1. #1
    Actionbrett
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    NFL Totals Question

    Does anyone have historic data on what the over/under frequency of certain numbers is?

    i.e closing/or opening line of 40. How many games closed/opened at the number and how many of those have gone over/or under that number.

    Might be a long shot but i'll give it a try.

  2. #2
    Dark Horse
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    Detailed diagrams about this in Sharps Sports Betting and in How Pro Gamblers Beat The Pro Football Point Spread. Too much info to copy here.

    Didn't Ganch post push frequencies and other info?

  3. #3
    Actionbrett
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    I have the push frequencies courtesy of Ganch but i'm looking for the o/u results of every number. Maybe i wasn't very clear in my initial post.

  4. #4
    Dark Horse
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    I'll do the key numbers, because I don't have the time for all right now. May be somewhat outdated.

    30// 82.5% push or over; 21.00% push or under
    33// 76.5% push or over; 25.75% push or under
    37// 69.25% push or over; 36.35 push or under
    38// 63.75% push or over; 40.00 push or under
    41// 57.5% push or over; 47.5% push or under
    44// 48.75% push or over; 55.75% push or under
    45// 44.25% push or over; 58.75% push or under
    47// 40.25% push or over; 63.25% push or under
    48// 36.75% push or over; 68.00% push or under
    51// 28.25% push or over; 75.25% push or under

  5. #5
    Actionbrett
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    Are those from the closing line or opening line Darkhorse?

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    Actionbrett,

    I am leaving for a mini-vacation in about an hour and will be back on Thursday. Remind me on Thursday and I'll get on it. All you want is O/U for each number right? Formated like the following:

    Code:
    Total	Over	Under	Over %
    37	10	11	47.6%
    37.5	12	9	57.1%
    38	13	7	65.0%
    38.5	20	24	45.5%
    39	5	2	71.4%
    ALL numbers are made up. Is that basically what you want? If so, I could do it with relatively little pain (LOL) for all NFL games since 1985.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Ok, here it is for all NFL games since 1985:

    Code:
    Total	Over	Under	Push	Over %	Freq.
    28	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    28.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    29.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    30	1	2	1	33.3%	4
    30.5	5	2	0	71.4%	7
    31	2	3	0	40.0%	5
    31.5	7	11	0	38.9%	18
    32	16	15	0	51.6%	31
    32.5	10	8	0	55.6%	18
    33	24	31	5	43.6%	60
    33.5	39	28	0	58.2%	67
    34	61	57	6	51.7%	124
    34.5	41	51	0	44.6%	92
    35	79	68	4	53.7%	151
    35.5	76	44	0	63.3%	120
    36	89	92	1	49.2%	182
    36.5	107	99	0	51.9%	206
    37	167	150	11	52.7%	328
    37.5	141	136	0	50.9%	277
    38	137	146	6	48.4%	289
    38.5	71	96	0	42.5%	167
    39	133	98	5	57.6%	236
    39.5	80	107	0	42.8%	187
    40	131	133	9	49.6%	273
    40.5	93	97	0	48.9%	190
    41	140	150	18	48.3%	308
    41.5	88	103	0	46.1%	191
    42	117	123	4	48.8%	244
    42.5	101	74	0	57.7%	175
    43	110	125	5	46.8%	240
    43.5	78	81	0	49.1%	159
    44	112	111	7	50.2%	230
    44.5	74	69	0	51.7%	143
    45	75	89	4	45.7%	168
    45.5	40	54	0	42.6%	94
    46	51	71	1	41.8%	123
    46.5	47	49	0	49.0%	96
    47	49	43	2	53.3%	94
    47.5	26	53	0	32.9%	79
    48	28	39	2	41.8%	69
    48.5	13	12	0	52.0%	25
    49	17	22	1	43.6%	40
    49.5	8	7	0	53.3%	15
    50	10	6	2	62.5%	18
    50.5	8	7	0	53.3%	15
    51	5	14	0	26.3%	19
    51.5	3	8	0	27.3%	11
    52	3	8	0	27.3%	11
    52.5	2	4	0	33.3%	6
    53	6	6	0	50.0%	12
    53.5	2	7	0	22.2%	9
    54	3	2	0	60.0%	5
    54.5	0	1	0	0.0%	1
    55	5	2	0	71.4%	7
    55.5	3	3	0	50.0%	6
    56	2	1	0	66.7%	3
    56.5	1	2	0	33.3%	3
    57	3	1	0	75.0%	4
    57.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    58	2	1	0	66.7%	3
    58.5	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    60	1	0	0	100.0%	1
    61	0	1	0	0.0%	1
    TOTALS	2748	2823	94	49.3%	5665

  8. #8
    dwaechte
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    Are those opening or closing lines?

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Always closing for me dwaechte.

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