1. 09-10-07 12:51 PM #1
    r2d2
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    Public money = 63% cincy 37% ravens

    if 63% of the public is on cincy tonight

    and the other 37% is on ravens

    why did the line move to -2.5 from -3? If the majority of the action is coming in bengals, shouldn't the line have gone the other way to cincy -3.5 to balance the action and get people to bit on the ravens at +3.5



    I am missing something here?

    By the way, stats taken from thespread.com
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  2. 09-10-07 01:21 PM #2
    moneyplays
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    r2d2,

    That is not always the case. I believe they also factor in the amount of money wagered. Sometimes syndicates move big money on a lopsided game and cause the wager to move in the opposite direction.
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  3. 09-10-07 01:45 PM #3
    r2d2
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    Appreciate the insight. SO, if that theory is in play tongiht, am I to assume someone (or group of money) hit the ravens with a ton of $$$?
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  4. 09-10-07 01:59 PM #4
    austintx05
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    its more important to know who the smart money is on than %'s
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  5. 09-10-07 02:04 PM #5
    moneyplays
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    Quote Originally Posted by r2d2 View Post
    Appreciate the insight. SO, if that theory is in play tongiht, am I to assume someone (or group of money) hit the ravens with a ton of $$$?
    Yes, I think so. Although, they are not always right.

    BOL,
    mp
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  6. 09-10-07 02:05 PM #6
    EJandV
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    source ?

    Quote Originally Posted by r2d2 View Post
    if 63% of the public is on cincy tonight

    and the other 37% is on ravens

    why did the line move to -2.5 from -3? If the majority of the action is coming in bengals, shouldn't the line have gone the other way to cincy -3.5 to balance the action and get people to bit on the ravens at +3.5



    I am missing something here?

    By the way, stats taken from thespread.com
    hey bro , where are you getting those % s from ? I know one place you really should not pay attention to . If it is through a sportsbook you really cant trust the % s .............
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  7. 09-10-07 02:08 PM #7
    ShowMeDaMoney
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    How exactly do you go about figuring out who is the smart money? In this situation I would guess that the "smart money" is on the Ravens because the line actually went down even though more people are betting on Cinci?
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  8. 09-10-07 02:10 PM #8
    r2d2
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    Quote Originally Posted by EJandV View Post
    hey bro , where are you getting those % s from ? I know one place you really should not pay attention to . If it is through a sportsbook you really cant trust the % s .............


    www.thespread.com
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  9. 09-10-07 02:14 PM #9
    r2d2
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    Also, www.wagerline.com is another place i check.

    they have 56% bungels 44% ravens
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  10. 09-10-07 02:15 PM #10
    austintx05
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    same as sports insights
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  11. 09-10-07 02:29 PM #11
    r2d2
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    Quote Originally Posted by austintx05 View Post
    same as sports insights
    is this good? or bad? who should i be using for %'s? any help is appreciated.
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  12. 09-10-07 02:44 PM #12
    austintx05
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    its fine
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