Originally posted on 10/31/2012:

Have you guys watched USC this year? They haven't fixed any issues they've had all season. They're the most penalized team in FBS football by a wide margin. Their o-line isn't what it was last year. No Matt Kalil, and their center Holmes is playing hurt. Arizona has four walk-ons starting on defense and Holmes was getting blown up. Oregon was missing a few starters in last year's USC game and its secondary is much improved. Avery Patterson is better than John Boyett and both Oregon's corners who were true freshmen last year are lockdown corners this year.

USC is horrible at third down conversions and Oregon's defense has been fantastic at getting stops on third down. Oregon has given up one touchdown in the first quarter this whole season. Lane Kiffin isn't capable of making adjustments at the half. It will likely be a close first half, but expect Oregon to pull away in the third quarter.

USC isn't going to just the switch on. And typically, the higher the stakes, the worse Matt Barkley is.