[yisman]

Originally posted on 02/06/2013:

so a game thats +300 isnt 1/3 as likely to hit as +100?

you got anything to support that?

not being a dick about it...im genuinely curious

why wouldnt everyone just blindly play +300 games

Dude, this is basic probability.

A +300 means an implied probability of 25%.

A +100 means an implied probability of 50%.

Why wouldn't you just blindly bet +300?

Because if you bet +300 four times and lose three and win one, you break even.

If you bet +100 twice and split, you break even.

That's if you're using real money.

With freeplays, the math clearly dictates that a 3/1 is vastly preferable to a 1/1.

There's no opinions here. This is statistics.

Bet 50 freeplay on four different +300 plays. You hit one. You have $150 cash.

Bet 50 freeplay on four different +100 plays. You hit two (they're more likely to hit, obviously). You have $100 cash.

Would you rather have 100 or 150?