tangible factors are what I focus on.