PropWizard NFL Player Prop Picks (Positive Units Guaranteed)
Excited to offer Player Prop Picks & Analytics just in time for Football Season!
Picks will be released ASAP to beat the steam from other sharp action. Picks will include Win Probability & Expected Value. These numbers are accurate and back-tested across a vast data set. These picks are not suggested, unless you can get the odds posted. However, I’ll do my best to post picks across multiple books, considering odds vary greatly from site to site. To adhere to forum rules, all sites are given a custom acronym so you’ll have to decide which site picks best match your market availability. This post will not advertise or list any sportsbooks, my twitter account, website, or any contact info, as it’s against forum rules to advertise anything. Please do not ask or DM.
Initially I expect a large volume of picks, but will likely decrease the number of picks as the season goes on. Be warned: some books may limit you if you’re deemed sharp action. Also as the season progresses, I may or may not release game props and straights that offer higher limits. The EV isn’t as high, though still very profitable.
As far as records, I’ll document picks and results. Transparency is paramount, so please note the site, the exact odd at the time of the pick, and the result. Inflated records are rampant so I’ll do my best to stick out from the crowd by providing unmatched transparency, results, and market influence.
Trolls, please stay away. This post is strictly to give Props.
Best of Luck!
BQP - 1:00 PM (CIN) Andy Dalton Completions OVER 20.5 @ -149BQP - 1:00 PM (TB) Ryan Fitzpatrick Completions OVER 19.5 @ -154*Note, I'll add the Win Probability & Expected Value to this picks this weekend or next.
There will be a large number of picks this week. Depending upon the book I may have anywhere from 5 to 30+ picks. Manage your bankroll wisely. This volume may seem excessive, but this still accounts for a small fraction of the total prop odds available.
Week 1 is hectic, but I'll do my best to post picks ASAP so the odds are widely accessible. I do not recommend chasing steam. I plan to post the Win Probability & Expected Value in the future, so you can better decide how you want to manage these picks.
If you're able to grind out these picks, I can guarantee positive units! Not many can claim that, or back it up with widely accessible odds that are tracked. This may seem unrealistic, or one may claim soft lines after the fact, but my model is highly sophisticated and I have a great track record of posting positive units every time.
BLD - 1:00 PM (CIN) Andy Dalton Completions OVER 20.5 @ -114
BLD - 1:00 PM (BAL) John Brown Receiving Yards Under 40.5 @ -114
BLD - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Receiving Yards Under 72.5 @ -114
BLD - 1:00 PM (HOU) DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Under 6.5 @ -114
BLD - 1:00 PM (CLE) Jarvis Landry Receptions Under 6 @ -114
BLD - 4:25 PM (SEA) Chris Carson Rushing Yards Under 48.5 @ -114
BOV - 1:00 PM (SF) Jimmy Garoppolo Completions OVER 22 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 273.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (TB) Adam Humphries Receiving Yards Under 29.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (BAL) Alex Collins Receiving Yards Under 16.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Bruce Ellington Receiving Yards Under 24.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (BAL) John Brown Receiving Yards Under 39.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (BAL) Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 52.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Receiving Yards Under 72.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (BUF) Zay Jones Receiving Yards Under 25.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (TB) Adam Humphries Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (BAL) Alex Collins Receptions Under 2 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (JAC) Austin Seferian-Jenkins Receptions Under 3.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Bruce Ellington Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (IND) Chester Rogers Receptions Under 2.5 @ -120
BOV - 1:00 PM (TEN) Corey Davis Receptions Under 4.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Under 6.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (BUF) Zay Jones Receptions Under 2 @ -125
BOV - 1:00 PM (JAC) Blake Bortles Rushing Yards Under 19.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 59.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Under 30.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (TEN) Dion Lewis Rushing Yards Under 37.5 @ -105
SPB - 1:00 PM (CIN) Andy Dalton Completions OVER 20.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (PIT) Ben Roethlisberger Completions Under 24.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (SF) Jimmy Garoppolo Completions OVER 22 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (GB) Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 275.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (PIT) Ben Roethlisberger Passing Yards Under 287.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 265.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (BAL) Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 235.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (MIN) Kirk Cousins Passing Yards OVER 260.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (BAL) John Brown Receiving Yards Under 43.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (BAL) Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Under 77.5 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (GB) Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 52.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receptions Under 5.5 @ -125
SPB - 8:20 PM (GB) Jamaal Williams Receptions Under 2 @ -105
SPB - 1:00 PM (CLE) Jarvis Landry Receptions Under 5.5 @ -125
SPB - 8:20 PM (GB) Jimmy Graham Receptions Under 4.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (CLE) Josh Gordon Receptions Under 3 @ -110
SPB - 1:00 PM (JAC) Leonard Fournette Receptions Under 3 @ -100
SPB - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Under 6 @ -115
SPB - 4:25 PM (WAS) Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 53.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:25 PM (SEA) Chris Carson Rushing Yards Under 47.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (MIN) Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Under 75.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 65.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (CIN) Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Under 66.5 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (CHI) Jordan Howard Rushing Yards Under 73.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:05 PM (KC) Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Under 77.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:05 PM (LAC) Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards Under 78.5 @ -115
SPB - 4:25 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 28.5 @ -115
Sorry for the delay. As I mentioned Week 1 is very hectic. The release times should improve going forward. Please note, I've added some PPH sites too. Best of luck.
Adding...
BKM - 1:00 PM (CLE) David Njoku Receptions Under 3 @ -152
BKM - 1:00 PM (SF) Jimmy Garoppolo Completions OVER 22.5 @ -115
BKM - 1:00 PM (BAL) Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 227.5 @ -127
BKM - 1:00 PM (BAL) Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 53.5 @ -122
BKM - 1:00 PM (BAL) John Brown Receiving Yards Under 38.5 @ -115
BKM - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Under 6 @ -153
BKM - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Jr. Receiving Yards Under 75.5 @ -136
BKM - 1:00 PM (NYG) Eli Manning TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -159
BKM - 1:00 PM (TB) Adam Humphries Receptions Under 2.5 @ -140
BKM - 1:00 PM (NO) Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Under 80.5 @ -127
BKM - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 253.5 @ -115
BKM - 1:00 PM (NE) Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Under 42.5 @ -108
BKM - 1:00 PM (NE) Tom Brady TD Passes Under 2.5 @ -145
BKM - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 62.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:05 PM (KC) Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Under 72.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:25 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:25 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 31.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receptions Under 5 @ -130
BKM - 4:25 PM (CAR) Devin Funchess Receiving Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
BKM - 4:25 PM (ARI) Christian Kirk Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BKM - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -115
BKM - 8:20 PM (GB) Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 46.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (BAL) Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 220.5 @ -115
BOV - 4:25 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 25.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:05 PM (KC) Chris Conley Receiving Yards Under 21.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (DAL) Cole Beasley Receiving Yards Under 27.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (DAL) Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Under 24.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (GB) Randall Cobb Receiving Yards Under 52.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (CAR) Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Under 24.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BOV - 4:05 PM (KC) Chris Conley Receptions Under 2 @ -120
BOV - 4:25 PM (ARI) Christian Kirk Receptions Under 2.5 @ -125
BOV - 4:25 PM (DAL) Cole Beasley Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (CAR) Devin Funchess Receptions Under 4 @ -120
BOV - 4:25 PM (DAL) Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Under 3 @ -130
BOV - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receptions Under 4.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (GB) Jamaal Williams Receptions Under 2 @ -125
BOV - 4:25 PM (CAR) Torrey Smith Receptions Under 2 @ -115
BOV - 4:25 PM (WAS) Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 47.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (WAS) Alex Smith Rushing Yards Under 16.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NO) Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Under 74.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (SEA) Chris Carson Rushing Yards Under 47.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:05 PM (KC) Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Under 72.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (CHI) Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Under 18.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 29.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYG) Eli Manning TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -140
EAG - 1:00 PM (SF) Jimmy Garoppolo Completions OVER 21.5 @ -115
EAG - 8:20 PM (GB) Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 275.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 265.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (BAL) Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 227.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (MIN) Kirk Cousins Passing Yards OVER 260.5 @ -115
EAG - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receiving Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (BAL) John Brown Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (BAL) Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 52.5 @ -115
EAG - 4:25 PM (CAR) Greg Olsen Receptions Under 5.5 @ -125
EAG - 1:00 PM (CLE) Josh Gordon Receptions Under 3 @ -110
EAG - 1:00 PM (JAC) Leonard Fournette Receptions Under 3 @ -110
EAG - 1:00 PM (TB) Mike Evans Receptions Under 5.5 @ -140
EAG - 1:00 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Jr. Receptions Under 6 @ -125
EAG - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receptions Under 4 @ -125
EAG - 4:25 PM (WAS) Adrian Peterson Rushing Yards Under 53.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (NO) Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Under 77.5 @ -120
EAG - 4:25 PM (SEA) Chris Carson Rushing Yards Under 49.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 65.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Under 29.5 @ -110
EAG - 8:20 PM (CHI) Jordan Howard Rushing Yards Under 70.5 @ -115
EAG - 4:05 PM (KC) Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Under 77.5 @ -115
EAG - 4:05 PM (LAC) Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards Under 80.5 @ -115
EAG - 4:25 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 28.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (NYG) Eli Manning TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -160
EAG - 1:00 PM (NE) Tom Brady TD Passes Under 2.5 @ -160
QTR - 1:00 PM (CIN) Andy Dalton Passing Yards OVER 241.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 262.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (BAL) Joe Flacco Passing Yards Under 223.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (TB) Adam Humphries Receiving Yards Under 30.5 @ -120
QTR - 1:00 PM (BAL) Alex Collins Receiving Yards Under 17.5 @ +100
QTR - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Receiving Yards Under 18.5 @ -140
QTR - 1:00 PM (BAL) Chris Moore Receiving Yards Under 17.5 @ -110
QTR - 1:00 PM (NE) Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Under 20.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (MIA) Danny Amendola Receiving Yards Under 53.5 @ -140
QTR - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Under 17.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (SF) Garrett Celek Receiving Yards Under 15.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (MIA) Jakeem Grant Receiving Yards Under 37.5 @ -110
QTR - 1:00 PM (BUF) LeSean McCoy Receiving Yards Under 28.5 @ +100
QTR - 1:00 PM (BAL) Michael Crabtree Receiving Yards Under 52.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (CLE) Seth DeValve Receiving Yards Under 15.5 @ -145
QTR - 1:00 PM (TEN) Tajae Sharpe Receiving Yards Under 20.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (BUF) Zay Jones Receiving Yards Under 26.5 @ -140
QTR - 1:00 PM (JAC) Blake Bortles Rushing Yards Under 20.5 @ -120
QTR - 1:00 PM (MIN) Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards Under 72.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 69.5 @ -110
QTR - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Under 29.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (TEN) Dion Lewis Rushing Yards Under 37.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (MIA) Frank Gore Rushing Yards Under 28.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (NE) James White Rushing Yards Under 21.5 @ -155
QTR - 1:00 PM (PIT) Jaylen Samuels Rushing Yards Under 18.5 @ -105
QTR - 1:00 PM (TEN) Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Under 23.5 @ -120
QTR - 1:00 PM (TB) Peyton Barber Rushing Yards Under 58.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (NE) Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Under 43.5 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receiving Yards Under 44.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (TB) Mike Evans Receptions Under 5.5 @ -140
SPB - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receptions Under 4 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (NO) Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Under 77.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Under 29.5 @ -110
SPB - 1:00 PM (PIT) James Conner Rushing Yards Under 72.5 @ -100
SPB - 4:05 PM (LAC) Melvin Gordon Rushing Yards Under 80.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (NYG) Eli Manning TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -130
SPB - 1:00 PM (NE) Tom Brady TD Passes Under 2.5 @ -115
BOV - 8:20 PM (GB) Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 282.5 @ -100
BOV - 8:20 PM (GB) Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Under 19.5 @ -115
BOV - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -100
BOV - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receptions Under 4 @ -115
BOV - 8:20 PM (CHI) Jordan Howard Rushing Yards Under 70.5 @ -105
QTR - 8:20 PM (GB) Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Under 277.5 @ -115
QTR - 8:20 PM (CHI) Mitchell Trubisky Passing Yards OVER 205.5 @ -150
QTR - 8:20 PM (GB) Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Under 23.5 @ -115
QTR - 8:20 PM (GB) Jimmy Graham Receiving Yards Under 46.5 @ +120
QTR - 8:20 PM (CHI) Trey Burton Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -125
QTR - 8:20 PM (CHI) Jordan Howard Rushing Yards Under 73.5 @ -130
BLD - 7:10 PM (DET) Matthew Stafford Completions OVER 21.5 @ -114
BLD - 10:20 PM (LA) Brandin Cooks Receptions Under 4.5 @ -114
Off to a slow start, but I'm very confident the results will improve. Trust the system, and you'll profit. Positive Units Guaranteed!
The picks have been graded and these records have been double checked. There are enough eyes on these picks that someone will let me know if the records aren't 100% accurate.
As a reminder, I'll do my best to post these picks ASAP, so you can get down on these at the exact odds. Critics will complain about the volume, but prop odds and selection vary widely from book to book. And the expected value between 1/2 point or 50 cents on the money line, for example, can be enormous. Identify which site picks best match your odds, and you'll be good to go. I could shop the odds and post fewer picks after the fact, but doing so does nothing for you, if you can't get those odds. I think many will come to appreciate receiving picks at odds that are available at the time of the post. Even if it means weeding through the high volume of other site picks.
If you don't have the bankroll to sustain this type of volume, then you can wait until I start posting Win Pct. and Expected Value, and cherry pick the best. Or you can use the PropSheet or Prop Calculator. Either way, there shouldn't be any excuses about these picks not being valuable or you not being able to mirror these results.
BOV - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Completions OVER 18 @ -125
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Completions Under 21 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Completions OVER 20 @ -125
BOV - 1:00 PM (KC) Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Under 1 @ -140
BOV - 1:00 PM (MIA) Ryan Tannehill Interceptions Under 1 @ -140
BOV - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Passing Yards OVER 210.5 @ -125
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Under 255.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 219.5 @ -125
BOV - 1:00 PM (MIA) Albert Wilson Receiving Yards Under 29.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (ATL) Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Under 29.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Bruce Ellington Receiving Yards Under 34.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards Under 90.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (IND) Eric Ebron Receiving Yards Under 37.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receiving Yards Under 34.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (PIT) Jesse James Receiving Yards Under 24.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Ryan Griffin Receiving Yards Under 27.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Terrelle Pryor Receiving Yards Under 24.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (MIA) Albert Wilson Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Bruce Ellington Receptions Under 3 @ -120
BOV - 1:00 PM (KC) Chris Conley Receptions Under 1.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receptions Under 2.5 @ +110
BOV - 1:00 PM (PIT) Jesse James Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Lamar Miller Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (IND) Ryan Grant Receptions Under 3.5 @ -120
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Ryan Griffin Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Terrelle Pryor Receptions Under 2 @ +105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Bilal Powell Rus and Rec Yards Under 65.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rus and Rec Yards Under 70.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Isaiah Crowell Rus and Rec Yards Under 69.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (WAS) Alex Smith Rushing Yards Under 16.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CAR) C.J. Anderson Rushing Yards Under 32.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Rushing Yards Under 46.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Under 57.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (HOU) Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Under 29.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (BUF) Josh Allen Rushing Yards Under 20.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (KC) Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Under 18.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards Under 30.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (LAC) Philip Rivers TD Passes Under 2 @ -120
BOV - 1:00 PM (PHI) Jay Ajayi Rushing Yards Under 69.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYG) Odell Beckham Receiving Yards Under 90.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (DAL) Terrance Williams Receiving Yards Under 22.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (DAL) Terrance Williams Receptions Under 2 @ +105
BOV - 8:20 PM (DAL) Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Under 22.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYG) Eli Manning TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -125
BOV - 4:05 PM (ARI) Christian Kirk Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:05 PM (DET) Kerryon Johnson Rus and Rec Yards Under 57.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:05 PM (DET) Theo Riddick Rus and Rec Yards Under 44.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (NE) Tom Brady TD Passes Under 2 @ -140
BOV - 4:25 PM (NE) James White Receptions Under 4.5 @ +110
BOV - 4:25 PM (NE) James White Rus and Rec Yards Under 58.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (JAC) Blake Bortles Rushing Yards Under 20.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (OAK) Derek Carr Interceptions Under 1 @ -140
BOV - 4:25 PM (OAK) Jalen Richard Rus and Rec Yards Under 32.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (OAK) Marshawn Lynch Rushing Yards Under 50.5 @ -115
FDS - 4:25 PM (NE) Rob Gronkowski Receiving Yards Under 84.5 @ -115
FDS - 4:25 PM (JAC) Blake Bortles Rushing Yards Under 23.5 @ -115
FDS - 8:20 PM (DAL) Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Under 21.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Completions OVER 18 @ -125
FDS - 1:00 PM (CAR) Torrey Smith Receiving Yards Under 33.5 @ -115
FDS - 1:00 PM (WAS) Alex Smith Rushing Yards Under 16.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (IND) Ryan Grant Receptions Under 3.5 @ -120
FDS - 1:00 PM (HOU) Lamar Miller Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (HOU) Ryan Griffin Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (KC) Chris Conley Receptions Under 1.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (PIT) Jesse James Receptions Under 2.5 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Completions OVER 19 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (LAC) Philip Rivers TD Passes Under 2 @ -115
SPB - 1:00 PM (CAR) Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Under 51.5 @ -115
FDS - 4:05 PM (ARI) Christian Kirk Receptions Under 2.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receiving Yards Under 34.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receptions Under 2.5 @ +110
FDS - 1:00 PM (WAS) Jordan Reed Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -105
FDS - 1:00 PM (CLE) Rashard Higgins Receiving Yards Under 31.5 @ -115
FDS - 1:00 PM (KC) Travis Kelce Receptions Under 5.5 @ -120
BKM - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Under 57.5 @ -115
BKM - 1:00 PM (TEN) Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Under 55.5 @ -115
BKM - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Isaiah Crowell Rushing Yards Under 47.5 @ -115
BOV - 1:00 PM (LAC) Mike Williams Receiving Yards Under 39.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (LAC) Tyrell Williams Receiving Yards Under 40.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (WAS) Jordan Reed Receiving Yards Under 45.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (WAS) Josh Doctson Receiving Yards Under 37.5 @ -105
BOV - 1:00 PM (WAS) Josh Doctson Receptions Under 2.5 @ +105
BOV - 1:00 PM (KC) Travis Kelce Receptions Under 5.5 @ -120
BOV - 1:00 PM (PHI) Jay Ajayi Rus and Rec Yards Under 80.5 @ -105
BOV - 4:25 PM (NE) James White Receiving Yards Under 37.5 @ +110
QTR - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Completions OVER 18.5 @ -145
QTR - 1:00 PM (CAR) Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Under 51.5 @ -120
QTR - 1:00 PM (MIA) Kenyan Drake Rushing Yards Under 58.5 @ -145
QTR - 1:00 PM (PIT) Jesse James Receiving Yards Under 26.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (LAC) Mike Williams Receiving Yards Under 42.5 @ -150
QTR - 1:00 PM (LAC) Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Under 21.5 @ +115
QTR - 1:00 PM (CAR) C.J. Anderson Rushing Yards Under 27.5 @ +105
QTR - 1:00 PM (BUF) Josh Allen Rushing Yards Under 21.5 @ -110
QTR - 1:00 PM (NYJ) Bilal Powell Rushing Yards Under 51.5 @ -140
QTR - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 210.5 @ -115
QTR - 1:00 PM (KC) Travis Kelce Receptions Under 5.5 @ -130
QTR - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Under 57.5 @ -155
EAG - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Completions OVER 19 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (WAS) Jordan Reed Receiving Yards Under 48.5 @ +100
EAG - 1:00 PM (LAC) Tyrell Williams Receiving Yards Under 42.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton Rushing Yards Under 46.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (CAR) Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Under 52.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (LAC) Philip Rivers TD Passes Under 2 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Completions OVER 20.5 @ +100
EAG - 1:00 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 223.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (NO) Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Under 77.5 @ -125
EAG - 1:00 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Under 58.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (PHI) Jay Ajayi Rushing Yards Under 69.5 @ -115
EAG - 1:00 PM (KC) Travis Kelce Receptions Under 5.5 @ -135
SPB - 1:00 PM (KC) Travis Kelce Receptions Under 5.5 @ -135
SPB - 1:00 PM (CAR) Cam Newton TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -155
FDS - 8:15 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -110
FDS - 8:15 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 48.5 @ -115
FDS - 8:15 PM (CHI) Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Under 22.5 @ -110
FDS - 8:15 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 25.5 @ -105
BLD - 8:15 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 46.5 @ -114
BLD - 8:15 PM (SEA) Chris Carson Rushing Yards Under 45.5 @ -114
BOV - 8:15 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receiving Yards Under 47.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:15 PM (CHI) Tarik Cohen Receiving Yards Under 27.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:15 PM (SEA) Brandon Marshall Receptions Under 4 @ -120
BOV - 8:15 PM (CHI) Mitchell Trubisky Rushing Yards Under 20.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:15 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Under 30.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:15 PM (SEA) Russell Wilson TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -115
Both W1 & W2 have been profitable, but not up to standards. Rest assure I'll do my best to optimize the system to improve things. If you trust the system, you'll profit, and you won't want to miss out when the system hits.
Note, the records above are for Week 2. Week 1 records can also be found on the thread. Transparency is paramount, so please note the site, the exact odd at the time of the pick, and the result. These records have been triple checked, so I'm confident they are accurate.
I still plan to post the Win Probability & Expected Value, but want additional time to ensure the forecasts are 100% accurate. It was widely overlooked, but this offseason had 18 offensive coordinator changes (last year 9), and can lead to a lot of uncertainty early in the season. I want to make sure the priors used for the model are optimal, before publishing the projected W% & EV values.
Still expect a high volume of picks. I understand critics will troll the volume, but they don't realize professional bettors play volume. Small edges in the markets can add up to ton over a period of time. If you're not able to sustain the volume, then you can use the PropSheet or Prop Calculator. Or just wait until I start published the pick probabilities and the pick expected ROI. Aside from that, I'm posting picks across a wide range of books. There is value in that versus posting picks and odds that the public can't get. Many people can appreciate that.
Apologies for not being more receptive with regards to questions. I may not have time to answer them or in time for it to be relevant. Best of luck to all!
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Sam Darnold Interceptions Under 1 @ +105
BOV - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 212.5 @ -125
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receiving Yards Under 22.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Terrelle Pryor Receiving Yards Under 34.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receptions Under 2 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rus and Rec Yards Under 79.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Isaiah Crowell Rus and Rec Yards Under 60.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rushing Yards Under 64.5 @ -105
BOV - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards Under 32.5 @ +115
BOV - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Sam Darnold TD Passes Under 1.5 @ -155
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Sam Darnold Interceptions Under 1 @ +105
FDS - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 209.5 @ -115
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receiving Yards Under 22.5 @ -105
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Terrelle Pryor Receiving Yards Under 40.5 @ -110
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Jermaine Kearse Receptions Under 2 @ -105
FDS - 8:20 PM (CLE) Carlos Hyde Rus and Rec Yards Under 74.5 @ -115
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Bilal Powell Rushing Yards Under 44.5 @ -115
FDS - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Isaiah Crowell Rushing Yards Under 46.5 @ -125
FDS - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards Under 30.5 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Passing Yards OVER 214.5 @ -110
SPB - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Terrelle Pryor Receiving Yards Under 36.5 @ -110
SPB - 8:20 PM (NYJ) Isaiah Crowell Rushing Yards Under 48.5 @ -115
SPB - 8:20 PM (CLE) Tyrod Taylor Rushing Yards Under 32.5 @ -100
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