Week 10 NFL picks--(67% correct ATS on the season)

**jas19illini** · 01-08-11, 11:26 PM

im going to bet the ravens tomorrow. if they win that i might double my planned bet on GB ML. might parlay ravens ATS and GB ML as well.

**HiTMaNN** · 01-08-11, 11:27 PM

Good start so far Max! +1 unit

**StackinGreen** · 01-08-11, 11:34 PM

Damn it feels good to be a gangsta ...

**dwang0725** · 01-09-11, 12:03 AM

One down Max!

I have the Jets in all of my parlays (two 2 team, and one 3 team) and in a 4 team teaser as well. I already hit on the the Seahawks/Jets parlay. I got cold feet and hedged out the other 2 team parlays (NYJ/GB and NYJ/Balt) and left the 3 team parlay (NYJ/Balt/GB) and teaser (NYJ/Balt/GB/Seattle) alone for tomorrow. No matter what happens, it's guaranteed money. Won't be the killing I wanted but a good start to the post season.

**HiTMaNN** · 01-09-11, 04:54 PM

Cash the Raven's Boys!!!

**StackinGreen** · 01-09-11, 05:51 PM

jas, I hope you are on it ... let's keep the pressure up on Vick here ...

**StackinGreen** · 01-09-11, 07:52 PM

... is all I gotta say.

**Capybara** · 01-09-11, 09:42 PM

Good work in here, Gents!

I went 3 for 4 as well, only missed on the Saints. But split on o/u's, which I should really stop even trying to bother with!!

**StackinGreen** · 01-09-11, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

jas, I'm more and more surprised by what I've seen as the week progresses. It makes me feel stronger about my position, though, because there is a lot of confusion / disagreement out there.

I've monitored the Strip book lines all week and they are pretty solid at Ravens -3, Pack +2.5, and Jets moving more to 3. The offshores/onlines seem to be closer to straight 3 (I was surprised and locked immediately) for all the games at -110. Where I lock it is closer to the offshores, obviously.

I don't see you missing much, at worst you get to +115 by Sunday, and maybe you get +125. The level of ignorance of basic football handicapping just astounds me regarding the Packers/Eagles. Let me just spell out why I think Packers +3 is the play of the year (I don't have so much hubris as to not take +3 even though I think GB wins by double digits):

Given that "anything can happen" check this out

1) No one is truly admitting how good the Green Bay defense has been.
2) The Philadelphia defense is average AT BEST, and going up against a pretty prolific offense that matches up well scheme-wise.
3) Why are people dismissing how bad Philadelphia has looked recently? They are similarly dismissing (perhaps because of the last, close rivalry game vs. Chicago) how the Packers absolutely destroyed NYG and really should have won at NE, with a 2nd string QB at the helm.
4) I really do not believe that Vick is 100% and even at full strength I still don't think they have enough against this D.

Yes, Philadelphia is at home, but when was the last time this caliber of defense won against a team the caliber of Green Bay? You can argue they are every bit as good as, or better than, the top seeds in the conference.

As I've said, the fans and the linemakers are WAY off on this game. My line is GB -4.5 and I really think they have a great shot at a double digit win. McCarthy, as usual, is my ONLY worry in this game. Still, I'm housing them. Enjoy it with me come Sunday night.

This'll be the only time I do this ... but I have to enjoy everything that has gone down since last night.

We destroyed it. Like I said, "WE WILL NOT BE DENIED."

**Stevedore** · 01-09-11, 10:09 PM

Watch out everybody, here we come. Keep riding this defense, it may be the best in football right now. And the emergence of James Starks; been waiting for this rook to break out all year,
123 yards on the ground today, beautiful!!

**Binhduong** · 01-09-11, 10:35 PM

3-0 wild card playoffs.

Great jobs, stack and max

**riggs** · 01-09-11, 10:46 PM

Ok Max, ready to collaborate as we discussed and form the ultimate NFL DreamTeam...

Here's what I'm thinking for week #19

Projected NFL Playoff Lines (1/15/10 - 1/16/10)

AFC

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 **edge if number is better or correct
vs.
Baltimore Ravens +3 (Over/Under 37)

New England Patriots -6.5 (Over/Under 45.5)
vs.
New York Jets +6.5 *edge if number is better
　
NFC

Chicago Bears -7.5 *edge if number is better
vs.
Seattle Seahawks +7.5 (Over/Under 46.5)

Atlanta Falcons -2 (Over/Under 44.5)
vs.
Green Bay Packers +2 **edge if number is correct or better

**jas19illini** · 01-09-11, 11:08 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

jas, I hope you are on it ... let's keep the pressure up on Vick here ...

yep, won Ravens -3 and Packers ML. Good day. Been awhile since ive had one of those. Keep up the good work stackin.

Early LEANS for next week, no analysis involved.....Jets, Ravens, Bears, Falcons. Double digit spread for the Bears scares me a bit though.

**HiTMaNN** · 01-09-11, 11:14 PM

**hoku808pc** · 01-10-11, 12:25 AM

Originally posted by riggs

Ok Max, ready to collaborate as we discussed and form the ultimate NFL DreamTeam...

Here's what I'm thinking for week #19

Projected NFL Playoff Lines (1/15/10 - 1/16/10)

AFC

Pittsburgh Steelers -3 **edge if number is better or correct
vs.
Baltimore Ravens +3 (Over/Under 37)

New England Patriots -6.5 (Over/Under 45.5)
vs.
New York Jets +6.5 *edge if number is better
　
NFC

Chicago Bears -7.5 *edge if number is better
vs.
Seattle Seahawks +7.5 (Over/Under 46.5)

Atlanta Falcons -2 (Over/Under 44.5)
vs.
Green Bay Packers +2 **edge if number is correct or better

Hey riggs..

Maxlock said he would not be here this week cause he was going on vacation...

He said he would be back next week though...

GL next week... Will be looking forward to your plays and insight into the weekend...

**CROANT** · 01-10-11, 12:57 AM

No maxlocks? Ouch!

**Maxlock** · 01-10-11, 02:29 AM

3-0 weekend...I found some time to post while I'm on vaca..ill be back on Wednesday for next weeks picks.

**hoku808pc** · 01-10-11, 03:13 AM

Originally posted by Maxlock

3-0 weekend...I found some time to post while I'm on vaca..ill be back on Wednesday for next weeks picks.

Right on bro... Appreciate you taking time off your schedule to hook us up with winners... Aloha

**dwang0725** · 01-10-11, 08:43 AM

Good stuff. Seemed too easy this past week. Keep up the good work Max.

**Dexter** · 01-10-11, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by Maxlock

3-0 weekend...I found some time to post while I'm on vaca..ill be back on Wednesday for next weeks picks.

great job max....very sharp calls.

**StackinGreen** · 01-10-11, 06:29 PM

Riggs, those lines are truly projected ... not one is close to what I've seen.

Max, I'll stop posting here if you want, I never meant to hijack the thread. I'll put out my picks later this week too. At first look I didn't really love any of the lines ... but I have a winner in mind.

**jas19illini** · 01-10-11, 06:57 PM

hey stackin, BCS championship game....under 72.5 or you think thats too low?

**StackinGreen** · 01-10-11, 08:15 PM

I just had to lock 72, I thought I was gonna get 74 earlier but I couldn't reach you know who

So yes, take the UNDER 72.5

Best of luck to us

**StackinGreen** · 01-11-11, 12:46 AM

Like I said in my other thread, ain't no one like me here, let's be honest. I'm just unconscious.

That was EA$Y.

I still can hardly believe the run I'm on. I'm glad you guys have gotten to see it too.
Best,
SG

**riggs** · 01-11-11, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Riggs, those lines are truly projected ... not one is close to what I've seen.

Max, I'll stop posting here if you want, I never meant to hijack the thread. I'll put out my picks later this week too. At first look I didn't really love any of the lines ... but I have a winner in mind.

Are you drunk SG? The Pitt/Balt line was dead on as well as the GB/ATL game!

**griffey_mojo** · 01-11-11, 01:07 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Like I said in my other thread, ain't no one like me here, let's be honest. I'm just unconscious.

That was EA$Y.

I still can hardly believe the run I'm on. I'm glad you guys have gotten to see it too.
Best,
SG

Uh oh that's not good ... no serious capper would ever say that.

You have now officially become a fade

I don't wish this on you - you just brought it on yourself.

Nothin personal pal but it's just the way it is.

Here comes the burial.

**StackinGreen** · 01-11-11, 10:07 AM

It doesn't matter, griffey, no such thing as superstition

if you think my analysis will get lazy, that's your right, but you are wrong

fading me is up to you, as it has always been

my big betting only lasts for 3 more weeks anyway

Finally, you can make it anything you want to, but the clear purpose of this was to state how things are AT THIS TIME. I'm done with addressing this. Now on to more winners.

**StackinGreen** · 01-11-11, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by riggs

Are you drunk SG? The Pitt/Balt line was dead on as well as the GB/ATL game!

Patriots -6.5 and Bears -7.5 are offered? Anywhere?

**riggs** · 01-11-11, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Patriots -6.5 and Bears -7.5 are offered? Anywhere?

No but that's what the lines should be...

**StackinGreen** · 01-11-11, 11:23 AM

Gotcha. When is your final analysis?

**CROANT** · 01-11-11, 11:25 AM

If that's how you feel about the lines, then take the Jets & Sea.

**Maxlock** · 01-12-11, 04:10 PM

MAXLOCK NFL HANDICAPPING

Documented Record ATS Since Joining SBR Week 10: 36-21-2=63% ATS

Round 1 Playoffs: 3-0 ATS

Round 2: odds off sportsboo.com as of Wed 3:00 pm eastern

1) Green Bay +2.5 over ATL
2) NYJ +8.5 over New England
3) Chicago -10 over Seattle
Pitt/Bal NO PLAY

**I probably won't be back on until Sunday, GL to all. Let's have another 3-0 playoff week**

**Gilly86** · 01-12-11, 04:38 PM

GB ML again!

**StackinGreen** · 01-12-11, 05:46 PM

Good to see you back Max. I'm a little different than you this week, but not much.

How long are you going to keep up the posting? I'm not trying to dissuade you, but do people give you SBR points? The way we've been hitting ...

**Maxlock** · 01-12-11, 07:05 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Good to see you back Max. I'm a little different than you this week, but not much.

How long are you going to keep up the posting? I'm not trying to dissuade you, but do people give you SBR points? The way we've been hitting ...

The rest of the NFL season then back next year collaborating with Riggs.

What are your picks for this week?

Once in a while I get donated sbr points.