Quote Originally Posted by brainy smurf View Post
He's hitting around 46% so with all the juice he's laying that will work but he's also lost his big plays too

I don't think it gets much worse for him, so i'd stay away from fading, maybe even jump on if he reaches the century mark.
Gambling has no memory. A 46% capper doesn't win or lose more than his percentage because he is hot or cold.

Bottom line if yuo feel he or anyone is a 46% capper than you should be betting against them as ferociously as one would be if he was winning in the 55% range on the season. What he did last night, week or month should have no bearing on how he will do tomorrow.

Good luck on the startegy of trying to predict where he bottoms out. In the stock market they refer to this as "trying to catch a falling knife"