[mindtrix]

stats?

[Whippit]

[Full Time Hobo]

All of them

[tony_come]

The under is not the play

I would take the over

[Whippit]

ravens only been around 5-10 years

pretty goofy question

[mindtrix]

sorry drunk is when i make my bets

[tony_come]

Take the over in this game

[rfr3sh]

O/U: 18-13-0 (1.1) avg total: 37.0

[illfuuptn]

it doesn't matter. why do you guys think those kinds of stats matter?

[falconticket]

Hope the books don't not get a hold of this info> Keep it on the downlow.

[UnderAndOver]

Under is too obvious to call. 2 OT field goals + final points will take it Over. IMO

[TexansFan]

Nice write-up here...

Solid writeup here by Robert Veno


Baltimore at Pittsburgh -3 O/U 37
Recommendation: Under

Inside-out knowledge of each other’s offensive playbooks and tendencies automatically make this a defensive minded game. Combine that with the non-wavering commitment of each head coach to continue force feeding their trademark identities in this rivalry and the struggle for points grows even stronger. Throw in a high stakes playoff atmosphere and you realize just how large a total of 37 will be to overcome on Saturday.

Although four of the last seven games between these teams have gone “over” the total, it’s important to note that only two of the seven have exceeded 37 points. The pair of meetings this season produced 23 and 31 points respectively. Rushing the football was nearly impossible in those contests (251 total rushing yards on 98 carries for 2.84 per attempt) and figures to be that way once again. It is very interesting to note that in the four games played between these teams over the last three years where 37 or more points have been scored, two factors have been very prominent. There has either been a team that rushed for over 100 yards or the game has seen a combined five turnovers. Neither of those occurred in the meetings during this regular season and each contest stayed “under”. Obviously it can be argued that one of this year’s games saw Pittsburgh without Ben Roethlisberger which helped it stay “under” the total. However, the more important finding is that these combatants are now well aware of and able to execute the keys to holding one and other below 20 points.

The fact that Pittsburgh has the only real vertical home run threat in receiver Mike Wallace indicates those types of offensive plays figure to be near extinct here. The large chunks Baltimore got from their short to intermediate crossing routes against Kansas City last week won’t happen against this Steelers defense. The ball security exemplified in this season’s prior meetings can keep Baltimore’s Ed Reed and Pittsburgh’s Troy Polamalu from scoring defensively. Strong efforts from the sometimes leaky special teams’ coverage units will be a point of emphasis by the coaching staffs. Look for an intense, field position style of game to take place in this one with the total landing “under” 37.

[yisman]

ravens only been around 5-10 years

pretty goofy question

more than 10, actually. Late '90s.

[darren125]

1995, so 15 years

[hockeyhy]

Under is the play, because you think under is too obvious, so you go over, but then over becomes the obvious choice.

[UnderAndOver]

Under is the play, because you think under is too obvious, so you go over, but then over becomes the obvious choice.

Hmmm...

[mcbaseball10]

I would be interested in seeing stats for teams facing each other for the third time during a season to see if there is a trend for the third matchup. Unfortunately,I am sure this is a very small sample size. Anybody have this data?

[nickdotcom]

Under is the play, because you think under is too obvious, so you go over, but then over becomes the obvious choice.

woah. that's deep man

[ATM]

The obvious choice is the under, which is what scares me

[McBa1n]

The totals for these games are ususally in the mid-high 30s. Not sure if they went o/u, but they are normally low, making Over the sexy pick if the line creeps down enough.
Personally, you'd have to mug me and take my money and place the bet for me to get me to bet "over" in any playoff game but the superbowl. Generally when top teams get together, they play things close to the vest and just take shots when the situation presents itself, leading to very low scoring games. I have no statistics to back me up, but thruout the season, unders do well in 'bigtime' games for me and have been a top earner since I took my head out of my ass and started playing it more years back.

[DrStale]

You would bet the under on a game because of a theoretical 17-6 final score in 1993?

[yisman]

Not this one, that's for sure.