Buffalo +11 2 units Win 2 units
Buffalo +475 1 unit Lose 1 unit
Net Win 1 unit
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10-07-07 10:17 AM #1
Play of the night, Mon Oct 8
Last edited by curious; 10-09-07 at 12:11 AM.
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10-07-07 10:20 AM #2
Buffalo moneyline is a no go. Can't go against the 'boys, they are hot right now
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10-07-07 10:30 AM #3
People also told me that Rice, Utah, Northwestern, and C Michigan Moneyline were no gos also. All won for me this week.
Originally Posted by eglickman
We shall see on Monday if I am right about Buffalo. But, the moneyline doesn't have to win for me to win on Buffalo, 2 units on the spread, 1 unit on the moneyline, if Buffalo covers I win 1 unit, if they win outright I win 6.75 units. I'll take that bet.
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10-08-07 06:34 AM #4
Actually, there is nothing wrong with this play historically.
NFL double digit home underdogs are 60-44-2, 57.7% ATS since 1985, including 52-33-2, 61.2% ATS when they are between +10 and +13.5.
Also, double digit home underdogs are 31-74, 29.5% SU, which has a break-even point of +239, giving Buffalo value at +475. Also, home underdogs between +10 and +13.5 are 29-57, 33.7% SU, which has a break-even point of only +197.
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10-08-07 07:34 AM #5
Dont like this game. Hate double digit dogs at home. Sad part is I don't have enough faith in the Bills. I can see Dallas by 17
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10-08-07 11:00 AM #6
Dallas may get caught looking ahead next week vs. New England also, this may be one of them trap games possibly tonight. I don't think the Bills are a bad play tonight at all. I would really like it if it moves up to 10 1/2 or 11 before game time. Dallas could win by 10 on the button here.
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10-08-07 11:49 AM #7
Can't see past Dallas here they would need an awful day not to cover in this game.
The Bills D is bad when heathly and while they have a running game they will need to throw the ball to keep up. Dallas can be throw on but would you trust the bills QB.
Every game like this I am getting killed on so that means the Bills will cover. The true Dallas will be shown up here but surely ROMO will have another big day????
You are betting on blind faith rather than facts if you back the Bills but I am sure they could cover. This game should be a big pass for me but I am going chasing WK losses on a big ML/spread bet on Dallas..
Come on COWGIRLS
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10-08-07 11:51 AM #8
I think this is the toughest game of the week to call. The reason is that nobody knows about this Buffalo QB. He looked good against the Jet, but that doesn't say much. Laying off is the best bet.
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10-08-07 12:12 PM #9
I'm laying off this game.
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10-08-07 01:33 PM #10
Do you guys think i should let my parlay ride with Boys-3 over 39 or hedge it like a MOFO Originally Posted by Checkerboard
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10-08-07 01:38 PM #11
I hope Dallas loses just because I hate Dallas. That and my Packers lost, so I don't want anyone else in the NFc to be 5-0. Just being honest.
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10-08-07 01:39 PM #12
Originally Posted by counterfiet100
Do you guys think i should let my parlay ride with Boys-3 over 39 or hedge it like a MOFO
Ride it out 'bro... I think its got a real good shot of winning.
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10-08-07 01:47 PM #13
I'm feeling like making a stupid bet to try and get back to even for the weekend. I haven't made one yet, and I think we're all entitled to every now and then lol. So, though I'm not confident at all, I'll take the Cowboys.
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10-08-07 01:48 PM #14
Originally Posted by abacus30
**** it right
il put a minor hedge on it....for fun but yeah i think its got a good shot too
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10-08-07 02:06 PM #15
Originally Posted by curious
curious...I respect your opinions...but the cowboy aren't a rice, utah, or northwestern..they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries...GL if they win you get the last laugh, but I think the Cowboys win by 14 pts tonite....
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10-08-07 02:08 PM #16
dallas -3 over 39?? ride it!! I have dallas -3.5 over 38 myself Originally Posted by abacus30
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10-08-07 02:14 PM #17
Originally Posted by WestsidePete
yeah i just hope the bills can put up something
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10-08-07 02:22 PM #18
I've got the under 45. I think the Bills come out with high emotion and play a controlling offense. Very time consuming with drives ending up in field goals.
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10-08-07 02:49 PM #19
Buffalo +10 score will be around Buff 34 Dal 17
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10-08-07 02:52 PM #20
Buf 34 Dal 17?? You mean Dal 34 Buf 17 right?? Originally Posted by swifty
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10-08-07 02:56 PM #21
Here's a parlay for tonite
Yankees ML Cowboys ML 500 to win 360
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10-08-07 02:58 PM #22
westside pete you post something interesting about the cowboys:
"they're an undefeated pro team going vs a team with one win and many injuries"
sounds a little like the packers last night? and how many squares were on gb?
dallas tonight is the square play of the week, everyone's chasing back losses as the books made out like bandits sat/sun.
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10-08-07 03:05 PM #23
So you are saying you are playing the sharp bet on the Bills? Originally Posted by milwaukee mike
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10-08-07 04:51 PM #24
Good luck. I hate the Cowboys but the Bills are hurting. Originally Posted by curious
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10-08-07 05:40 PM #25
couldn't have said it better myself. Originally Posted by WestsidePete
cowboys win by at least 2 td's but probably more.
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10-08-07 05:47 PM #26
Bills +17.5 Under 52
Dallas will be saving their energy for the Pats next weekend.
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10-08-07 05:49 PM #27
The Bills D isn't even close to the quality of the Bears D...I took the Bears teaser +10 and under 48 by the way...and if it wasn't for the fumbles GB would have won. Can Buffalo do that tonite?? Have they done it at all this year?? I mean the Bears are still the team that went to the Super Bowl last year...a hell of a lot of pride in that team...what have the Bills done lately?? playoffs??If they go down by 10 pts do they have the kind of defense to stuff Dallas like the Bears did last night in the 3rd quarter?? I don't think so...I would like to see some kind of trend to be able to say yes..but I don't...So I'm on Dallas but teasing it down to -3.5...normally I'd take the home dog on this, but with no trend to show me otherwise I'm on the fav this time. Originally Posted by milwaukee mike
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10-08-07 06:08 PM #28
78% on Dallas.
Why would the books give away all that money?
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10-08-07 06:14 PM #29
hey curious dont let anyone dog a big ML bet lol. Anyways good luck I got dallas team total over 27 1/2 so as long as they score 28, I hope Buff scores 31 for you.
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10-08-07 06:16 PM #30
WTF, Why did my post get deleted?????????
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10-08-07 06:18 PM #31
Curious did you cry to the mods????
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10-08-07 06:19 PM #32
Mods, your're goona let Curious bitch you around like that, I made a good point in those post.
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10-08-07 06:44 PM #33
where do you find those stats zootiehead? Originally Posted by zootiehead
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10-08-07 07:01 PM #34
The public wins about 48% of the time. Originally Posted by zootiehead
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10-08-07 07:10 PM #35
Cowboys all the way here!!
Cowboys 31
Bills 10
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