The Colts are the play here. They are the faster, more talented, arguably better coached, hotter team here hosting the Broncos. They didn't cover two weeks ago, and pushed last week for most of us, but they did play on the road back to back and won both games. That speaks a lot about the strength of the team, considering the games weren't gimmes.
They could have blown out the Texans, a few uncharacteristic spotty throws from Peyton, a few lucky plays by Houston in the 4th quarter and a field goal fest late from Indy led to a disappointing push.
They are playing well in terms of stopping the run, they should have an even easier time at home using their quickness on the turf, they've been solid their last few outings at home in that capacity.
Broncos have great corner backs, but Indy also has a great third option in Dallas Clark, I think he's going to make some big plays like he always does, Anthony Gonzales was disappointing with a couple drops last week, I like him to catch a few passes. I also think the corners are going to get burned deep inevitably at some point throughout the game by Wayne or Harrison.
They can't commit too many defenders in the box obviously, so Addai should average a pretty easy 3-4 yds per carry, he's always capable of popping one for a first down or more so that's another advantage Indy has. Lets not get too carried away though, I don't smell an all out romp with some early season kinks but a victory nonetheless.
Final Score Prediction
Indy 30 : Denver 17