Don't worry. Indy losing their starting RB does not hurt as much as Tampa Bay losing theirs. The difference is, no defense is gutsy enough to stuff the box freely against the Colts without worrying about Peyton Manning roasting them through the air. So Joseph Addai, while he does a phenomenal job, is able to churn out his respectable yardage in a fashion that someone like Ladanian Tomlinson can't. So whoever Indy sticks in there to replace him should be able to get a decent enough 3ypc+.
The other two losses hurt for sure, but I wouldn't start hedging your bets just yet. I actually still like the Colts to cover but with all of this information I'm not sure I'm betting it.
All the numbers point to the Colts. Even with Addai, Harrison, Sanders out, the Colts should pull this one out.
TB Offense can score against the IND D even with Williams out.
Dungy is playing the team that dropped him and won the Super Bowl with Gruden the next year. Don't you think Dungy wants to pound this team into the ground and show TB blew it when they fired him? As for Gruden? Don't you think he wants to show that he was not just in the right place at the right time?
Dungy will probably sit Addai, Harrison and Sanders so they can heal. Dungy knows this is a long season, and wants his key players to be there when the time is needed. With a bye next week, and a strong hold on the division, Dungy doesn't need to sacrifice their health. Dungy is a religious guy, and likely doesn't hold grudges. Dungy knows he can win this game, and could care less about the spread.
Gruden doesn't care about his players, he just wants to win, win at all costs and play it for the media to see. I see Gruden doing a great job in the broadcast booth when this coaching thing is over. Gruden may hold grudges and appears to be a highly insecure person. Gruden wants to show that TB is on par with the Colts right now, and if Gruden can beat Dungy and the Colts, some of the - winning the super bowl with Dungy's players - may be muted. Gruden's personality and Garcia's attitude are a good fit, and they may find a way to scratch and claw their way to just lose by a touchdown (or even less.)
In all seriousness: I still like the Colts to win, even with Sanders, Addai, and Harrison out because they are at home and Manning has plenty of other targets to hit. But the offense is hampered a bit, and Garcia is still a wild-card here.
Colts to win but TB to cover at +7.5, oh and I would tease this one if I had to bet on it........