1. #1
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    NFL Is A JOKE=Male Soap Opera

    The NFL is a joke! Let's try this, from now to the end of the season I will be playing and posting 1 game a week. We will take the game that has the most bets on it and fade the public.(Example today Steelers vs Miami+3 131,000 plus bets 77% of public on Steelers so we would have took Miami= winner) I'm thinking we will do quite well. Wish me LUCK

  2. #2
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    OK this has become the biggest play today with over 135,000 bets and 58% on MINN I have to go GREEN BAY -3. Fade public on all highest public play!

    RECORD
    0-0

  3. #3
    NYSportsGuy210
    NYSportsGuy210's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-09
    Posts: 11,347
    Betpoints: 131

    So this has become a "fade the public" thread?

  4. #4
    bhssoccer89
    bhssoccer89's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-17-10
    Posts: 291
    Betpoints: 9857

    if this hits i will join you next week

  5. #5
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    It's only a fade on the game of the day that has the highest amounts of wagers like Pitts VS Miami had 131,000 bets with 77% of the public on Pitts so Miami was the play. Tonight this game has the most bets over all for the day (which I know that will happen a lot for late games and Mondays, so maybe two or three bets a week) so Public all over Minn I'll take Green Bay!

  6. #6
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    And just like that this system is 1-0 WAY TO GO GREEN BAY!

  7. #7
    JosephPavs
    JosephPavs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-29-10
    Posts: 1,660
    Betpoints: 148

    The game is over?

  8. #8
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    YES the game is over!

  9. #9
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    ummm?????

    not sure why your saying its over

  10. #10
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Cause it's over INT right here

  11. #11
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    System 1-0

  12. #12
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,569
    Betpoints: 2270

    Hey hugh i know where to find percentages for how the public is betting but where do you find the number of bets placed on a team? Thanks!

  13. #13
    36mafia
    36mafia's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-09
    Posts: 2,389

    i like it

  14. #14
    chilidog
    chilidog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-09
    Posts: 10,304
    Betpoints: 956

    The system is already flawed, though. At what point is your cutoff? There are numerous games on Saturday/Sunday. There could be a game at 1pm that has the highest, and you may bet it, but then what happens when the 4pm games roll around, and that one is now the biggest of the day? Or maybe the SNF game ends up getting the highest number of bets for the day, but you already bet your game of the day.

    So how would you determine this?

  15. #15
    goduke
    goduke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-17-10
    Posts: 11,569
    Betpoints: 2270

    where can you track this info though?

  16. #16
    samdapatriotsfan
    samdapatriotsfan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-08
    Posts: 1,585
    Betpoints: 1040

    Quote Originally Posted by chilidog View Post
    The system is already flawed, though. At what point is your cutoff? There are numerous games on Saturday/Sunday. There could be a game at 1pm that has the highest, and you may bet it, but then what happens when the 4pm games roll around, and that one is now the biggest of the day? Or maybe the SNF game ends up getting the highest number of bets for the day, but you already bet your game of the day.

    So how would you determine this?

    CD is on it...

    I am curious now too, how would you account for this?

  17. #17
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Like I said their might be 2 or 3 games a week or maybe 4 because of Monday night. I get my percentages at sportsbookspy at pregame! I will post any play if we have one at 1 by 1230 eastern time and 4 o'clock games by 330 and if the night game or the Monday night game fits I will have them posted by 30 mins before kickoff. So yes their might be 3-4 games a week or just maybe 1. At the end I think we do pretty well. Join or fade but let's make some cash.

  18. #18
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Let's make one change so no confusion. I will only fade games from now on that 60% of the public is on the highest bet game. so tonight their is already over 94,000 bets so it could very well hit the most bet game of the week but it is 50% on Giants and 50% on Dallas so if it does get bet the highest it would be a no play unless 60% of the country is on one team!


    RECORD 1-0

  19. #19
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    No play tonight!

    NFL RECORD 1-0

  20. #20
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Looks like we will be playing the late game as of right now. Looks like Saints might be the only play tomorrow, be back at 12:30 eastern for the play!

  21. #21
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Ok week 2 for us and we have a 1 o'clock play as their is over 100,000 bets on Green Bay vs Jets! My play for 1 is the GREEN BAY PACKERS +6

    NFL RECORD 1-0

  22. #22
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    Well looks like we will move to 2-0 on the year for the NFL. Their are no games at 4 that have more bets than the GB and JETS game so no play at 4. Be back tonight if we have a play! Hope you guys are cashing from this.

    NFL RECORD 2-0

  23. #23
    bhssoccer89
    bhssoccer89's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-17-10
    Posts: 291
    Betpoints: 9857

    dam i forgot about this and didnt follow oops

  24. #24
    Slate
    Slate's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-28-08
    Posts: 1,021

    If it is all a joke then go play somewhere else, why waste your time

  25. #25
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    After our second win of the season to run are record to 2-0 we have one more play tonight that is over the bet this afternoon. My play is New Orleans SAINTS -1. GOOD LUCK

    NFL RECORD 2-0

  26. #26
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    SAINTS win

    NFL RECORD 3-0

  27. #27
    Sidetracked
    Sidetracked's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-21-09
    Posts: 751
    Betpoints: 44

    haha i liek this thread

  28. #28
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    You should follow it is winning!

  29. #29
    bradnowell
    bradnowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-31-10
    Posts: 493
    Betpoints: 181

    easy money son

  30. #30
    eberetta1
    Win some cha-ching
    eberetta1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-09
    Posts: 1,124
    Betpoints: 12563

    I trust the public many times, I mean isn't that how we elect a Prez???

  31. #31
    kcDdegenerate
    kcDdegenerate's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-09
    Posts: 3,157
    Betpoints: 36

    I like my system better...5 games every Sunday and go 4-1 every Sunday

  32. #32
    Masu485
    Masu485's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-14-08
    Posts: 7,700
    Betpoints: 12813

    Quote Originally Posted by eberetta1 View Post
    I trust the public many times, I mean isn't that how we elect a Prez???
    Bob Barr was the sharp play

  33. #33
    texhooper
    texhooper's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-05-09
    Posts: 9,863
    Betpoints: 7846

    Quote Originally Posted by eberetta1 View Post
    I trust the public many times, I mean isn't that how we elect a Prez???
    see what al gore has to say about that.

    haha, good stuff.

  34. #34
    pingi5
    pingi5's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-09
    Posts: 261
    Betpoints: 438

    How did you come up with these two plays, my line service had NT Jets with only 55% of 114525 bets
    I agree that the best play of the day was New Orleans 68% of 136682 bets
    St. Louis Rams (74%), NewEngland Patriots(68%), each had higher percentage of the public bets even if there were fewer overall bets on those two game.
    Are you considering only the total bets and diregarding the percentages?
    In addition this reflects the number of bets and not the money bet, Is that not a factor.

    Fading the Public has been around for a long time, most often fading the higher percentage is consider the stonger play!
    In addition if you are looking for the best single play of the week how did we get two plays today
    Your first post said " I will be playing and posting 1 game a week"

  35. #35
    hugh4310
    hugh4310's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 2,302
    Betpoints: 48

    If you read the post after we made some changes! In the afternoon there was 130,000 plus on Jets game and then more came in on Sunday night. As I said in later post we might have 2-3 plays a week not just one. Follow if you would like.

    NFL RECORD 3-0

12 Last
Top