1. 09-17-10 06:23 PM #1
    ScottLocke
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    ScottLocke's LOCKs(ok not quite locks)

    Hey guys, i've been betting NFL successfully for a few years now. Figured i'd make a thread up to keep a record of my picks and maybe even get some followers if they like my picks.

    Picks for week #2

    Cleveland Browns -1.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Tennessee Titans -5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Atlanta Falcons -6.5... 2.2U to win 2U
    Miami Dolphins +5.5 ... 3.3U to win 3U
    Washington Redskins +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    New York Giants +5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW

    San Francisco 49ers +6... 5.5U to win 5U


    Not gonna give any writeups, can give some on request tho on specific games.
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  2. 09-21-10 06:41 AM #2
    ScottLocke
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    Not a bad week for me, could have been better Skins really should have covered that game, up 17 pts in the 4th and the kicker also misses 2 fgs to ice it. Oh well, just a bad beat. Browns also could have covered, their defense played great but the pick 6 really killed them. I really think they will have some nice value in the coming weeks as they have a very very under-rated defense. The Giants pick was just a bad pick on my part, really didn't think the colts defense was good enough to warrant being favored 5.5 points.

    Anyway results are...


    3-3-1... +5.4U

    Will have picks for next week up on Saturday, maybe earlier.
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  3. 09-21-10 07:20 AM #3
    encephalization
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    Always nice to have a week with positive results.

    Was unfort. on Saints last night. BOL next week!
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  4. 09-21-10 07:28 AM #4
    horseexpert
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    I love locks. Gl to u the rest of the year
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  5. 09-21-10 08:38 AM #5
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by encephalization View Post
    Always nice to have a week with positive results.

    Was unfort. on Saints last night. BOL next week!
    Quote Originally Posted by horseexpert View Post
    I love locks. Gl to u the rest of the year
    Thanks guys, no pick in itself is EVER a lock. I am however a lock to be up money at the end of the season.
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  6. 09-21-10 11:15 PM #6
    ScottLocke
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    I'm gonna put a bet in early on a team I REALLY like this week as I am afraid of the line moving against me.

    POTW

    Dallas Cowboys +3... 5.5U to win 5U
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  7. 09-23-10 01:38 PM #7
    ScottLocke
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    adding;
    Miami Dolphins -1.5 ... 2.2U to win 2U

    Have 3-5 more plays to come later this week.
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  8. 09-23-10 02:42 PM #8
    borednaz
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    What's a unit for you? $100?
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  9. 09-23-10 02:44 PM #9
    ScottLocke
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    Yes, 1% of my sports betting bankroll
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  10. 09-26-10 07:47 AM #10
    ScottLocke
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    Final card for week #3

    Tennessee Titans +3... 2.2U to win 2U
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3... 1.2U to win 1U     (hook)
    Kansas City Chiefs +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    Philadelphia Eagles -2.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Miami Dolphins -1.5 ... 4.4U to win 4U     (added 2 units to this one)

    POTW
    Dallas Cowboys +3... 5.5U to win 5U
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  11. 09-26-10 11:49 PM #11
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    Final card for week #3

    Tennessee Titans +3... 2.2U to win 2U
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3... 1.2U to win 1U     (hook)
    Kansas City Chiefs +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    Philadelphia Eagles -2.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Miami Dolphins -1.5 ... 4.4U to win 4U     (added 2 units to this one)

    POTW
    Dallas Cowboys +3... 5.5U to win 5U


    4-2... +5.4U this week
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  12. 09-27-10 11:49 AM #12
    ScottLocke
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    ScottLockes 2010 NFL season Picks (7-5-1, +10.8U) (2-0 POTW)

    At first glance of the week 4 card nothing really looks too great, except one line which could be a potential big play.
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  13. 10-01-10 06:19 PM #13
    ScottLocke
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    After some more research I really like this weeks card. Here are the plays, hopefully it'll be a big week!

    Cleveland Browns +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    Detroit Lions +14.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Jacksonville Jaguars +7... 1.1U to win 1U
    Houston Texans -3... 1.1U to win 1U
    Washington Redskins +6... 1.1U to win 1U
    NY Giants -3... 2.4U to win 2U
    Miami Dolphins +1.5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW
    St Louis Rams +1.5... 4.4U to win 4U
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  14. 10-01-10 07:25 PM #14
    Tower
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    thanks, and GL!
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  15. 10-01-10 08:11 PM #15
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tower View Post
    thanks, and GL!

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  16. 10-01-10 08:18 PM #16
    TiTlist
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    i say rams lose but the resr looks good
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  17. 10-01-10 11:11 PM #17
    big_john
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    After some more research I really like this weeks card. Here are the plays, hopefully it'll be a big week!

    Cleveland Browns +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    Detroit Lions +14.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Jacksonville Jaguars +7... 1.1U to win 1U
    Houston Texans -3... 1.1U to win 1U
    Washington Redskins +6... 1.1U to win 1U
    NY Giants -3... 2.4U to win 2U
    Miami Dolphins +1.5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW
    St Louis Rams +1.5... 4.4U to win 4U

    what week is this bro ?
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  18. 10-02-10 03:17 AM #18
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by big_john View Post
    what week is this bro ?

    this week, week #4
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  19. 10-03-10 06:42 PM #19
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    After some more research I really like this weeks card. Here are the plays, hopefully it'll be a big week!

    Cleveland Browns +3... 3.3U to win 3U W
    Detroit Lions +14.5... 1.1U to win 1U W
    Jacksonville Jaguars +7... 1.1U to win 1U W
    Houston Texans -3... 1.1U to win 1U W
    Washington Redskins +6... 1.1U to win 1U W
    NY Giants -3... 2.4U to win 2U
    Miami Dolphins +1.5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW
    St Louis Rams +1.5... 4.4U to win 4U W
    6-0 to start the week, all fairly comfortable wins, plus the play of the week wasn't even close like always. Hopefully I can finish off with 2 wins tonight and tomorrow.
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  20. 10-03-10 11:14 PM #20
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    After some more research I really like this weeks card. Here are the plays, hopefully it'll be a big week!

    Cleveland Browns +3... 3.3U to win 3U
    Detroit Lions +14.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    Jacksonville Jaguars +7... 1.1U to win 1U
    Houston Texans -3... 1.1U to win 1U
    Washington Redskins +6... 1.1U to win 1U
    NY Giants -3... 2.4U to win 2U
    Miami Dolphins +1.5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW
    St Louis Rams +1.5... 4.4U to win 4U

    7-0 this week, 1 to go to make it a perfect week!!
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  21. 10-04-10 07:39 AM #21
    Tower
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    7-0 this week, 1 to go to make it a perfect week!!

    Thanks for the picks!! Lets keep it rollin'!!!!
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  22. 10-05-10 02:19 AM #22
    ScottLocke
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    Ugly ugly uggggggggggly game tonight, I really do not think the Dolphins could have played worse. Really wanted that perfect 8-0 week. Oh well 7-1 will have to do so I cannot really complain at all. Looking forward to week 5!!
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  23. 10-05-10 02:38 AM #23
    castle
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    Very nice week. Looking forward to checking out your week 5 picks.
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  24. 10-05-10 05:47 PM #24
    ScottLocke
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    I really like Chicago this week without looking too much into it. A big reason why the Giants could beat the Bears is they could get a good pass rush without blitzing and taking away the quick throws because the defense could drop 7 back. Carolina won't be able to do that, they cannot get to the QB without blitzing, and if they do, that should open up receivers for Cutler to get quick passes out too. Chicago also has a great run defense and that is Carolina's strength, they are also missing Steve Smith.

    Carolina just matches up really badly with the Bears, but this just seems too easy, plus the public will be all over this. So i'm a bit hesitant. I am getting in now at -2.5 as I fully expect the line to reach -3, and prob -3.5 or -4 and if I decide I don't like this so much I will jump on Carolina plus the points and hope for a middle.

    This is not an official play as of yet, I am more or less locking down a good line which I know will shift against me as the week goes on. If I decide against this play I will simply take this other side.

    Week #5

    Chicago Bears -2.5... 4.4U to win 4U
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  25. 10-07-10 03:07 PM #25
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by ScottLocke View Post
    I really like Chicago this week without looking too much into it. A big reason why the Giants could beat the Bears is they could get a good pass rush without blitzing and taking away the quick throws because the defense could drop 7 back. Carolina won't be able to do that, they cannot get to the QB without blitzing, and if they do, that should open up receivers for Cutler to get quick passes out too. Chicago also has a great run defense and that is Carolina's strength, they are also missing Steve Smith.

    Carolina just matches up really badly with the Bears, but this just seems too easy, plus the public will be all over this. So i'm a bit hesitant. I am getting in now at -2.5 as I fully expect the line to reach -3, and prob -3.5 or -4 and if I decide I don't like this so much I will jump on Carolina plus the points and hope for a middle.

    This is not an official play as of yet, I am more or less locking down a good line which I know will shift against me as the week goes on. If I decide against this play I will simply take this other side.

    Week #5

    Chicago Bears -2.5... 4.4U to win 4U


    Well no Cutler now, really thought he would play so i'm really surprised he isn't. Don't like Carolina to jump on them at -1 and potentially lose both, so i guess i'm gonna have to ride this one and hope for the best.
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  26. 10-08-10 12:34 PM #26
    Tower
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    Any other picks for the weekend???
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  27. 10-08-10 01:06 PM #27
    hitman2010
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    let's him sometimes to think, just 1 pick now. Chicago.
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  28. 10-08-10 04:20 PM #28
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tower View Post
    Any other picks for the weekend???
    I have about 7-8 leans right now, just trying to narrow them down a bit and figure out how many units on each, should have them posted tomorrow.
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  29. 10-08-10 04:24 PM #29
    ScottLocke
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    Quote Originally Posted by hitman2010 View Post
    let's him sometimes to think, just 1 pick now. Chicago.

    I originally liked the Bears when I thought Cutler would play, now that he's out I would stay away from them or only play them for a unit, I still like them but not by much. I think its gonna come down to the defenses and I just think the Bears defense creates a few turnovers and takes this one. One good thing is Todd Collins is a lot less turnover prone than Cutler.
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  30. 10-10-10 01:42 AM #30
    ScottLocke
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    Week #5

    Chicago Bears -2.5... 4.4U to win 4U(booked this earlier this week, would only recommend for 1u now)
    St. Louis Rams +3... 2.2U to win 2U
    Cincinnati Bengals -6.5... 1.1U to win 1U
    San Diego Chargers -6... 1.1U to win 1U
    Philadelphia Eagles +3.5... 2.2U to win 2U

    POTW

    Buffalo Bills -1... 4.4U to win 4U
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  31. 10-10-10 01:45 AM #31
    loopydude11
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    i strongly agree with all picks except Bears and Bills are both complete toss ups IMO. BOL!
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  32. 10-10-10 04:42 PM #32
    Tower
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    Sometimes its just not your day, we'll get 'em next week!
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  33. 10-10-10 11:24 PM #33
    ScottLocke
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    Bad day, normally get 2 or 3 losing weeks a year, could've been worse tho, should bounce back next week.

    2-4... -2.8U still lost less than each of my posted winning weeks, so not too terrible.
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  34. 10-13-10 02:34 AM #34
    ScottLocke
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    Really really like this weeks card, hated last weeks and it showed in how small my units were last week and how I took less games than normal. Maybe forced a few extra picks out than I shouldn't have. But hopefully should turn it around with this weeks games.
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  35. 10-13-10 12:05 PM #35
    Tower
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    anything to jump on early this week?
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