Originally posted on 08/31/2012:

instead pay attention to the voting rights court cases. Voter turnout/suppression is where this election will be decided. Only way Romney can win is by suppressing the vote, and they know it.

Obama moved from around 55% to 58% today on Intrade. Nothing to do with the convention or polls. But there were a few important court decisions, particularly a big victory for early voting in Ohio that Obama had been pushing hard for. Let's face it, most people have made up their minds and it is incredibly even overall. It's going to be all about turnout, and more specifically, about Romney minimizing the minority vote. Nobody likes to talk about it, but that is a fact and that's why both have sides have been pushing so hard on voters rights laws and court cases.