[HappyKane]

One bet already placed at 5Dimes. Eagles +5 for $550. I will go light on the Eagles Moneyline on Sunday, game day. I will place another dime or two at the Treasure Island sportsbook, which is where i am staying for the weekend. But that may depend on how well i do at the blackjack table. Haha. If anyone is in Vegas for the weekend, just holler. Grab a drink and shoot the sh*t about sports and stuff. I have won the last 5 Super Bowls, maybe even more. I have won consecutive World Series, consecutive college football Championship games. What i am trying to say is... that my system is really good at picking out winners for "games of destiny". For football i run the algorithm (mojo ratings) for the all the players. For the Panthers/Broncos match-up i was able to identify a weakness in the Panthers O-Line. As expected, Denver's defense wreaked havoc on Carolina's offensive line and won easily. The two times i won with the Patriots, i guess, consider it being very lucky -- we're talking about the Malcolm Butler interception and the Patriots making a come-back being down 25 points. Lets go and take a look at the mojo ratings for this game. Scroll all the way down. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SCgoNGRdQZXcKn7sf_SdXDGJQR5OjMN79kMEvX9 VC6o/edit#gid=2543946 Even w/o my algorithm/ratings, it is obvious that this is not the best defense the Patriots have brought to a final game. Their pass defense is ranked 29th and their rush defense in the bottom 1/3. But as many yards they surrender through the air, the Patriots still rank 5th in points allowed. Eagles ranked 4th in points allowed; just as stingy. This is a dangerous Eagles receiving corps that the Patriots soft pass defense do not want to see. All four top receivers: Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor, Torrey Smith, Zac Ertz, have above average ratings for this particular match-up, according to my mojo ratings. Meanwhile, the only Patriots receiver with a good rating is Danny Amendola. Brandin Cooks, Rob Gronkowski, Chris Hogan, and Dwayne Allen, all have bad ratings. Now take a look at the defensive ratings. Eagles defense only have two bad ratings out of those 11 starters. The Patriots defense have 6 bad ratings. This is the weakness of the Patriots team that back-up QB Nick Foles can take advantage of with his potent receivers. Just watch and see. Keep in mind that the Eagles have the #1 ranked rush defense. I do not expect any of the Patriots RB's to do well, especially Dion Lewis & James White. The Patriots do not have someone like Fletcher Cox. For this game, he gets an optimal A++ rating. Watch him destroy that New England offensive line -- he will eat Shaq Mason and Cameron Fleming alive. Coaching advantage to Bill B., of course. Eight Super Bowls versus none. Expect the Patriots to be trailing at Halftime and expect adjustments. I think this game lands a score shy of the total. I do like the Under 48½ points and will wait until Sunday to decide if i want to add a play on the combined points. Fly Eagles! Fly!

[#deleteuber]

Why not split bet between first half and full game? It seems obvious Eagles aren't coming back if they fall behind early because it means Belichek needs to get outcoached, or Brady outplayed, or both.

You can get +130 for first half or first quarter. Plus, Patriots may defer if they win coin toss. So take first quarter +0.5 at -130 and enjoy the game for 3 quarters with your winnings safely in your account.

[MikeyPicks1]

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