[dong55]

Hello everyone,

This is my first NFL post of the year. Did not play anything yesterday because wanted to get a feel for what the lines were and what the outcomes of those games were.

Tonight, here is the first play.

JETS pk -120 (5dimes)

Reasoning: I have had good luck in the past picking my spots in this situation

Scoresandodds.com has the money split like this
Ravens Side: 67% ML: 84%
Jets Side: 33% ML: 16%

My book (5dimes) has moved the line from this morning of Jets -1.5 @ -110 to Jets pk @ -120

I have usually had good luck betting the juicy side of this when the public is so heavy on one side (Ravens) at + $. More times than not, Vegas is not going to allow the public to make + $.

Good luck to everyones picks for tonight. If all goes well, will be putting 1/2 of my winnings on KC +4.5. This is a very good reverse line movement situation. Line opened at +5.5 for KC (5dimes) and scoresandodds.com has the breakdown like this:
SD Side: 87% ML: 82%
KC Side: 13% ML: 18%

Anyway, not saying that I always win these situations, but my winning % is very good in these situations.

Dong

[WVUsuperfan]

hold on..let me bet 25% of my bankroll based on your reasoning

Hello everyone,

This is my first NFL post of the year. Did not play anything yesterday because wanted to get a feel for what the lines were and what the outcomes of those games were.

Tonight, here is the first play.

JETS pk -120 (5dimes)

Reasoning: I have had good luck in the past picking my spots in this situation

Scoresandodds.com has the money split like this
Ravens Side: 67% ML: 84%
Jets Side: 33% ML: 16%

My book (5dimes) has moved the line from this morning of Jets -1.5 @ -110 to Jets pk @ -120

I have usually had good luck betting the juicy side of this when the public is so heavy on one side (Ravens) at + $. More times than not, Vegas is not going to allow the public to make + $.

Good luck to everyones picks for tonight. If all goes well, will be putting 1/2 of my winnings on KC +4.5. This is a very good reverse line movement situation. Line opened at +5.5 for KC (5dimes) and scoresandodds.com has the breakdown like this:
SD Side: 87% ML: 82%
KC Side: 13% ML: 18%

Anyway, not saying that I always win these situations, but my winning % is very good in these situations.

Dong