1. 01-28-21 10:52 AM #1
    pologq
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    Missed Extra Point Prop a Good Bet?

    Yes (missed extra point after TD) +234
    No (missed extra point after TD) -319

    Worth some on Yes right?
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  2. 01-28-21 10:53 AM #2
    RudyRuetigger
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    does a missed 2pt conversion count??????
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  3. 01-28-21 10:55 AM #3
    pologq
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    specifically for PAT. just hovered over the fine print area.
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  4. 01-28-21 10:55 AM #4
    carolinakid
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    wait until very late to see if the game will have any good wind
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  5. 01-28-21 10:56 AM #5
    pimike
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    Nobody Can kick this year, so yea.

    Lol
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  6. 01-28-21 10:57 AM #6
    carolinakid
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    the 1st score with be a fg always a good bet for the sb
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  7. 01-28-21 11:01 AM #7
    Igor_1965
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    I think Brady interception is a good bet, if you can have it around EVENS
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  8. 01-28-21 11:18 AM #8
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Igor_1965 View Post
    I think Brady interception is a good bet, if you can have it around EVENS
    i think so too. even if they win or he plays well there will be 1 int.
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  9. 01-28-21 11:19 AM #9
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by pimike View Post
    Nobody Can kick this year, so yea.

    Lol
    exactly lol


    and carolina, you are right about the wind. i think it is worth $$ even with no wind.
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  10. 01-28-21 11:42 AM #10
    aveeno
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    https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/sta...conversion-pct

    Both K.C and Tampa in the bottom quartile.
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  11. 01-28-21 11:45 AM #11
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by aveeno View Post
    https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/sta...conversion-pct

    Both K.C and Tampa in the bottom quartile.
    good stats, thanks
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  12. 01-28-21 11:48 AM #12
    pimike
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    Missed extra point

    Does Brady throw a pick



    YES
    YES

    Good thinking.


    Looking over props myself.



    Need brother Seahawk Harry to chime in. The prop king.


    Good job men.
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  13. 01-28-21 12:05 PM #13
    USCPHILLYGUY
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    Saw some interesting props through wagertalk.

    team to score last wins game has won 11 straight.

    Longest TD UNDER 48.5 yards 4-1 last 5

    Score 1st 6 minutes has been NO the last 4 years

    Under 3.5 FG is UNDER 7 of last 10 years.
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  14. 01-28-21 12:07 PM #14
    carolinakid
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    they need over and under the targeting hits
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  15. 01-28-21 12:21 PM #15
    ace7550
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    I definitely like Brady +0.5 INT's.
    I'm not in on the missed extra point though.
    Butker has hit 14 of his last 15. Succop has hit 13 of his last 14. At +234 it's pretty much a toss up. If it's windy it's +EV. If the weather is nice I'd probably pass.
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  16. 01-28-21 12:25 PM #16
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by USCPHILLYGUY View Post
    Saw some interesting props through wagertalk.

    team to score last wins game has won 11 straight.

    Longest TD UNDER 48.5 yards 4-1 last 5

    Score 1st 6 minutes has been NO the last 4 years

    Under 3.5 FG is UNDER 7 of last 10 years.
    Good stuff.. however Hill could bust a longer TD than 48 yards.
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  17. 01-28-21 12:25 PM #17
    ace7550
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    Of all the superbowl props I've seen I like the over on this one the most:

    Super Bowl Commercials
    How many commercials will show person wearing mask
    06:30 PM 55018 Over 2½ Commercials -400
    55019 Under 2½ Commercials +250
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  18. 01-28-21 12:26 PM #18
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace7550 View Post
    Of all the superbowl props I've seen I like the over on this one the most:

    Super Bowl Commercials
    How many commercials will show person wearing mask
    06:30 PM 55018 Over 2½ Commercials -400
    55019 Under 2½ Commercials +250
    Haha!!!


    Over with these people in office
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  19. 01-28-21 12:30 PM #19
    ace7550
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace7550 View Post
    Of all the superbowl props I've seen I like the over on this one the most:

    Super Bowl Commercials
    How many commercials will show person wearing mask
    06:30 PM 55018 Over 2½ Commercials -400
    55019 Under 2½ Commercials +250
    I just went to BOL to max bet this. I clicked on max bet and BOL entered in $10.00 for me
    Why even put a line up for something you are only willing to take $10.00 on?
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  20. 01-28-21 12:49 PM #20
    thomorino
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    I don’t see any value unless their is supposed to be significant wind.
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  21. 01-28-21 01:41 PM #21
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace7550 View Post
    Of all the superbowl props I've seen I like the over on this one the most:

    Super Bowl Commercials
    How many commercials will show person wearing mask
    06:30 PM 55018 Over 2½ Commercials -400
    55019 Under 2½ Commercials +250
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  22. 01-28-21 05:16 PM #22
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Over 6.5 TD's at -120 looks good.
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  23. 01-28-21 05:28 PM #23
    Otters27
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    Could happen easily. Worth a small shot
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  24. 01-28-21 05:34 PM #24
    Chi_archie
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    just depends on how many extra points you think are kicked. which depends upon how many TD's you think are scored and how close the game is.

    about 11% of attempted extra point kicks will statistically be missed in this game

    is that worth a bet on YES that pays out at 29.94% probability equivalency?


    with these coaches and this kind of game, I can easily see a situation where we end up in a two point conversion off, after just 1, 2 or 3 tds
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