1. #36
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    I'm awful this year. Will tally my tecord after tonight's game.

    That Detroit game could have gone under if they would have played any defense in the first half.

    Sunday Night Game

    DALLAS +7.5 -110 // 2.20 units to win 2

    DALLAS +295 ML // 1 unit to win 2.95

  2. #37
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Weeks 8, 9, 10 results:

    --------Week 8 – Sun. Oct.28----------
    MADE NO PICKS in WEEK 8

    --------Week 9 – Sun. Nov.4----------
    -1.07 CLEVELAND +8 -107 ---> score 37-21 home loss vs KC (closed -400 favorite)
    -1.07 UNDER 46.5 -107 ATL@WSH ---> score 38-14 WSH home loss vs ATL
    -1.10 DALLAS -4 -110 ---> score 28-14 home loss vs TENN (closed +180 road dog)
    -1.10 DETROIT +4.5 -110 ---> score 24-9 road loss at MINN (closed -240 favorite)
    -1.00 DETROIT +190 ML
    -4.60 DENVER -1 -115 ---> score 19-17 home loss vs HOU (closed around HOU +100)

    --------Week 10 – Sun. Nov.11----------
    -2.20 UNDER 44.5 -110 DET@CHI ---> score 34-22 DET road loss at CHI
    -1.10 LA RAMS -9 -110 ---> score 36-31 home win vs SEA (LAR closed -450 favorite)
    +2.00 DALLAS +7.5 -110 ---> score 27-20 road win at PHI
    +2.95 DALLAS +295 ML
    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Weeks 8 thru 10 = -8.29 units (W/L = 2-8 = .200 pct)

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -3.27 units (W/L = 12-22-3 = .352 pct)
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Feels like I'm making mistakes / and missing follow-thru picks (there were a couple more ML dogs which won outright today, including Tennessee and Cleveland).

    At least in Week 9 most my losses were 1-unit picks, then the chase play on the Broncos crashed.

  3. #38
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Week 11 - Sunday Night game

    CHICAGO -2.5 -115 // 3.51 units to win 3

    Was gonna take Vikings until I looked into this more, came up with two convincing reasons to side with the home team. We'll see if it was valid thinking.

  4. #39
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    sorry -117 was the odds I got on the -2.5 spread. So 3.51 to win 3 is correct.

  5. #40
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Week 11 results:

    --------Nov.18----------

    +3.00 CHICAGO -2.5 -117 ---> score 25-20 home win vs MINN


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -0.27 units (W/L = 13-22-3 = .371 pct)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    All good if we can just make one pick per week and make it a good sized win.

    Actually had Vikings in BTP contest this morning, but when I looked into this game further for wagering purposes, made the right call to change sides.

  6. #41
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Week 12

    Thursday Nov.22

    ATLANTA +12.5 -105 // 1.05 units to win 1

  7. #42
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Sunday Nov.25

    NY JETS +13 -120 // 6 units to win 5

  8. #43
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Week 13

    Thursday Nov.29

    NEW ORLEANS -7 -120 // 2.40 units to win 2

  9. #44
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Weeks 12 thru 16 results:

    --------Week 12 – Thurs.-Sun. Nov.22+25----------

    -1.05 ATLANTA +12.5 -105 ---> score 31-17 road loss at NO

    -6.00 NY JETS +13 -120 ---> score 27-13 home loss vs NE


    --------Week 13 – Thurs. Nov.29----------

    -2.40 NEW ORLEANS -7 -120 ---> score 13-10 road loss at DAL (closed around DAL +285)


    --------Weeks 14,15,16--------------

    MADE NO PICKS in WEEKS 14,15,16


    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Weeks 12 thru 16 = -9.45 units (W/L = 0-3)

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -9.72 units (W/L = 13-25-3 = .342 pct)
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Truth is, I haven't been interested in NFL this year, since about halfway thru the season. I recall doing some research specifically for the Sunday Night game in Chicago for Week 11, which paid off. But the weeks prior to and then directly after I really was not paying attention enough to the league. My focus was on the NHL hockey season, and I'm not finding the NFL holds my interest as much as it used to, for several reasons such as the subjective referees, hard-hitting being discouraged in some aspects, and the side-show antics by some of the players off the field.

  10. #45
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Having said that, I have been looking into this week a little bit and might have a couple plays. For now...

    Week 17

    Sunday Dec.30

    MINNESOTA -240 ML // 2.40 units to win 1
    MINNESOTA -5.5 -110 // 1.10 units to win 1


    Two main reasons for this pick. Minnesota fighting to make the playoffs, while Chicago is already in. Also, Chicago hasn't been the best road team, they have had pretty weak opponents this year in previous road games.

  11. #46
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    adding ::

    INDIANAPOLIS -230 ML // 2.30 units to win 1

    FUTURE: TO WIN AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
    INDIANAPOLIS +1400 // 1 unit to win 14.00

  12. #47
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    adding ::

    OAKLAND +14 -105 // 3.15 units to win 3



    final pick for Week 17

  13. #48
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Week 17 results:

    --------Sun. Dec.30----------

    -2.40 MINNESOTA -240 ML ---> score 24-10 home loss vs CHI (closed around CHI +205)
    -1.10 MINNESOTA -5.5 -110
    +1.00 INDIANAPOLIS -230 ML ---> score 33-17 road win at TENN
    -3.15 OAKLAND +14 -105 ---> score 35-3 road loss at KC (turnovers 4 OAK vs 1 KC)

    ----------------------------------------------------------
    Week 17 = -5.65 units (W/L = 1-3)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -15.37 units (W/L = 14-28-3 = .333 pct)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Pending: INDIANAPOLIS AFC CHAMPIONS @ +1400 // 1 unit to win 14.00



  14. #49
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Wild Card round of Playoffs

    Saturday Jan.5

    INDIANAPOLIS +112 ML // 2 units to win 2.24


    Yeah I'm terrible NFL this season, but not stopping me from keeping record on my actual plays.

    Riding the Colts here, will see if they can get to the AFC Championship game, then decide what to do with that Future @ +1400 was able to get before Sunday Night's "win and get in game" at Tennessee.

  15. #50
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Sunday Jan.6

    BALTIMORE -3 +104// 1 units to win 1.04

  16. #51
    Hman
    Hman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-17
    Posts: 21,429
    Betpoints: 1222

    GL today HC

  17. #52
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Saturday Jan.5 - adding ::

    INDIANAPOLIS +2 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

    Already posted my early week moneyline pick on the Colts. Just adding a couple units on the spread now at +2 since it can be done with cheap vig.

  18. #53
    Hman
    Hman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-17
    Posts: 21,429
    Betpoints: 1222

    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Saturday Jan.5 - adding ::

    INDIANAPOLIS +2 -105 // 2.10 units to win 2

    Already posted my early week moneyline pick on the Colts. Just adding a couple units on the spread now at +2 since it can be done with cheap vig.


  19. #54
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Hman, are you on the Colts also?

  20. #55
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    adding units ::

    BALTIMORE -3 +100 // 2 units to win 2

  21. #56
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Wildcard Round results: Saturday Jan.5 – Sunday Jan.6

    --------Jan.5----------
    +2.24 INDIANAPOLIS +112 ML ---> score 21-7 road win at HOU
    +2.00 INDIANAPOLIS +2 -105 spread

    --------Jan.6----------
    - 3.00 BALTIMORE -3 +104/+100 spread ---> score 23-17 home loss vs LAC (LAC closed around +125)

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Wilcard Round = +1.24 units (W/L = 2-1)

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -14.13 units (W/L = 16-29-3 = .355 pct)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Pending: INDIANAPOLIS AFC CHAMPIONS @ +1400 // 1 unit to win 14.00



    Colts have to go into Kansas City next week. Not sure yet if I'll pass on the game and just let my Futures bet ride.

  22. #57
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Colts future is torched after facing KC

    Divisional Round of Playoffs

    Saturday Jan.12

    DALLAS +285 ML // 3 units to win 8.55

    There's a few factors for me on this play. Its a tall order to keep winning on the road but if the NFC East is going to advance this week, I think it would be Dallas, rather than Philly beating New Orleans tomorrow. So decent sized moneyline bet here, no spread.

  23. #58
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Divisional Round of Playoffs

    Sunday Jan.13

    LA CHARGERS +175 ML // 2 units to win 3.50

    LA CHARGERS -5 -125 *buy 1 point // 2.50 units to win 2

    We all can state a bunch of reasons for this game. I'm playing it this way.

  24. #59
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    adding ::

    TEAM TO SCORE FIRST: LA CHARGERS +116 // 2 units to win 2.32

  25. #60
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    ugly

    adding LIVE :: (score 35-7 Patriots)

    UNDER 67.5 -120 // 6 units to win 5

  26. #61
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    After getting my azz kicked last week, here's what I got today.

    Sunday Jan.20 - Conference Championships

    LA RAMS +3 +100 // 3 units to win 3

    FUTURES: SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS - NEW ENGLAND +385 // 3 units to win 11.55

  27. #62
    Hman
    Hman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-17
    Posts: 21,429
    Betpoints: 1222

    GL today hc

  28. #63
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Divisional and Conference Playoffs results: Saturday Jan.12 – Sunday Jan.20


    --------Jan.12- Divsional---------
    - 1.00 INDIANAPOLIS +1400 FUTURES WIN AFC ---> score 31-13 road loss at KC (KC closed fav -4.5 spread for game)
    - 3.00 DALLAS +285 ML ---> score 30-22 road loss at LAR (LAR closed as fav. spread of -7 -115)


    --------Jan.13- Divisional---------
    - 2.00 LA CHARGERS +175 ML ---> score 41-28 road loss at NE
    - 2.50 LA CHARGERS +5 spread *buy 1 point (typo on gameday :: spread was +4, bought to +5)
    - 2.00 TEAM TO SCORE FIRST: CHARGERS +116 ---> Patriots surprisingly chose to receive after won coin toss
    - 6.00 LIVE:UNDER 67.5 -120 ---> taken when score 35-7 BEFORE halftime


    --------Jan.20- Conference---------
    +3.00 LA RAMS +3 +100 ---> score 26-23 road Overtime / Comeback win at NO (LAR closed +140 ML)

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Divisional and Conference Rounds = -13.50 units (W/L = 1-6 = .142 pct)

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -27.63 units (W/L = 17-35-3 = .326 pct)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Pending: NEW ENGLAND SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS @ +385 // 3 units to win 11.55
    (taken before start of Conference Championships)


    Some of my thoughts right now….

    Terrible NFL season for me overall. I wasn’t paying enough attention to warrant the size of wagers that I did play through most of the season. Should have been 1 unit type of action wagers, if anything.

    Case in point was losing 12.50 units on the Chargers at Patriots in the Divisional Playoffs. Way too much to lose when being so obviously on the wrong side. My thinking was = the team from Los Angeles without a stadium yet needed a marketing push from the league, along with Phillip Rivers “due” for a deep playoff run. Maybe the idea wasn’t so far fetched… but it’s the LA Rams who we now know have made it to the Super Bowl.

    I took the Patriots future @ +385 to become Super Bowl Champions, which was the best price I found available Sunday morning prior to the start of the Conference playoffs on Jan.20.

    Rather than play the 3 units on the moneyline which was available as high as +160 before the start of the game in Kansas City, which after that won could have rolled the entire amount into the Super Bowl, but I figured Partiots would be favorites in the Super Bowl…. Currently the line has moved to Patriots -2.5 spread / -130 moneyline…. But apparently they opened at +1 at the first books to open the odds.

    So, I think the storyline favors the Patriots, Tom Brady, Belichick to win Championship #6 and ride off into the sunset.

    However, the Rams are the more complete team, although less experienced and without the pedigree. It would not surprise me if the Rams win the game. That was pretty impressive how they won that game on the road in New Orleans in comeback fashion. The controversy about the non-call Pass Interference late in the game was not the whole story to the game, as there were plenty of other plays made in the game. Also, this referee nonsense is the exact reason why I'm not as interested in football anymore... blown obvious calls and/or too many penalty calls throughout the season became normal...and its garbage to watch and wager on.

    I could babble on. My wager is in for the 3 units on the Patriots and feel good about the +385 odds. Not hedging nor adding anything to it.

  29. #64
    hotcross
    hotcross's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-17
    Posts: 7,934
    Betpoints: 7208

    Super Bowl results:

    --------Feb.3----------

    +11.55 FUTURES: NEW ENGLAND +385 Super Bowl Champions ---> score 13-3 vs LAR

    (wager made prior to start of AFC Championship game in KC, which Patriots closed at +140 ML)

    (Super Bowl gameday line closed @ Patiots -2 spread / -135 ML)


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    OVERALL THREAD = -16.08 units (W/L = 18-35-3 = .339 pct)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Good ending to a bad NFL season for me. I might not bother doing another NFL thread next year. Made some really dumb selections along the way, so there is a part of me that thinks I could improve.

First 12
Top