ughhhhhhhhhhhhh
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Batimore -2.5 against KC I'm all over it what do u guys thinkComment -
GB@PHI-2.5 o/u46
BAL-2.5@KC o/u41.5
NO@STL (if Rams win)
NYJ@IND-3 o/u 44.5Comment -
Also like Gb/Phil over 46Comment -
it was nice day with that 2-1 picks...so nice start of the year
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haha i have 2-0, the lose match was some how not so pretty for me...and i have right...but the system can not be 100%, so i will follow the bets, and will choose, which i like to pick..
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Did I miss something? I thought we went 1-2 yesterday. Good picks overall Max, Rams didn't show up, and the Packs couldn't punch it in from the 1 yard line. Let's get it in the playoffs. Any leans so far? I'm leaning towards all road teams.
GB@PHI-2.5 o/u46
BAL-3@KC o/u41
NO-10.5@STL o/u ?
NYJ@IND-3 o/u 44.5Comment -
With those spreads my early leans are:
GB +2.5
Bal-3
NO-points
Indy-Ny over 44.5 (I'm not sold on either side so far)
Sorry about yesterdays 1-2 day, I was leaning the Bucs +8 for my fourth pick, but didn't pull the trigger. While GB was a yard away from the final score being 14-3. Nonetheless sorry guys, hopefully we rebound nicely in the playoffs.Comment -
great day for allComment -
I really like the over play w/ the Jets/Colts. not convinced w/ either team myself.
I actually like the Iggles in this spot. This game reminds me a lot of the Pack - Cards playoff game from last year where the media was all over GB. I think the Bears took it to them and may have drained them a little while the Iggles will come in here rested. Its just my take.
Nice hit on the Texans yesterday. I had them 9X myself.
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I am all over BAL -3!Comment -
Baltimore looked like garbage yesterday, lets hope that was down to seeing the Pittsburgh score.Comment -
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The lines are off ... remember, no team is as good as or as bad as its last game in the NFLComment -
I'm beginning to lean the Jets -3 over Indy, GB +2.5, and Bal -3
Tough to call the Saints-Seahawks game. Although the Saints should demolish the Seahawks, even on the road, right now there are to many unknowns regarding who will play for New Orleans and how effective they will be. Players whose status is unknown for Saturday's game include:
FS Malcolm Jenkins
TE Jimmy Graham
TE Jeremy Shockey
TE David Thomas
WR Marques Colston
RB Pierre Thomas
RB Chris Ivory
Most of these injuries are on the offensive side of the ball. Defensively New Orleans still has a very solid defense. They rank 4th in total yards allowed, 4th in pass defense and 16th in rush yards allowed. Just two weeks ago they only gave up 7 points against the Falcons (the other TD was off a pick 6) With that in mind you know you can count on their D to show up in meaningful games. It'll have to come down to the availability of some of those players mentioned above to determine if the Saints will be able to cover -10.5.
I'm feeling pretty confident with Baltimore -3 and GB +2.5. The more I look at the Jets-Indy game, I'm starting to like Jets +3. Indy just isn't the same teams as in years passed and they may have trouble with the Jets offense if they can establish the run. I'll get more into these games as the week rolls on. Once more information is released, I'll have an indepth write up on at least two of these games.Comment -
MAXLOCK NFL HANDICAPPING: Documented Record Since Joining SBR week 10-17:
Week 10: 5-2-1
Week 11: 3-4
Week 12: 7-1
Week 13: 5-2
Week 14: 4-2-1
Week 15: 4-4
Week 16: 4-4
Week 17: 1-2
Total: 33-22-2=60%
*This is it, enough of this .500 stuff the past three weeks.
Green Bay-Philadelphia: PICK GREEN BAY +2.5
Not only do I think the Packers will cover the +2.5 I believe they win this game straight up. I'm giving the Packers the edge in the ball game due to several factors which I'll talk about. Some may argue that "Oh the Packers barely beat the Bears in a must win situation." First off, the Bears played all of their starters the entire game, which pisses me off, because not only did I have the Packers covering the -10, but there were reports out of Chicago that said several back up players were getting extra snaps in practice which would indicate the Bears starters not playing the entire game. Also. following the Atlanta victory before this game started, there was no way for Chicago to advance furhter into the standings. Nonetheless, the "barely beating the Bears" argument would be an overstatement, as the Packers were one yard away from winning this game 14-3. But you can't deny the Packers offense was out of synch. Donald Driver fumbled on the first series right around the Chicago 40 yard line along with several key drops by the Packers receivers that would have at worst produced field goal attempts. I really believe Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense will get back into form against a Philadelphia defense that is statistically worst in the red zone. Rodgers simply has to many dependable recievers to throw to. Whether its Jennings, Driver, Jones, or Nelson, Philadelphia does not have the secondary to keep up with the passing attack like Green Bays. I couldn't find the exact stats, but I clearly remember from prior research that Rodgers is one of the top three to five QBs in the league in terms of beating the blitz. The Eagles are known to fire up the blitz on opposing QBs, but they'll find out out that this will only backfire on them. Aside from Asanta Samuel, who may not even be 100% following his knee injury several weeks ago, the Eagles defense is quite average at best. They'll also be missing starting safety Nate Allen who is out for the third straight week. Green Bay's inability to have a succesful run will not ruin their chances of advancing this round. The Eagles will focus on stopping the pass which should create some decent oppurtunities for Brandon Jackson and James Starks.
On the Eagles offensive side of the ball I believe they'll have trouble with the Packers speed and athleticism on defense. Green Bay finished with 47 sacks on the season, good for 2nd overall. This does not bode well for the Eagles as they are ranked 2nd in sacks allowed and 4th in QB hits allowed. This explains why Vick is continually taking sacks and hits week after week, not to mention he holds on to the ball too long. The Eagles and Vick like to take their shots deep down field, but with the Packers defense bringing the pressure it'll be difficult for Vick to have ample time in the pocket. The Packers have one of the best secondarys in the league ranking 5th in passing yards allowed. Two weeks ago the Vikings competely confused Vick with simple corner and linebacker blitzes. Prior to that the Giants also had great success in stoping Vick for three and a half quarters- until they collapsed in the final 8 minutes that is. Defensively the Packers will try to imitate what has worked in the past against Vick. Don't be surprised if you see a lot of Charles Woodson coming off the corner who will be in Vick's face. The Packers bring one of the best defenses to the playoffs as they are ranked 2nd in points allowed giving up only 15 per game. Lets not forget they essentially only gave up 17 points to Brady and the Patriots offense. (The other 7 being a pick 6 + a kick return to the Packers 3 yard line leading to another TD)
All in all I've said along, the Packers will do some major damage once they get in the playoffs. Take the Packers +2.5 in this one. ML is another good possibility if you're looking to get the most return on your money.
Green Bay 31- Philadelphia 20Last edited by Maxlock; 01-05-11, 12:10 AM.Comment -
Wild Card Playoff Picks: odds off sportsbook.com as of 1:00 am 1/5/11
1) GB +2.5 over Philadelphia
2) Baltimore -3 over KC
3) NY Jets +3 over Indy
4) *So far I don't have a play on the Saints-Seahawks.Comment -
Again, we agree. In that order as I told you.
This time we will not be denied.
I foresee a huge weekend.Comment -
GB will win SHOVE IT ALL LOCK OF THE YEARComment -
Green Bay by 17. People aren't really understanding how good the GB defense is, how Vick isn't 100%, and how bad the Philly D is. There is massive overreaction to last week's game. I find it amusing how quickly people have forgotten their destruction of New York.
Rodgers will put up 24 minimum. I say Packers 27-10 final. 30-13 works too.
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Team #1: New York Jets
Line #1: Spread +3 (-120)
Wager #1: $300
Team #2: Baltimore Ravens
Line #2: Spread -3
Wager #2: $300
Team #3: Green Bay Packers
Line #3: Spread +3 (-130)
Wager #3: $300Comment -
Yup, I'm parlaying, teasing and playing them straight. The other two I can understand playing ATS but Green Bay doesn't need the points. Take the extra cash and laugh all the way home.Comment -
i can be convinced on GB - what's the better cash, teasing the pts to even or taking GB ML?Comment -
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I like all those three myself, especially Ravens and Packers. glad to see you're on them.
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Can you guys even guess what's accounting for that GB line being so off?
Reid's playoff first round "success" (although he lost last year in 1st round)?
Vick's year?
With this and the other games, is home field really worth that much? The premium is really high, apparently.Comment -
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I will be gone and unable to post from Jan 8th-15th. Therefore, I will be unable to post playoff round 2 picks. That being said, If GB beats Phily they will go on to to face Atlanta. My thinking is the spread will be between GB +3 to GB PK. I can tell you guys now that barring any significant injury to GB, I like them to beat Atlanta straight up in the rematch. GB 27 Atl 24. GB outplayed them the first time. The Packers out gained them by about 100 total yards yet still lost to some very costly turnovers and a non challenge call before the first half that led to an Atlanta TD.
That being said, take GB next round @ Atlanta. I really can't say any more about other games without looking at the games and spread more indepth. BOL. I'll be back Sunday Jan 16th.Comment -
best of luck, whever u go MaxComment -
Love all the positive vibes!!
I actually love the fact the GB offense struggled last week against the Tampa 2 scheme of the Bears. I see a massive correction on that side of the ball against the blitzing scheme of the Eagles. Rodgers and his offense get well in a BIG way this week.
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