Week 6 Sunday October 17
-RECAP-
Lions @ Giants
Play : Giants -10 LOSE 28 Giants 20 Lions
Play : Under 44.5 LOSE
- Liked the Lions last week, they're in a bad spot this week. Giants need this home game win before traveling to @Cowboys next week before their bye in WK8. I'm not sure the Lions will put up more than 13 points.
Lions really surprise me here by putting up 20 points. I know they've played well @Giants in years past but this was suppose to be a really good spot for the Giants to win convincingly at home. Would love to have a TD back. Making a mental note of laying a large amount of points + an under is a ?
Jets @ Broncos
Play : Jets -3 (-120) WIN 24 Jets 20 Broncos
Play : Under 41.5 LOSE
- I usually don't put a ton of stock in injuries, a lot of times it doesn't work out that simply, however, the Broncos are depleted on defense and at RB. I believe the Broncos are actually overachieving at 2-3, and with a softer stretch coming up, this is the one they lose to reflect a below average record. 24-13 Jets
This game was Jets or no play from the very beginning. Certainly the linesmakers knew what they were doing when they set the lines-- the Broncos came to play. The depleted Broncos however, let the more -talented- team hang around far too long and the result is what will happen more often than not.
Chargers @ Rams
Play: Under 45 WIN 20 Rams 17 Chargers
-Chargers defense a bit unnoticed due to their record-- there will be lots of punting in this game. They however, are not a strong road team and I don't expect them to "go all Phillip Rivers on 'em". See their (R) RB Mathews to do some clock-grinding after he was ineffectively misused last week. A lot of points the Chargers have given up have been on ST including last week. They won't let it happen again--coordinator's job depends on it.
My play of the week was a good one. Chargers road woes continue as expected, but their defense held the Rams to 20 points. Normally 20 opponent points would result in a win for the high-flying Chargers but this team is just awful on the road.
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Giants game killed me this week. This team is still incomplete. With Lions QB Hill out of the game the Giants should have been able to shut it down giving the under and the spread a shot. No matter, NFL teams are beginning to reveal their true colors and games will become easier to cap. Many of the home dogs will begin losing ATS. Made it a small profitable weekend with my Chargers/Rams 3 unit play of the week.
WEEK 6: 2-3 +0.7 Units
YTD: 9-5 +7.5 Units