Originally Posted by
regularguy
I'm with Dougoudou with regard to Denver. The more I look at this game the more I think I will take the points (+9.5) and put a bet on the Broncos at Indy.
The thing that catches my eye is Denver's impressive team stats. They have a solid all-around team, and an excellent defense in particular. The Broncos are 4th in AFC in total offense (Indy is 2nd), and 3rd in AFC in total defense (Indy is 5th). Denver's defense has given up an average of only 88.3 passing yards per game (best in AFC). The Broncos' defense might be able to frustrate Manning, at little bit at least.
This is a very good team that is going to lose several games. Their schedule is nasty. After Indy, they get San Diego, Pittsburgh, and Green Bay. If they keep performing the way they have been, statistically, it may be worth keeping an eye on their lines.
I think they are stinging from last weekend's home loss to the Jags, and will want this one badly. Upsetting the Colts would be a major feather in their helmets, and would get them mentioned among the elite. I believe this game is going to be a battle. The Colts may well win it, but I'll take the 9.5 points, betting it will at least be fairly close.
I'm putting a modest bet on the Broncos.