Originally Posted by
crazyl
Just from a football match up perspective, I think this is an awful game for Cleo Lemon. I've seen the guy play a few times, I don't think he can really use his legs here and he isn't the sharpest passer. He's 55% through the air, with 2TD and 3 INT so far. I don't think Ronnie Brown has a big game here either. They probably won't have time to establish a run with New England scoring early and often.
How will Miami keep this close? Are they really able to shut down Brady and pick him off like the Bills did Romo? He's 21TD-2INT on the year, and while Miami has the 6th best pass defense in terms of yds allowed, that's because they are 31st against the run giving up an avg 168 yds a game. Also many people have said that Miami's home field advantage is nowhere near as strong as other teams, I expect a good amount of Patriots fans in attendance.
I want to exercise a little control here, I will not take -17 or -17.5, thoughts on -16.5?