[nep1293]

Week 2 Record (12-3-1 , 80%)
Yearly Record (17-12-3, 58.62%)

A fantastic Week 2 gets us to where we want to be, around the 58% mark. I'm still a little ticked about Week 1. That should have been at worst a break even week. I screwed that up.


WEEK 3 PICKS
Colts (-6) @ Texans .....72.03%
Chargers (-3.5) @ Packers .....50.62%
Vikings (+2) @ Chiefs .....62.67%
Lions (+6.5) @ Eagles ..... 56.73%
Bills (+14) @ Patriots .....72.29%
Dolphins (+3) @ Jets .....58.39%
49ers @ Steelers (-8.5) .....60.14%
Cardinals @ Ravens (-9) .....57.87%
Rams (+3) @ Buccaneers .....58.39%
Jaguars @ Broncos (-3.5) .....69.43%
Bengals (+3) @ Seahawks .....58.39%
Browns @ Raiders (-3.5) .....69.43%
Panthers (-3.5) @ Falcons .....50.62%
Giants @ Redskins (-4) ..... 56.38%
Cowboys (+3) @ Bears .....58.39%
Titans (+5) @ Saints .....56.81%

[austintx05]

what do these %'s mean?

[Tchocky]

I like most of your picks. What is the percentage next to your pick? If the percentage is higher, then do you feel the greater the probability?

[nep1293]

The percentages are the outcomes of similar games from the last 5 years based on the opening lines. They are the expected win % for each game.

Check out this post from NCAA Football week 1 and it goes into a lot more detail

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...cks-chart.html

In theory, the higher percent means a better play. But the chart is designed to play the entire board, not pick and choose games.

[paul Mordeeb]

" designed to play the entire board! " I like your thinking! Anyone who can use the words " entire board " in any post is worth reading!!!!

You know who the biggest play is every other saturday???? Hawaii or the team their playing!!!!!!

[nep1293]

" designed to play the entire board! " I like your thinking! Anyone who can use the words " entire board " in any post is worth reading!!!!

You know who the biggest play is every other saturday???? Hawaii or the team their playing!!!!!!

This is my favorite aspect of the system. I think it's a blast to have a bet on every game. Not exactly what most gamblers would recommend but it seems to work for me.

[nep1293]

certainly not a good day, it doesnt help when half the teams are blowing double digit leads. we'll get em next week i guess.