Kansas City Chefs +9.5, very interesting?

[Beat up the book]

Of course Denver looks better on paper, that is always the case when a team is favored by nine on the road.

And yet, NFL Road Favorites in the 8-9.5 range are just 49-67, 42.2% ATS, Flip that around and you have a 57.8% angle on the home dogs.

Denver will look even better on paper after they play KC.

[bettilimbroke999]

LT you are ignoring the fact that the Chiefs are simply god awful terrible, would you have taken Miami last year when they were a road dog in nearly every game. It doesn't matter if you are at home when the Raiders are blowing you out by 20 pts at home b/c you simply suck, do you not think the Broncos are better than the Raiders this year? Denver's defense is truly godawful but KC's defense is nearly as bad and the difference in offenses is night and day, at Den -9.5 I cant understand betting against the Broncos, KC is getting blown out by shit teams every game. I agree that most home dogs have value, but this home dog is justified, KC blows.

[hakrjak]

Where the heck are you guys getting this -9.5 line? My book still has them at -10.5!

[Beat up the book]

I got mine when i posted the thread.

[bettilimbroke999]

Where the heck are you guys getting this -9.5 line? My book still has them at -10.5!

Got it at -9 on matchy for -102 right now

[arpeggiomeister]

-9.5 is a lot of points. Did a 7 point teaser with the Bills and Broncos fading the Rams and Chiefs. I bet there will be a lot of teasers using the Broncos this week which could push the number up to -10 or -10.5.

I am considering a 10 point teaser with DEN, BUF, and SD.

[reno cool]

I'm on the Chiefs and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright.

not convinced Denver is that good or KC that bad. They did cover in opener.

[bettilimbroke999]

I'm on the Chiefs and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright.

not convinced Denver is that good or KC that bad. They did cover in opener.

You would be the only one not shocked if they win, 3-0 team versus the worst team in the league, not sure what you consider a shock but that would definitely surprise most ppl

[Scorpion]

kc +10
stl +8.5

[Doc JS]

This happens every ****ing year.

3-0 teams look so good they will never lose again.

0-3 teams look so bad they winn never win again.

KC wins at least 4 games this year. What is so great about the Denver defence?

Who knows what could happen in this game.

Don't see the Chiefs winning four games this year...just don't see it...

Doc

[Beat up the book]

I'm on the Chiefs and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright.

not convinced Denver is that good or KC that bad. They did cover in opener.

KC moneyline for you i geuss.
Who do you think KC is better then?If the Chiefs win outright,be shocked be very shocked.

[frostno98]

The thing that everybody not factoring in is the X-factor.

1) The motivation factor. This is a must win for the Chiefs, if they don't throw everything they have at this game they're going 0-4 and might as well prepare themselves for the draft.

2) Arrowhead Stadium-I don't care what anybody says about this place, it's always been tough for Denver to play there regardless of how bad the chiefs are.

3)Herm Edwards-This guy will not play Denver's game, he's very good at playing the conservative game, and they shouldn't have any problem doing that, because Damon Huard should be able to Dink and Dunk pass all day on that horrendous Denver D. They should be able to manage the clock better, making a huge blow out unlikely.

[pavyracer]

Anyone betting on Chiefs is barelled in. I would bet the Rams to cover first against Buffalo before I bet on Chiefs.

[frostno98]

Anyone betting on Chiefs is barelled in. I would bet the Rams to cover first against Buffalo before I bet on Chiefs.

Now that I think of it, Rams/Chiefs seems like a good par 2.

[reno cool]

I'm happy that the Bronco fan likes the Chiefs and most others don't. Must be a lock.

[hakrjak]

That was a lot of points for me to stomach even though I figured the Broncos would kick ass... So I teased it down 6 pts with Dallas on the other end of the Teaser. Should be a pretty solid lock for those of you not trusting the 11 pts or whatever they are giving KC and WAS now.

- Hakrjak

[pavyracer]

Best Play:

Parlay Steelers -230, Jaguars -335, Chargers -330 all ML

[hakrjak]

I don't know why some people think the Jags are so good!?

[pavyracer]

I don't know why some people think the Jags are so good!?

Any team that play the Texans at home is good.

[frostno98]

You see, I told you fvckers, this game was a trap.

[diogee]

Not even close to over yet frostno...with that being said I have some on KC +10 and +10.5

[hakrjak]

I knew Denver would struggle in Arrowhead, dammit... That's why I teased them down to -5... Now I'm just hoping they can atleast cover that. Jeeeeeeeeeez guys! Pull it together in the 2nd half....

- Hakrjak

[frostno98]

Yeah definitely too early, because the chefs probably won't get many more big plays by a 60 yard LJ run or long fumble return in the 2nd half. That's only way they can score. Denver on the other hand has been moving the ball at will but not capitalizing.

[hakrjak]

Yeh, the Bronc's should have had another 3 pts too, if Prader hadn't shanked that 1st FB attempt!

[The_Kid]

Anyone taking Denver in the 2H but have KC for the game?

[reno cool]

Chiefs are looking to **** up somewhere. I have faith Shanahan is the bigger idiot and will find a way to blow the game late.

[hakrjak]

The KC special teams play is worrying me. They just got good field position again.... Ugh

[hakrjak]

Welp, Cutler just threw a pick... You guys watch -- KC won't show up to play another team this year, but they always play the Broncos hard... Doh!

[CBBPhenom]

Welp, Cutler just threw a pick... You guys watch -- KC won't show up to play another team this year, but they always play the Broncos hard... Doh!

Sigh!

[hakrjak]

1 positive thing may come out of this....

Next week the line will give too much respect to KC because of this game, but those of us in the know will still know to bet against them and find good value

[mathdotcom]

chiefs putting on a show

[fiveteamer]

hak, you really think KC is going 1-15?

[diogee]

Loving it...needed this game bad for the bankroll.

[frostno98]

Welp, Cutler just threw a pick... You guys watch -- KC won't show up to play another team this year, but they always play the Broncos hard... Doh!

I completely agree with you, the Chief are really bad, but in this game I gotta give it to them all the reasons I've already mention. The Broncos also has not been a good team covering the spread during the past 2 years 10-32 ATS so they're a good team to fade too.

[alexda[]]

Of course Denver looks better on paper, that is always the case when a team is favored by nine on the road.

And yet, NFL Road Favorites in the 8-9.5 range are just 49-67, 42.2% ATS, Flip that around and you have a 57.8% angle on the home dogs.

i dont think they'll listen to u lt even tho its great advice. ppl will always think this is a great play even tho its on the road and a conference game