Originally posted on 08/15/2012:

Heat to win 10/11: +300
Heat to win 11/12: +200
Lakers to win west 12/13: probably around +150
Sun to come up tomorrow: I'll give you -100000000000000

Yeah, real comparable

We're talking about a +money, he's not calling the Bulls to win the Central Division or the Heat to win the SouthEast FFS.

If the n°1 favorite always won, future betting should be easy right? You get around +200, +300 for something that according to a lot of people in this thread, is obvious. Well it's not that easy. By saying the Lakers will win the West next year, he is also implying that OKC won't win it for example, and as you can see many people still like OKC. Doesn't seem so much of an obvious call.

I for one, wouldn't bet this cause I don't have a big enough bankroll to bet futures, IMO if I'm gonna have my money locked up for a year the payout should be pretty big, and I don't have a bankroll big enough to play big on it without having too much money locked up for months. But seemingly he's like say 70+% sure of this Lakers play and if he gets +150, it seems +EV to me.