Well I actually got a win last week with philly beating the jets in a non-convincing fashion. I'm gonna keep it rolling with
PIT-3.5 @ DEN for 10 Units.
Denver is almost as bad as Miami, they barely beat Buffalo on a last second field goal. Then they started a trend of last second time outs against the Raiders. So a couple of plays aside, and they would be right with the Dolphins, and the Rams,for the 1st pick in next year's draft competition, which I still think that Miami will win easily. The Broncos run defense sucks even worse than Miami's and they aren't scoring points on offense. Throw in a good running team like the Steelers and the fact that the record for the Bronco's since the begining of 2006 is 1-10 ATS at home, and 0-5 ATS overall this year and you have all the makings of a good weekend. Really the only thing that will get in the way is the fact that it is a Sunday night game, both teams coming off a bye week and Denver hasn't lost ATS coming off a bye week since 2002.
This year my investment manifesto goes like this. (Originally posted in May sometime.)
I will be using the traditional 11/10 vig system to score myself.
Preseason -- 8 units however I feel like it.
Total -.3636 Units
Regular season (1) investment per week for:
Week 1
Eagles -3 at pack land for 8 UNITS loss
Week 2
BUF @ PIT OVR 37.5 for 8 UNITS loss
Week 3
NYG @ WAS OVR 40.5 for 10 UNITSwin+9.0909
Week 4
CAR -3 for 10 UNITS Loss
Week 5
MIA @ HOU OVR 43.5 for 10 UNITS[/COLOR] loss
Week 6
PHI -3.5 @ NYJfor 10 UNITSwin+9.0909
Week’s 15-17 8 units each
Total -17.8182 units
My super nova lock of the moment is an additional 5 units for whichever week that happens to be.
Playoffs 4 plays 2 units each