1. #1
    thomorino
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    Pats at Chiefs - Pick

    I like the Chiefs at -3.

    The difference between the road this year Patriots team and Patriots teams of the past is this Patriots team has been very mediocre on the road. The Patriots offense hasn't been impressive on the road. The Chiefs offense struggled after Hunt was released and Watkins and Hill were hurt, but Hill and Watkins are healthy now and the Chiefs running game has been strong with Williams. The Chiefs know what the Patriots defensive game plan likely will be since these teams played, so Reid should be able to adjust, and the Patriots defense has been much better at home the last month. The Chiefs play man, not zone, which has been more successful against Brady, and the Chiefs defense has been much better at home and is built to play with the lead because of their pass rush. Andy Reid's playoff failures in the past have been because he was too conservative, he was aggressive against Indianapolis and should be aggressive here too. The Pats always got calls at home, but here they are on the road.

  2. #2
    lakerboy
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    Agreed

  3. #3
    blackHIPPY
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    Patriots it is

  4. #4
    shocka1212
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    I'm going to take the rams and chiefs.
    Last edited by shocka1212; 01-14-19 at 12:11 AM. Reason: brain fart

  5. #5
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by blackHIPPY View Post
    Patriots it is
    Fuk off

  6. #6
    thechaoz
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    Fuk off

  7. #7
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by thechaoz View Post
    Fuk off
    Fuk off

  8. #8
    Big Bear
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    Lets all get along

  9. #9
    Slipknot26
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    So the Pats win by 13-18 @ +850 is the way to go .
    Ok , thanks

  10. #10
    19th Hole
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    ɟɟo ʞnɟ

  11. #11
    RiverDog21
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    Noooooo!!!!!!!! I was going to take the Chiefs. I guess the value is with the patriots now.

  12. #12
    Seaweed
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    Its ok

  13. #13
    jjgold
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    can he be wrong again?

  14. #14
    Snowball
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    Chiefs are bush league. They squeaked by a tired Indy with refs help.

  15. #15
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Chiefs are bush league. They squeaked by a tired Indy with refs help.
    Refs helped the pats early on as well kept some drives alive .

    Kc needed to get that one win. Now they will unleash

  16. #16
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Refs helped the pats early on as well kept some drives alive .

    Kc needed to get that one win. Now they will unleash
    I thoguht you don't watch the games? Anyway I can't trust the Chiefs against BB. BB is too smart,
    Chiefs make mistakes - yes, they have an edge on speed, but that's about all.. trying to deny BB
    a shot at SB is not easy and I have to fade this young Chiefs team even at Arrowhead.

  17. #17
    sweep
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    if you are not on Pats $-line you're a jerkoff

  18. #18
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slipknot26 View Post
    So the Pats win by 13-18 @ +850 is the way to go .
    Ok , thanks
    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    ɟɟo ʞnɟ
    Quote Originally Posted by RiverDog21 View Post
    Noooooo!!!!!!!! I was going to take the Chiefs. I guess the value is with the patriots now.
    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Its ok
    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    can he be wrong again?
    Quote Originally Posted by sweep View Post
    if you are not on Pats $-line you're a jerkoff
    Fuk off

  19. #19
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Fuk off
    Fukk off

  20. #20
    pinnacle420
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    Looks like Brady will be in another super bowl!!!

  21. #21
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Fukk off
    Quote Originally Posted by pinnacle420 View Post
    Looks like Brady will be in another super bowl!!!
    Fuk off

  22. #22
    navyblue81
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    themorino has one of the worst records of anyone on here. In other words, if he's picking the Chiefs, it's a guarantee Pats cover.

    Ugh...and I was going to pick KC.

  23. #23
    RiverDog21
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    themorino has one of the worst records of anyone on here. In other words, if he's picking the Chiefs, it's a guarantee Pats cover.

    Ugh...and I was going to pick KC.
    My thoughts exactly. I was going to bet the Chiefs, woke up this morning and saw this thread and now I’m back to the drawing board.

  24. #24
    Da Manster!
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    @navyblue81 and riverdog21...another way to look at it is that Morino is due to win a wager and finally get a pick right!...the law of averages theory...maybe this is the game?......I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'...

  25. #25
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    And then there is the fact that I'm 6-1 in the playoffs ATS posted thread and I picked the chiefs-3 as well . That could be good or bad depending if you are a pessimist or a optimist.

  26. #26
    no1here
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    The game is a toss up, loving the under 57 on both games

  27. #27
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by navyblue81 View Post
    themorino has one of the worst records of anyone on here. In other words, if he's picking the Chiefs, it's a guarantee Pats cover.

    Ugh...and I was going to pick KC.
    Quote Originally Posted by RiverDog21 View Post

    My thoughts exactly. I was going to bet the Chiefs, woke up this morning and saw this thread and now I’m back to the drawing board.
    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    @navyblue81 and riverdog21...another way to look at it is that Morino is due to win a wager and finally get a pick right!...the law of averages theory...maybe this is the game?......I'm not sayin', I'm just sayin'...
    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    And then there is the fact that I'm 6-1 in the playoffs ATS posted thread and I picked the chiefs-3 as well . That could be good or bad depending if you are a pessimist or a optimist.
    Fuk off

  28. #28
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by no1here View Post
    The game is a toss up, loving the under 57 on both games
    I'm not on the total but totals over 55 have been too low all year, Pats will obviously want to run the ball, but if they get behind they won't be able to do that.

  29. #29
    RiverDog21
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Fuk off
    Thank you for the thoughtful response sir. It is much appreciated

  30. #30
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by RiverDog21 View Post

    Thank you for the thoughtful response sir. It is much appreciated
    Fuk off

  31. #31
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Chiefs are bush league. They squeaked by a tired Indy with refs help.
    Huh I thought it was because Mack only ran for 45 yards behind that so called great O line . Or maybe it was Luck's fault because he was 19 for 36 and the offense only put 6 on the board vs the Chiefs horrible defense Maybe it was because that O line couldn't protect Luck from Houston and Ford strip sacking him not once but twice Jones pressuring him up the middle while swatting his shit out of the sky 4 or 5 times himself . 0-9 ......ZERO FOR NINE on third down . Man, you go bet on the Patriots please. Chiefs - 3 .. Chiefs ml first half

  32. #32
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by House View Post
    Huh I thought was because Mack only ran for 45 yards behind that so called great O line . Or maybe it was Luck's fault because he was 19 for 36 and the offense only put 6 on the board vs the Chiefs horrible defense Maybe it was because that O line couldn't protect Luck from Houston and Ford strip sacking him not once but twice Jones pressuring him up the middle while swatting his shit out of the sky 4 or 5 times himself . 0-9 ......ZERO FOR NINE on third down . Man, you go bet on the Patriots please. Chiefs - 3 .. Chiefs ml first half
    If the Colts didn't have that fluke blocked punt the game would have been a blowout, the Chiefs dominated that game in every way. Chiefs defense gave up 16 points at home, 32 on the road, the pass rush at Arrowhead is much stronger.

  33. #33
    shocka1212
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    I think the chiefs win, but don't cover

  34. #34
    thomorino
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    Not that I care 3 point favorites that win cover the spread 90% of the time, whatever the result is the value is laying the 3. The Patriots always get a premium in the betting market, they've been overvalued on the road.

  35. #35
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    I think the chiefs win, but don't cover
    Here's the thing .
    Pats 1-3 at Arrowhead since Brady and Bilichick
    When the Chiefs win they cover. When they lose its been very close over the 4 games .
    Last time they played at Arrowhead was that 41-14 blowout .
    Last year in their house Chiefs blew them out 42-27 blowout
    this year in their house 43- 40 they won
    then post season in their crib a couple years ago (2015 ) they got us 27-20
    You know Im a Chiefs fan but Im telling you right now .. Chiefs cover

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