Originally Posted by
pegasis0066
Nep,
I have been following your posts the entire season and have a few questions:
- the specific teams in any given game are irrelevant, right?
- all that matters is the point spread and home/away team, that is home favorite, home dog, away favorite, or away dog?
- based on the past five years' trends (weighted) of a given point spread's results, you then have a formula to calculate a percent cover ATS?
- Last question, I haven't paid that close enough attention to all your picks this years, but if the above is correct, then wouldn't all away dogs of say -3 have the same percentage ATS? If so, couldn't you develop some sort of cross reference table to quickly indicate the calculated percent win ATS, that is, the formula would be static enough so that could develop such a table (modifying each week to take into account last week's results)?
Thanks