Originally posted on 07/21/2012:

Lets Look At The Facts. You be the Judge.



1. Looks at line movement 12 hours a day before making a pick


2. Questions why there is a 2 cent line move in a total and tries to create a discussion on the forum asking if anyone knows why this happens.


3. Averages over 600 plays a year easily in the NBA. Averages over 1000 plays a year in the MLB. Averages over 800 plays easily in NCAAB.


4. Never has hit over 50 percent in any sport. Down units in every sport imaginable.


5. Bets $10 a game. Occassional gets frisky and bets $30 a game even though it feels like a roller coaster ride.


6. Has theory that games are rigged only in games he bets on and loses. Never questions those games that look rigged if he didn't have a bet on nor if he bet the other side


7. Feels that nba totals are rigged due to line movement. If a land moves from 194 to 196. It then lands on 195. He suspects there is a great chance the total got rigged and some whale hit a huge middle!


8. Suspects if a game looks way too good to be true. He says its the right play. If he is right, he will say he told you so. If he is wrong, he will disregard it and say squares are very lucky and start cursing them out.


9. Keeps talking about pinnacle lines yet has no clue why lines move they way they do. He even asks others their opinion after 2 years and still don't know a thing about gambling.


10. Never read a gambling book. Probably don't even know know the value of a half point.


11. Just bets underdogs trying to be contrarian


12. Takes favorites only when public loves the underdog


13. Makes fun of squares yet his method of picking games has made him a loser year after year


14. Has no idea of the market. Just thinks oddsmakers are setting traps with lines


15. Talks BS out of his ass. Clearly doesn't have a basic understanding of gambling 101. Will say why is the line only -110 for a very hot team against a horrible team without using actual numbers. Will say stuff like this should be at least -140 without showing any math on why it should be -140. Because he just speaks jibberish and doesn't know. He just feels it should be higher yet can't even give a reason using math how he gets to -140. Pitching stats, sabermetrics... nope, he doesnt have a clue about that. Clown doesn't even know what a head fake was in terms of line movement. Only thing he looks at is win/loss record and say how could this 6-3 pitcher be only -110 against a 2-7 pitcher.


16. Will create thread on his plays. Obviously it will contain dogs, Reverse Linemovement and ugly dogs and unwanted favorites. When people accuse him of picking a team because of the line movement, he will deny that is the reason. Once it goes horrible such as him being down 30 units, he will start a new thread and disregard the thread and start a new one.


17. Are $10 bettors really sharp?


18. Will say he lost value on a play because the number is +105 now whereas it was +130 last night and he should have bet the overnight line and there is no value on it. But is there really any value to any bet when you bet $10 on it?


19. Looks up to lakerboy


20. First one to notice a 2 cent line move on any total than any other poster on SBR



Judging from these facts, it's pretty easy to come to a conclusion he has no clue about gambling. He feels like he is sharp because he is anti-public and contrarian. He feels like taking ugly underdogs makes him smart even though he has no clue about line value. So when he occassional hits those underdogs, he feels very proud of himself. But looking from his record, its pretty obvious he doesnt know anything about gambling and isn't sharp.



If he was sharp, he would be betting small markets and props. But he doesnt do that because he just follows the popular sports because those are the only sports where he can fade the public.