[d2bets]

Does anyone else like to calculate these? I find it interesting to figure based on the current ML's, divisional champ. odds and super bowl odds. I try to use the "no vig" lines.

Here are my figure for the Chicago Bears, based mainly on Matchbook no-vig lines with an eye at Pinny's no-vig as well.

Assumptions:
ML vs. Seattle = -410 (1.2349)
Divisional champ. = +216
Super Bowl = +920

These give us an implied NFC line of +156 and then, if won, a Super Bowl line of +260.

+156 is vs. he unknown of GB or ATL. So then I figured GB's implied odds:

ML vs. ATL = +122
Divisional champ = +260
Super Bowl = +720

This gives us an implied NFC line of -162. Now you have to figure a 20% chance of facing Seattle and 80% chance of facing Chicago. I'm not going to go that deep but I'll say it should be around -140 vs. Chi and -280 at Sea. I think that works out about right.

Getting back to +156, we see +140 vs. GB and then average that back to around +175 at ATL.

So barring anything unusual, Chicago should be:
+130/-150 vs. GB (call it GB -2.5-120 or -3+100)
+165/-190 vs. ATL (call it ATL -3.5-110)

Does this look about right? Should Chicago be nearly 3 point home dogs to GB?

[d2bets]

And if NE wins they should be a pretty solid 7 spread against Ptt/Balt. I'd say -7-105 vs. Pitt or -7-115 vs. Balt.

No line guessing really needed next week.

Barring injuries of course.