1. 08-07-10 12:37 PM #1
    SportsPicks3434
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    2010-2011 NFL Investment Plays

    Bookmark this thread as it will be my last. My purpose of a new thread is to get a fresh start with the first pre-season game getting under way tomorrow night.

    Gambling: The wagering of money or something of material value (referred to as "the stakes") on an event with an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning additional money and/or material goods. Typically, the outcome of the wager is evident within a short period.

    Investment: The commitment of money or capital to purchase financial instruments or other assets in order to gain profitable returns in the form of interest, income, or appreciation of the value of the instrument. [1] It is related to saving or deferring consumption.

    I consider legal sports wagering an investment rather than a gamble. If a game has a outcome we can turn it into an income. BOL this season!
    Points Awarded:

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  2. 08-07-10 12:40 PM #2
    SportsPicks3434
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    08/08/2010



    Cincinati @ Dallas +3, -120
  3. 08-07-10 02:06 PM #3
    looku
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  4. 08-07-10 03:14 PM #4
    SportsPicks3434
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    BOL to you looku!
  5. 08-07-10 06:52 PM #5
    Fieldysnuts44
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    Good luck,tailing you on Dallas +3
  6. 08-07-10 08:42 PM #6
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fieldysnuts44 View Post
    Good luck,tailing you on Dallas +3
    BOL
  7. 08-07-10 08:45 PM #7
    spongerat
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    good luck, its hard to tell but I like dallas too
  8. 08-08-10 12:09 AM #8
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by spongerat View Post
    good luck, its hard to tell but I like dallas too
  9. 08-08-10 11:35 AM #9
    shaggy3000
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    im looking for someone to follow threw football. i see all these guys winning in baseball but they must have gotten big profits in the beginning. cause im not getting the massive gains they are.
    hope youre as good as youre sounding cause im on the money train with you from here out!!
  10. 08-08-10 11:39 AM #10
    dise-pa
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    dallas!!!!!
  11. 08-08-10 11:43 AM #11
    Z_Wipf
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    Good to see you going with my boys.
  12. 08-08-10 12:05 PM #12
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by shaggy3000 View Post
    im looking for someone to follow threw football. i see all these guys winning in baseball but they must have gotten big profits in the beginning. cause im not getting the massive gains they are.
    hope youre as good as youre sounding cause im on the money train with you from here out!!
    I dont claim to be the best but if there is someone better, especially in NCAAF i want to see it..

    Quote Originally Posted by dise-pa View Post
    dallas!!!!!


    Quote Originally Posted by Z_Wipf View Post
    Good to see you going with my boys.
  13. 08-08-10 01:29 PM #13
    foosh99
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    go Cowboys!!! I go with you on this one
  14. 08-08-10 02:04 PM #14
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by foosh99 View Post
    go Cowboys!!! I go with you on this one
    Its a joke that the Bengals are a FG fav in this game. It makes me feel even better the public is hammering them also.

  15. 08-08-10 09:28 PM #15
    Fieldysnuts44
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    Thanks for the winner.
  16. 08-08-10 09:31 PM #16
    limitation
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    Good pick. Solid start for you.
  17. 08-08-10 09:31 PM #17
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fieldysnuts44 View Post
    Thanks for the winner.
    This is the first of many bud!
  18. 08-08-10 09:32 PM #18
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by limitation View Post
    Good pick. Solid start for you.
  19. 08-08-10 09:46 PM #19
    SportsPicks3434
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    Tonight I will have a write-up regarding wagering on the NFL pre-season games and how it differs from wagering on the NFL regular season. It will be a good read.

  20. 08-08-10 10:25 PM #20
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsPicks3434 View Post
    08/08/2010



    Cincinati @ Dallas +3, -120
    Good to start the season with a pretty easy victory tonight with the Cowboys.

  21. 08-08-10 10:47 PM #21
    limitation
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    I decided to wait till last minute to bet and it turned out to be good. Got Dallas +3, -105. Thanks for the winner pick.
  22. 08-08-10 10:48 PM #22
    gushman
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    Good start, 2 for 2 if you count the teaser so sent too
  23. 08-08-10 10:59 PM #23
    DJStroke
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    SportsPicks3434: I have been looking for someone to tail for the NFL, and I think that this thread is going to be perfect. I can already sense a sort of professionalism with the way you are conducting this thread, which I love! As long as the profits are there, I will follow you 100% (unless your betting against my Patriots, which in that case I may ignore that one pick ) Keep up the good work, and I really look forward to following you all the way through the fall. May the best of luck be with you and the rest of your followers!
  24. 08-09-10 01:22 AM #24
    SportsPicks3434
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    We are all in this one together. Thanks for the kind words and congrats if you were on the Cowboys. Gush you are correct with the teaser play. Just forgot to post it in the thread so I wont count it towards the record.
  25. 08-09-10 01:38 AM #25
    SportsPicks3434
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    NFL Pre-Season Wagering:

    Contrary to what some people might think I believe the NFL Pre-Season is a excellent opportunity to build your bankroll for the regular season. IF you understand and know how to cap pre-season games you can make a ton of money. There are a few factors in capping pre-season games but I believe the most important is the coaches and their prior pre-season track record and tendencies. Do not look to deep into stats and new players transitioning to new/different teams, those are non factors with capping the pre-season. Also another important factor is you better know how each coach prepares for each week of the pre-season because these 4 weeks of pre-season NFL are all different in game planning and different in playing time for all players. All BS aside I have been real successfull with wagering on the NFL pre-season and the few that arent just simply do not know what to look for during this time.

    BOL
  26. 08-09-10 01:55 AM #26
    SportsPicks3434
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    Looking ahead I have some real strong strong plays comming this pre-season. I will post my next plays for games played on the 12th and 13th shortly.
  27. 08-09-10 03:00 AM #27
    SportsPicks3434
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    08/12/2010

    Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110

    The Baltimore Ravens have played to the under at a astounding rate of 74% (14un-5ov) in the pre-season over the last 5 years. In coach John Harbaugh's first two seasons with Baltimore as their head coach that trend has continued posting a rate of 75% (6un-2ov).


    **NOTE** No line posted at this time for the Oakland/Dallas game. If I have a play for that game I will post it once the line is released.


    08/13/2010

    Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia

    Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS the past 4 years in the pre-season. Also, Andy Reid does NOT go all out in the first pre-season game of the year as evident by the Eagles posting a 0-6 mark the past 6 years. The Eagles have not won their first pre-season game since 2003.


    Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110

    The past 3 years the Kansas City Chiefs have either no talent to win or no desire to win in the pre-season posting a record of 1-11 ATS during that time span.





  28. 08-09-10 03:26 AM #28
    SportsPicks3434
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    I will say this one more time....if you would rather receive my picks via email PM me your email address and I will add you. If not bookmark this thread for easier access. BOL and I welcome all comments and suggestions!

  29. 08-09-10 06:22 AM #29
    darkenergy
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    Congrats on your first win
  30. 08-09-10 07:10 AM #30
    BarkingToad
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    Sportspicks, what you think about the under 33 1/2 Pittsburgh vs Detroit? Both play many preseason unders as well as Pittsburgh QB situation. Congrats on last night's win.
  31. 08-09-10 07:53 AM #31
    OLBG Sports
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    Good call on Dallas yesterday.

    Good luck on your next plays.
  32. 08-09-10 07:55 AM #32
    JVP3122
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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsPicks3434 View Post
    08/12/2010

    Carolina @ Baltimore UNDER 34, -110

    The Baltimore Ravens have played to the under at a astounding rate of 74% (14un-5ov) in the pre-season over the last 5 years. In coach John Harbaugh's first two seasons with Baltimore as their head coach that trend has continued posting a rate of 75% (6un-2ov).


    **NOTE** No line posted at this time for the Oakland/Dallas game. If I have a play for that game I will post it once the line is released.


    08/13/2010

    Jacksonville +3, -110 @ Philadelphia

    Philadelphia is 3-9 ATS the past 4 years in the pre-season. Also, Andy Reid does NOT go all out in the first pre-season game of the year as evident by the Eagles posting a 0-6 mark the past 6 years. The Eagles have not won their first pre-season game since 2003.


    Kansas City @ Atlanta -3, -110

    The past 3 years the Kansas City Chiefs have either no talent to win or no desire to win in the pre-season posting a record of 1-11 ATS during that time span.




    Are all of your plays one-unit plays unless otherwise stated?
  33. 08-09-10 08:05 AM #33
    julio_cat
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    Nice win. Congratulations.
  34. 08-09-10 11:28 AM #34
    SportsPicks3434
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    Quote Originally Posted by darkenergy View Post
    Congrats on your first win


    Quote Originally Posted by BarkingToad View Post
    Sportspicks, what you think about the under 33 1/2 Pittsburgh vs Detroit? Both play many preseason unders as well as Pittsburgh QB situation. Congrats on last night's win.
    I will be posting my plays for the 14th either today or tomorrow. Yes, I will have a play on the Det/Pitt game.

    Quote Originally Posted by OLBG Sports View Post
    Good call on Dallas yesterday.

    Good luck on your next plays.


    Quote Originally Posted by JVP3122 View Post
    Are all of your plays one-unit plays unless otherwise stated?
    All my plays are 5% of my bankroll. Each day I re-calculate my wager amount based on my DAILY balance.

    Quote Originally Posted by julio_cat View Post
    Nice win. Congratulations.
  35. 08-09-10 11:41 AM #35
    dvb02
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    SP, if all of your NFL plays are 5% of your bankroll, does that mean that you put 25% of your roll on your NCAA Football picks? Also, have you sent an email with the above NFL plays?
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