1. 10-15-17 01:41 AM #106
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by shopbar picks View Post
    If KC doesn't blow them out will never bet another NFL game. The Steelers lost to the bad news Bears in Chicago. Unless they shoot up Ben with Maloxocam. No way this is close
    Dude you have been around long enough to know better than thinking how steelers played in previous weeks has any barrring on this week.
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  2. 10-15-17 04:32 AM #107
    Lucky1g
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    Banker-Exactly my thoughts. Seems that ESPECIALLY in pro football that if the matchup consists a team that has underperformed versus the team that is overpreforming (KC 5-0ats perfect against the #)***...I will take the “underperforming team. I believe vegas will always provide Better line value if you wager the dog. In this case, yeah it’s really hard to predict if we will see a continuation of the wheels falling off for Pitt OR they will regroup and take advantage of KC in a trap or look ahead to ultra important upcoming TNF divisional game vs oakland. If Pitt played like 7 point favorites last week and covered, today’s matchup would probably be offered at Pitt+ less than a FG..because of the shit show from Big Ben, we are getting extra line value and it’s all about finding value right?
    Last edited by Lucky1g; 10-15-17 at 04:38 AM.
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  3. 10-15-17 04:37 AM #108
    Lucky1g
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    This betting on the underperforming team concept certainly defines the word gambling. Of course I think KC is the better team with far greater potential this year. They have looked sharp! But Pitt should bounce back here. Week to week you have to pick your spots. Big Ben and Company just went into Arrowhead last January and proved this environment and 12th man in KC won’t intimidate them. Should see a vastly improved effort today from steelers. Best of luck
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  4. 10-15-17 05:02 AM #109
    2daBank
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    They have played one another several times the last handful of years, steelers defense has presented a challenge to kc in every game. Kc may be a little better than previous versions but it still the same offensive scheme and many of same players. I think both teams will have success on the ground, I don't think Ben will be able to sustain a lot of drives where he has to convert numerous 3rd downs but I do think there will be a few big plays to be had vs kc d as their secondary prone to the big play. To me the total feels a fg too high as I have this more in the 23-20 range. I'm on under and lean steelers but little worried how many cats in forumworld seem to be on pit.. gl lucky
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  5. 10-15-17 05:50 AM #110
    Grivas_Digeni
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    They have played one another several times the last handful of years, steelers defense has presented a challenge to kc in every game. Kc may be a little better than previous versions but it still the same offensive scheme and many of same players. I think both teams will have success on the ground, I don't think Ben will be able to sustain a lot of drives where he has to convert numerous 3rd downs but I do think there will be a few big plays to be had vs kc d as their secondary prone to the big play. To me the total feels a fg too high as I have this more in the 23-20 range. I'm on under and lean steelers but little worried how many cats in forumworld seem to be on pit.. gl lucky
    Don't these cats know that the Chiefs defensive backs know Big Ben will throw straight down the middle to his criss-crossing receivers?
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  6. 10-15-17 06:45 AM #111
    Lucky1g
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    I don’t mind laying the juice in this one. I think it will pay off

    Raiders ML (-170)
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  7. 10-15-17 08:10 AM #112
    Lucky1g
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    FWIW: Steelers 7-1 ATS with Big Ben in games following 20+pt loss
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  8. 10-15-17 09:44 AM #113
    Lucky1g
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    packers & vikings UNDER 45

    Vikings +3.5
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  9. 10-15-17 09:44 AM #114
    Lucky1g
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    Browns & Texans UNDER 47
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  10. 10-15-17 04:21 PM #115
    Lucky1g
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    2-1 early. Backdoored on the Houston Cleveland total. That sucked but I’ll take 2 outta 3.
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  11. 10-16-17 03:51 AM #116
    Lucky1g
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    Damn missed XP in Oakland...moving on 3-2 +1.2
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  12. 10-16-17 03:54 AM #117
    Lucky1g
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    updated season now

    23-12 66% +10.0 units
    top rated 2-1
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  13. 10-19-17 07:32 AM #118
    Lucky1g
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    Big play TNF. I have strong confidence in this one

    **top rated **Raiders ML+150
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  14. 10-19-17 07:36 AM #119
    Renegades
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    I think the ML is smart, they will either win SU or not cover the 3. its worth the +150 shot. going to have about 70% of the bets on KC


    GL
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  15. 10-19-17 12:55 PM #120
    Lucky1g
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    Add another unit to pointspr3ad. Largest football wager of se@son. Hope it goes the way I think it will go. Like I said I am very confident in this one. But my crystal ball isn’t always right! Goodluck all

    Raiders+3
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  16. 10-19-17 04:01 PM #121
    Israelnyjah
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    I'm also confident with the raiders! Goodluck to us!
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  17. 10-19-17 10:58 PM #122
    Lucky1g
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    How was that for a cliffhanger? Crazy finish, glad to be on the right side. I’ve been on the wrong side my fair share, I’ll take whatever breaks I can get. Tonight was a huge break. Big win keeps my nfl season going STRONG
    See you Sunday
    season now
    25-12 68% +14.0units
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  18. 10-19-17 11:00 PM #123
    Israelnyjah
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    Yea boi! Congrats!
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  19. 10-19-17 11:05 PM #124
    JayDr3am
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    wow 1g great call!
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  20. 10-19-17 11:09 PM #125
    Letsgovols22
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    Dilly Dilly!
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  21. 10-21-17 04:51 PM #126
    Ktown
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    keep up the great work lucky...ty for your awesome picks!
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  22. 10-22-17 03:48 AM #127
    Lucky1g
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    Lcked and loaded on these two. There will be additions closer to kickoff
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  23. 10-22-17 03:50 AM #128
    Lucky1g
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    Broncos Pk



    SNF
    Falcons ML+150
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  24. 10-22-17 05:59 AM #129
    BossPicks30
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    Lucky1g- the one guy I would check SBR the last 3 years to always see what plays you were on before betting. Respect your calls sir. Trying to understand your Denver pick. I've liked chargers all week as Denver got stomped by the giants whom chargers beat and they lost in Denver because of a timeout at the last second before a field goal. Rivers>Simien. Please explain your reasoning Boss
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  25. 10-22-17 11:09 AM #130
    Lucky1g
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    Boss game could go either way. I like Denver to bounce back today. For a lot of reasons. I will not explain my logic because if you like the chargers it’s easy to make a case for why chargers are the play..like I said, I feel good about my wagers when I post them, but I’m still looking for the crystal ball that spits out winners 100% of the time...until then I’ll settle for a win rate 55-60% or better
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  26. 10-22-17 11:09 AM #131
    Lucky1g
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    ​saints & packers OVER 45.5
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  27. 10-22-17 11:11 AM #132
    Lucky1g
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    Seahawks-3.5 (ev)

    Bengals+4
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  28. 10-22-17 11:55 AM #133
    chosen4th
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky1g View Post
    Seahawks-3.5 (ev)

    Bengals+4
    why has the seahawks giants line moved so much over the week
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  29. 10-22-17 04:28 PM #134
    Lucky1g
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    Chargers look like the right side halfway through..swing and a miss on that one looks like. Add:

    Falcons+3

    Falcons & Patriots UNDER 57***top rated***
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  30. 10-22-17 04:29 PM #135
    Lucky1g
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    MNF

    Redskins+4.5
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  31. 10-22-17 06:41 PM #136
    Israelnyjah
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky1g View Post
    Chargers look like the right side halfway through..swing and a miss on that one looks like. Add:

    Falcons+3

    Falcons & Patriots UNDER 57***top rated***
    Looking good! I'm liking the picks I'm with these too!
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  32. 10-23-17 04:12 AM #137
    momo2017
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    Thanks for the Top rated pick, helped me tonight. Keep it up!!
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  33. 10-23-17 08:02 AM #138
    Lucky1g
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    Tough day. Was just off..good news was 2 unit SNF total cashed easily. 2-5 -2.4 yesterday
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  34. 10-23-17 08:03 AM #139
    Lucky1g
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    Season now
    27-17 62% +11.6
    top rated 4-1
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  35. 10-23-17 08:06 AM #140
    Lucky1g
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    MNF upgrade (1unit pending on skins+4 adding another unit at new price of 4.5)

    **top rated**Redskins+4.5
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