[1:00pm KICKOFF]
PACKERS-FALCONS OVER 47.5 [-102] Interesting splits here with the Packers going UNDER in all their road games, while the Falcons have gone OVER in four of five at home. Green Bay has given up just ten points over their last three, but face an Atlanta team that hasn't scored less than 20 in seven of ten this season. Atlanta is averaging almost 30 ppg at home, so even this stingy Green Bay defense will be tested. The Pack have 20 or more in seven of their ten games this season, so they too should find points against a Falcons defense that does have a tough time defending the pass. I think Atlanta's streak of five straight OVERs can continue.
[4:15pm KICKOFF]
DOLPHINS-RAIDERS UNDER 38 [-105] Miami has had trouble scoring on the road with any QB in charge. They average just under 17 ppg on the road, but have not scored more than 23 on the road. Four of their five road games have hit UNDER. For Oakland, their defense has been able to contain average offenses like Miami's. The Raiders have held opponents to 20 or less in four of their last five.
[8:30pm KICKOFF] CHARGERS TEAM TOTAL OVER 24 [-115]
This figures to be a shootout and I think San Diego can find success against a sometimes soft Colts defense that has struggled some against the run. If the Chargers can establish the run, then their passing game could hurt the Colts with some bigger gains. San Diego has beaten this number in three straight, averaging 32 ppg over that span. The Colts have better defensive numbers at home, but it's a bit misleading considering some of the teams they have played.
[8:30pm KICKOFF]
49ers-CARDINALS OVER 41 [-113] The UNDER is far too obvious here, so I say Oppo Taco. The Cardinals give up points to EVERYONE. Nine straight games of 20 or more points allowed and the Niners for all their QB issues were decent in putting up points before their Bucs bagel last week. San Fran had scored at least 20 in four of their previous five. The Niners have also allowed 23 or more in three of their four road games. Arizona is four for four on OVERs at home, mainly due to their leaky D, but they have also averaged almost 27 ppg there.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 11-29-10 at 06:57 PM.
[8:30 KICKOFF]
EAGLES-TEXANS OVER 52 [-105] Asante Samuel is a game-time decision and regardless of his status, I see no reason no to think the Texans won't have success against Philly's defense. The Eagles were a middle of the pack pass defense even with Samuel, without him as the Bears showed they will have trouble slowing a solid Houston pass attack. Texans may find some holes for Foster on offense too. Eagles should shred the league's worst pass defense as they have scored 26 or more in eight of their eleven games even with red zone issues. Philadelphia has also allowed 20 or more points in seven of eleven. If the Eagles convert red zone opps into TDs consistently, OVER is in store.
[8:20pm KICKOFF]
TITANS-COLTS OVER 44 [-110] Colts are in a must-win to keep their playoff hopes in good standing. Let's face it, they have no running game so why mask it? The Dallas game last week showed what I think Indy will be working with tonight and that is a ton of pass attempts for Peyton Manning mixed with the no huddle. Tennessee is not immune to being abused through the air, so the Colts should be able to continue their solid point output on the road where they have put up 24 points or better in all six games this season. They have also had troubles keeping opponents from scoring on the road, yielding 24 or more in five of those six games. The Titans offense has been MIA, but Chris Johnson should have a field day. If he can gouge the Colts like everyone else has, then Kerry Collins should get some good looks off play action to hit big plays to Britt and maybe even Randy Moss.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 12-09-10 at 03:58 PM.
In order for me to take the over I would have to believe that either the Colts or the Titans score another TD... I just dont see the Colts scoring 4 tds or the Titans scoring 3
[1:00pm KICKOFF]
FALCONS-PANTHERS OVER 42.5 [-105] Panthers have given up at least 20 points in all five of their home games and 34 & 37 in their last two. Falcons have to be sharp here to avoid any sort of letdown, but they have been solid on the road. They average around 23 ppg. Four of their six road tilts have gone OVER. Falcons defense has given up at least 17 points in seven straight, so even Carolina may be able to put up a couple of TDs.
[8:30pm KICKOFF]
COWBOYS-EAGLES OVER 51 [-105] Not a ton of explanation needed here. Eagles defense gives up points and without Asante Samuel, Jon Kitna can lead them to some points. Philly has given up at least 17 in nine straight while Dallas has now scored 27 or more in four straight. The Eagles offense should have plenty of success against Dallas as well with Philly scoring 26 or more in seven of their last eight. Anything but a shootout would be an upset.
There are some dumb asses on Carolina. Retard catches the ball with under :10 and has a shot to get out of bounds right around the 5 and give them a chance for a meaningless TD ... but one that would have cashed the over. Instead, the asshole turns it upfield and they don't get off another play. Stupido!
Booked the Cowpukes-Eagles total now at 50.5.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 12-12-10 at 06:55 PM.
[7:20pm ET KICKOFF]
GIANTS-VIKINGS OVER 43.5 [-105] Will be interesting to see how the non-home field now effects Minnesota. In any case, the Giants offense is difficult to stop no matter where they play. NYG have put up 20 or more in seven of their last eight and have seen all five of their road games slip past tonight's number. The Vikings have given up points against the better offensive teams they've played. Prior to stopping Buffalo & Washington the past two weeks, Minnesota gave up 21 or more in every other game they had played. The Giants will score points and Eli Manning is still a turnover waiting to happen that could lead to short fields and more points. I think Adrian Peterson will do the job tonight as the Giants run D has been gashed in recent games. Tarvaris Jackson will not be made to do too much, but he also could be a turnover factory. I think both teams can get into the 20s with a real possibility that one of these teams goes into the upper 20s and leaves the other team needing maybe 17-20 to push this over.
[8:20pm KICKOFF]
CHARGERS TEAM TOTAL OVER 27 [-110] At home, San Diego has only failed to score less than 30 twice this season in seven games. One was their dud against the Raiders a couple weeks ago and the other was a 20 point performance against New England. San Francisco is giving up around 24 ppg on the road with half of their six road tilts seeing the opposition score 30 or more. The Niners struggle against the pass [23rd] and the Chargers have beaten this number in five of their last six.
[1:00pm KICKOFF]
JAGUARS-COLTS OVER 47.5 [-105] Strength vs. weakness on both sides should yield plenty of point scoring opportunities. Jaguars cannot stop the pass. Colts cannot stop the run. Colts have allowed 26 or more in five of their last six. Jags have allowed 20 or more in eight of their last ten. The only Jags game not to go over on the road was their last, otherwise five of six have gone over. First meeting had 59 points total. Big day for Manning there. Solid day for MJD. Expecting the same in this huge AFC South clash.
[4:00pm KICKOFF]
FALCONS-SEAHAWKS OVER 46 [-105] Seahawks are better offensively at home with a 25 ppg average. Falcons have struggled at times against the pass, Seattle will need to take advantage. On offense, ATL should do what they want against a Seattle defense that has given over 34 points in three of their last four. Falcons have 26 or more in six of their last seven. OVERs have hit in four of seven ATL roadies with one push and four of six Seattle home dates with one push. May be some rain, but the weather should improve over the course of the game. Huge game for both with ATL looking to clinch a playoff spot and Seattle trying to keep pace in the NFC Worst.
[8:30pm KICKOFF]
FALCONS-SAINTS OVER 50 [-105] Don't see much reason not to take a gander at the over in this one again. The first meeting saw 48 points in regulation and 51 total after OT. Both teams did what they wanted to do in that one with the Falcons rushing for around 200 yards and the Saints getting 365 from Brees. Turnovers were big there with two Brees INTs. Saints still are struggling against the run, so Turner should gauge them to set up more big plays on play action from Matt Ryan, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez. New Orleans has given up 27 or more in three of their last four, while Atlanta has scored at least 26 points in seven of their last eight. Saints offense is doing its best to keep pace with the points given up by their defense as they are averaging 32ppg over their last six. ATL has also given up at least 17 in eight of their last nine. This one has another "last team with the ball might win" feel to it.
[8:00pm KICKOFF]
VIKINGS +15 [-125] As my handle indicates, I am an Eagles fan through and through, but I have to side with the big underdog tonight. #1, Minnesota gets Adrian Peterson back and that will be a big boost to rookie QB Joe Webb. Expecting a heavy dose of AP for as long as the Vikings can keep in striking distance as they will want to keep the explosive Eagles offense off the field as much as possible. I think Minnesota can have success offensively even with the rookie at the helm. This is a banged up Philly D that has had issues all season with giving up points. They have only held opponents under 17, once this season. The main problems have been an inconsistent pass rush and the youth in the secondary's mistakes made with or without Asante Samuel. A big question mark tonight is how MLB Jamar Chaney responds when the pressure will be squarely on him as a rookie to help shut down the run. They did a good job against the Giants last week, but AP is a beast until himself. Not to mention Webb. I think Philly has to be careful in their zeal to pressure the QB not to give Webb running lanes because as he showed against Chicago, that is perhaps his best asset right now. On the other side, I think the Eagles will do fine against Minnesota's D. This team has rarely been held in-check for long, so you have to expect them to score points. The Vikes will likely do what the rest of the league has done and that is try and hit Vick as much as possible. The last thing that could factor into this one is Philly pulling starters in the 4th quarter with a short week now due to the snow delay that pushed the game to today. Even if Minnesota is down big multiple scores, they could sneak a backdoor cover this way. And factor in the Eagles have just one blowout win this season by more than 14 points and I think the Vikings can cover this. They must run the ball and avoid turnovers and have to do what the rest of the league has done if they get in the red zone and that is score TDs and not settle for FGs.
[1:00pm KICKOFF]
BUCCANEERS +7 [-105] Tampa has been very good ATS on the road at 6-0-1. This game will wind up likely being meaningless for the Saints as it would take an incredibly poor effort from Atlanta against Carolina for New Orleans to have a shot to be anything but a Wildcard. Saints could wind up resting players by the 2nd half. Payton did it last year and likely will feel like it's proper again here. Tampa is trying to make it in, but needs to win and get lots of help. Effort will be there for them and this is not the same team the Saints beat up earlier in the season. They need a big day from Blount running the ball again and a turnover or two along the way. Would not be shocked if they're in this into the final minutes or maybe even ahead.
[4:00pm KICKOFF]
TITANS-COLTS OVER 47.5 [-112] Colts games have been lovely for OVERs in their past ten with seven in that span. Colts have put up at least 28 points in five of their last six, while giving up 24 or more in eight of their last ten. Tennessee may be playing out the string, but you know in a poor year they'd love to put the Colts playoff hopes in jeopardy with a loss. Expect Chris Johnson of course to get tons of carries and Collins should have some success with play action an deep balls, I think. Titans has had major issues vs. the pass, so Manning should have a big day and move the ball well. All the big names played well when these two teams met a few weeks back with big passing days for Manning and Collins and 100+ for C.Johnson. Looking for more of the same today and the Colts shouldn't let up, knowing they need the win to take of business.
[8:30pm KICKOFF]
RAMS-SEAHWAWKS OVER 42 [-115] Nothing mind boggling here. Seattle's defense sucks. Rams may not be overpowering on offense, but when a team gives up 30 or more points in five of their last six .. ya gotta hit it.
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Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36
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