I have had a pretty solid NFL run this year and always seem to have a good years only in NFL though not good at MLB or NHL thats for sure I will gladly tail the smarter people in those sports. I will start this thread with a play that I feel really strong on even before I see any line movements.
Play- Houston +5.5.
Reason- The line throughout the week has moved from 5-6 even though most movement will be done tomorrow after tonight's game I feel vegas thinks that line is right were it should. There is no Dallas Clark which is a huge blow from Peyton Manning, Dallas creates mismatches and has always been there when Manning needs a check down. The Colts have not shown any ability to stop the run and Foster will continue to have his break out season again. And finally the Drunken punter?!? The Colts have one of the best punters in the league and has be superb at pinning offenses inside the 5. He will not be playing tomorrow however after a one game suspension for public intoxication. The Colts had to sign Jeremy Kapinos of the streets. The colts have been thinned down in special teams and this is just another notch on the belt. All these advantages will keep the game close. I actually like the Texans here but there is one thing I have learned in years of NFL betting; Never bet the ML against P. Manning!!! So the play here is Houston I will putting 5 Units down. That is a huge, huge bet for me normally I bet 1 or 2 units just really like this play tomorrow.