In last night’s game you almost felt out of place at Minute Maid because the Astros have literally sold or sent down the majority of recognizable players. I felt like my write up on the game was pretty much dead on with Arroyo putting the Reds into an immediate deficit and Norris holding them down in a head lock. The Reds regained their composure sending a couple balls deep against the wall with runners in scoring position to bring them back square. The two things I had not factored in for the Reds were the 10 runners in scoring position that they would leave stranded and the piss poor relief job. This game should have been out of reach for the Astros by the seventh inning. The game brought back memories of their Mets series.
Wandy Rodriguez has pitched well over his last three starts especially the game in St Louis where he struck out seven over seven innings, winning 5-3. So far he carries a three game ERA of 3.20 with an impressive 24 Ks. Wandy faced the Reds on 5/11 surrendering 3 runs over seven innings winning 4-3. The former Astros have won all 5 of Rodriguez’s games vs. the Reds at Minute Maid.
In comparison, the Reds’ pitcher Homer Bailey has faced the Astros three times this season going 2-0 with 0.69 ERA with 12 Ks. I guess it would be appropriate to say the former Astros offense had less than a 200 batting averaging when facing him this season. In those games the Reds won; 10-4 F and 7-3 F. As of late, Homer Bailey carries a 6.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.615 allowing over 12 ERs. According to MLB, tonight should be quite different for the Reds as far as relief pitching. Aroldis Chapman will step in having not allowed a run in seven appearances.
Opinion
The Reds come into tonight’s game with another very inconsistent pitcher. Yes, he has pitched well against the Astros in the past, but will that guy show up. The Reds will be facing another solid Astros pitcher tonight and the will have to capitalize when scoring opportunities present themselves otherwise they will take another loss.
Injuries:
Weather: N/A
8/2 Plus Opinions
Phillies / Colorado Over 10
Phillies’ Kendrick over his past three games is 2-1 with 3.32 ERA and WHIP of 1.335. Of the last three starts 2 of 3 games were over the total. Career vs. Colorado, Kendrick has an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.683. The team record vs. Colorado during his starts is 8-0 over the total. Kendrick’s last road starts have been over the total.
Aaron Cook has not fared much better vs. Philly with an ERA of 6.13 and a WHIP of 1.703. Colorado’s team record in these starts is 4-5 O/U. In Cook’s last three appearances he is 2-3 with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.644.
The Phillies are 15-5 over the past three seasons with 11-19 going over the total.
If the trends hold true this game should be fairly high scoring which is usually the case anyway at Coors Field.
Tampa Rays ML (Listed Pitchers)
I have had decent success tailing or fading the Rays since the break and this seems like another nice situation for Price at home. Price needs to look pass July and return to form (8-0 vs. Jays). Price is 6-0 at home vs Toronto. The Rays have won consistent series vs. the Jays and that should continue this week.
Cleveland / Boston Under 9 Listed Pitchers
LHP David Huff starts Tuesday vs. Boston pitching Beckett. I have watched David Huff pitch twice this year. One game you might remember occurred last Wednesday against the Angels when Santana threw a no hitter winning 3-1. Huff held the Angels to 5 hits, 1 ER, 0 Walks, with 4 Ks in his first loss of the season. In his previous start on July 18 vs. the Twins, Huff had an excellent game pitching 7 scoreless innings allowing 5 hits and no walks with 5 strike outs. In his first season with the Tribe in 2009 Huff went 11-8 followed by a poor 2010 going 2-11. Subsequently, Huff was sent down to work things out where he had a record of 8-3 with 3.86 ERA in 17 outings. Article after article written about Huff contains a common thread, the guy has great potential. He is a much needed LHP with decent heat (91 to 94) and a nice range of pitches. Huff is currently carrying a 0.71 ERA with a WHIP .95 over 12.2 innings. Huff is 0-2 vs. Boston in two career starts. All starts Under the Total.
Beckett is 1-1 against the Tribe this season (4-2W) and (3-1L). Beckett is 3-0 Under the total his last three games . In this season when the Indians have played Boston 4 of 7 games have gone under the total by 2 runs or more.
SBR Posted Record
The Astros Daily and The Daily Plus- Postings on this site to date are 30-20 and recorded below. 2-2 for this week.
The Astros Daily Plus Thread..
There are two aspects to this thread, the first being The Astros Daily Opinion, which is simply an opinion for or against the Astros and their associated overs and unders. Secondly, The Daily Plus Plays, which are opinions worth considering due to value, pitching, injuries, trends and/or weather.
Posted Opinions
7/9 Marlins -1 1/2 W 7/10 Astros Over 8 W 7/10 Texas Rangers ML W 7/10 Cards -1 1/2 W 7/10 Toronto Over 8 1/2 (7-1 Final) L 7/10 Angels ML W 7/10 Padres ML L 7/14 Indians ML -115 (J Masterson) W 7/14 Twins ML -150 (F Liriano) W 7/15 Pirates ML -110 (Karstens) W 7/15 Detroit RL +105 (Verlander) L 7/15 Colorado Over 10 L 7/15 Cardinals Over 9 W 7/16 Astros Under 7.5 L 7/16 Philly (Hamels) L 7/17 Astros Over 7 W 7/17 Twins ML (Duensing) W 7/17 Red Sox (Beckett) W 7/18 Astros Over 8 (5-2 final) L 7/18 White Sox ML W 7/18 Colorado Over 9.5 W 7/19 Nationals ML L 7/19 Red Sox Over 9.5 L 7/19 Rangers ML (Ogando) W 7/20 Washington Team Total 3.5 L 7/20 Rangers ML L 7/21 Angels ML W 7/22 Tampa ML L 7/22 Rangers Over 10.5 W 7/23 Astros ML L 7/23 Yankees RL L 7/24 Rangers RL L 7/24 Indians Under 7.5 W 7/24 Tampa Rays ML W 7/25 Angels ML L 7/25 White Sox ML W 7/26 Angels ML W 7/26 Detroit ML W 7/26 Brewers ML W 7/27 Arizona ML W 7/28 Detroit ML L 7/28 A’s Over 7.5 W 7/29 Mets ML W 7/30 Tampa ML L 7/30 Brewers RL W 7/31 Phillies Under 8 L 7/31 Tampa Rays ML W 8/01 Reds ML L 8/01 Brewers ML W
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