Adding Chicago +3.5, 3 more units
In order to keep records with straight bets, I'll not count this either way, but I will be playing Chicago +160 tomorrow for a nickel.
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19-14-2
+13.8 units
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10-08-17 07:45 PM #141
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10-08-17 09:00 PM #142
Monday 10.9
(2u) Vikings -3.5
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10-10-17 07:12 PM #143
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Originally Posted by StackinGreen
20-15-2
+13.5 units
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10-11-17 10:03 PM #144
NFL Week 5: 5-5 (-10u) Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
NFL YTD: 21-22 (-23u)
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10-11-17 10:05 PM #145
Thur 10.12
(2u) Over Panthers/Eagles 45.5
(1u) Eagles +3.5
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10-12-17 04:08 PM #146
Week 6
Philadelphia/Carolina over 44, 7 units
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20-15-2
+13.5 units
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10-13-17 09:43 PM #147
Sun 10.15
(6u) Falcons -12.5
(2u) Under Ravens/Bears 39.5
(2u) Vikings +3
(1u) Under GB/Min 45.5
(4u) Over Saints/Lions 49.5
(2u) Saints -4
(1u) Jets*
(6u) Redskins -11
(6u) Broncos -11/-120
(4u) Under Jags/Rams 43Last edited by Tommy Karate; 10-14-17 at 09:39 PM.
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10-14-17 10:27 AM #148
New England -9, 6 units Originally Posted by StackinGreen
New Orleans -4, 4 units
Green Bay -3, 4 units
Baltimore -6.5, 3 units
Kansas City -4, 3 units
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10-14-17 10:36 AM #149
I like those two unders, TK. I'm on favorites for once, this week. I was tempted to go with the huge Washington and Atlanta lines, then decided against it. Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
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10-14-17 11:07 AM #150
Johnny Public this week eh? Guess you're thinking Vegas is due for a change-up...
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10-14-17 12:25 PM #151
Originally Posted by Ryermkd
Actually across the board though, the highest # bets is GB at around 70%. Very few truly lopsided public plays are in order, even though spreads are big, generally speaking. I consider 75% plus to be a major public play to strongly consider staying away from
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10-14-17 08:41 PM #152
shit - forgot josh norman is out; what do you guys think about the wash play?
i guess its not like theyre facing any elite stud wideout; garcon is good but not a game changing WR...
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10-14-17 09:31 PM #153
I leaned WAS early in the week, but money seems to be coming in on them...
Maybe I'm too skeptical but money flow is so key for betting the circus.
They should honestly crush them, I think SF has looked better than they really are.Points Awarded:
Tommy Karate gave Ryermkd 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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10-14-17 10:07 PM #154
My concern with laying a number w skins is how bad they tend to be in the red zone, settling for fgs a good way not to cover dd spread. Plus it has to be some concern missing top corner and a safety vs a team chucking up 44 passes a game their last 3... I think eventually skins will wear sf down as they should own time of possession but honestly think it looks like a 7-10 point win, could be more i came up w fairly high number of scoring drives for skins (like 6!!) I just made half of them fgs cause that pretty typical for them. They punch in one more td than I give them and they cover. Assuming my numbers right, lol.. gl
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10-14-17 10:45 PM #155
Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
(4u) Chargers +3.5
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10-15-17 08:56 AM #156
Why so confident with Atlanta? I was really liking Miami here. Also Redskins laying double digit numbers? Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
Last edited by RavensFan2k3; 10-15-17 at 09:10 AM.
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10-15-17 09:38 AM #157
atl off a loss, off a bye week to prepare vs jay cutler Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
wash started playing very well before their last loss in kc which was still a good effort vs a great team; week to prepare off a bye (another week for cousins and pryor to build chemistry); the west coast team at 1pm doesnt hurt either
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10-15-17 01:20 PM #158
Looking good so far. Great research and analysis. Cant wait for the pm plays
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10-15-17 02:03 PM #159
Good job guys, nice thread!!
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10-15-17 03:07 PM #160
Hope you stuck with your leans. Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3
forgive me if i dont reply with reasoning going forward - im like 5% ATS when i give some type of writeup
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10-15-17 03:21 PM #161
Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
(2u) Over LAC/Oak 48 Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
(2u) KC -3.5
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10-15-17 04:39 PM #162 Atl choke
Atlanta choke up too early 1st half, knew 2nd half would hunt them
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10-15-17 05:48 PM #163
find this true for my picks also....lately. Maybe its a cycle like the full moon or something. Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
Experimenting so far with this method, I do the writeup for myself, later give it to a friend and have them read it to me. If it makes me wanna take a dump while hearing it, I know its crap and go the other way. 70%+ so far keeping track.
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10-15-17 07:15 PM #164
I did, plus some others. Goodluck tonight Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
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10-15-17 08:47 PM #165
ha - nice system Originally Posted by hotcross
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10-15-17 08:50 PM #166
Monday 10.16
(4u) Over Colts/Titans 48
(2u) Colts +8
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10-18-17 10:48 PM #167
NFL Week 6: 9-8 (-12u) Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
NFL YTD: 30-30 (-35u)
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10-18-17 10:49 PM #168
Thur 10.19
(2u) KC -3
(1u) Under KC/Oak 47
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10-19-17 11:36 AM #169
Unders have been killing, why not. Oakland can't score, divisional. Sometimes both Ds give up more than you think possible, however. Hmmm
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10-19-17 12:24 PM #170
Who do you like tonight SG? TIA Originally Posted by StackinGreen
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10-21-17 02:25 PM #171
Week 7
Titans/Browns under 45.5, 5 units
Packers +4, 4 units
Vikings -5, 4 units
Bills -3 (-105), 5 units
Panthers/Bears over 40.5, 5 units
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22-19-2
+6.9 units
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10-21-17 08:52 PM #172
Sun 10.22
(2u) Titans -5.5
(2u) Jaguars -3
(2u) Bengals*
(4u) Vikings -4.5
(20u) Over Falcons/Patriots 56Last edited by Tommy Karate; 10-22-17 at 10:51 AM.
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10-22-17 02:06 PM #173
I'm loving that over tonight too, the height of it makes me think, yes, it is going 30-27, lol Originally Posted by Tommy Karate
I'm with you
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10-22-17 02:07 PM #174
Adding Originally Posted by StackinGreen
Cowboys/49ers under 48.5, 4 units
Falcons/Patriots over 56.5, 6 units
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10-22-17 08:50 PM #175
Falcons an absolute embarrassment. We're gonna need turnovers or special teams TDs in the 2H
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