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NFL Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher
Let's try this for awhile. In this thread I will post plays against the public dogs of 52% and higher. The public % will be coming from the eye in the sky. Let's see how it goes. Let's say all plays are 1 unit for tracking. You know the %'s may chage alittle before gametime.
This worked pretty good in college today going 7-2. Looks like a possible 2 plays tomorrow in the NFL. I will post them around 12:15 tomorrow if the percentages don't change.
Originally Posted by hitman2010
good luck Diesel
defintely gonna check it out tomorrow
wouldn't mind seeing those leans now so that more time could be spent doing some personal research
Looking forward to seeing how this goes. I'm a big fan of fading the public on primetime games.
No problem gamemaster but only leans right now. Things change over night and closer to game time
Green Bay (maybe)
Giants
Sunday 10/3/10 plays
Only one early game. Looking at the Giants for tonight to early to tell right now.
1 unit
43% Pittsburgh -2 (-107)
GL today.
This worked well yesterday in college. Its a theory I've been using for a couple years and always been successful. but I only focus on the underdogs that make top ten picks. That was NC State and Stanford yesterday //2-0
Only one today is Baltimore..that means take PITT!
But NFL is much harder to use these type of trends. College is easier. The NFL is crazy
Not as many games either. Let's see how it plays out
Good luck today!!
The Fades go 1-1 on Sunday -0.07 units
1 unit
43% Pittsburgh -2 (-107)..............Lost
36% Giants -3.5 (+100)................Won
Fade Record
1-1
50%
-0.07 units
No play tonight.
Half the books are +1 and the other half is -1. LOL
I can tell you after 86,000 bets that 71% of the public is on N.E.
Enjoy the game.
Sunday 10/10/10 plays
The systen has 3 plays today. I will be gone for a while today so enjoy the games and GL.
1 unit
44% Buffalo -2 (-110)
40% Carolina -3 (+110)
46% Dallas -6.5 (-110)
Fade Record
1-1
50%
-0.07 units
Great - I am already on Bears - hope the public goes 1-2 and hits Bears!! Thanks for the update
Let's see, curious. GL
LOL
I have a thread out there from where I capped the Bears also but back off. It may hit newguy.
GL today
Just got back home guys. The system not working well in the pro's. I didn't have enough games to go off of last week but it looks like it works in reverse in all Pro sports. I seeing the same results in hockey over the last two nights. Sounds crazy I know but we need to ride the public dogs instead of fading them in all pro sports 52% or greater. If this works we are going to kill the NBA this year.
I will start reversing the plays next week.
I think we are on to some shit here guys
Talk to me guys. We are making alot of money in college. By the way can't wait until college hoops roll around.
lol... no worries man. hope no one wagerd too much on those plays. I followed some plays from the college thread and hit those. i am interested in the opposite theory for the pros.
Let's see how it goes
Monday, 10/11/10 play
Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.
1 unit
46% Jets -4.5
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Monday, 10/11/10 ResultsMonday, 10/11/10 play
Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.
1 unit
46% Jets -4.5
Ok guys got 54% of the public on Minnesota +4.5
I'm going to go with the public dogs on 1:00 and 4:00 games every Sunday when there are alot more games being played and the public dogs hit alot during that time. Sunday and Monday night are a whole different ball game. With that being said let's ride the Jets tonight in my opinion. Who ever you go with GL tonight and enjoy the game.
1 unit
46% Jets -4.5...........Won
Great Call
I think the public knows the pro sports better than the college. In college there are so many teams to choose from. After all the sharps usually know underdogs. The squares bet the favorites. I say in the pro's let's follow the public dogs and in college let's fade the public dogs.
Just my opinion.....
O.K. I have done some research. I used the vegasinsider website to look at this year's NFL season so far.
I looked at the closing line's betting percentages for underdogs against the point spread and against the money line BET AS THE POINT SPREAD at 52% or higher. The results are very interesting:
TOP NUMBER is the record for point spread underdog percentages at 52% or higher
BOTTOM NUMBER is the record for the money line underdog percentages BET AS THE POINT SPREAD at 52% or higher.
WEEK 1
2 - 1 -1
4 - 2 -1
WEEK 2
1 -0
5 -1 -1
WEEK 3
3 -1
5 -2
WEEK 4
1 -0
4 - 2
WEEK 5
1 - 1
5 -3
ALL WEEKS
8 - 3 -1 72%
23 - 10 - 2 69%
It has been an interesting find. I just might start betting this way.
Last edited by keel44; 10-13-10 at 03:03 AM.
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brokenlock gave The-Diesel 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.