[phil_abuster]

i was revisiting a thought ive had before,
how do favs fare in week 17?
many road teams have something extra to play for in week 17
but does that necessarily result in a win or ats??

i only looked back as far as the 2010 season
as i always consider the most recent stats to be
much more significant than way bygone yrs

so, over the past 6 yrs (2010-2015) - based on CLOSING line only

HOME favs: 36-33-1 ats

ROAD favs: 8-17-1 ats

the ROAD favs have failed cumulatively in week 17
in 5 of the last 6rs - ats

over these past 6 seasons they went 20-7 su however!

heres the specific breakdown (su in parenthesis)

2015 - 2-3 (2-3)
2014 - 2-1 (3-0)
2013 - 2-3 (4-1)
2012 - 0-3 (1-2)
2011 - 1-4 (4-1)
2010 - 1-3-1 (6-0)
source: vegasinsider/sbr

today, 7 teams r listed as ROAD favs (4 in meaningful games)

could b a totally useless stat. disregard as u wish.
but i havent been on this board since last yr and
wanted to contribute more than the common one sentence posts

[phil_abuster]

i was revisiting a thought ive had before,
how do favs fare in week 17?
many road teams have something extra to play for in week 17
but does that necessarily result in a win or ats??

i only looked back as far as the 2010 season
as i always consider the most recent stats to be
much more significant than way bygone yrs

so, over the past 6 yrs (2010-2015) - based on CLOSING line only

HOME favs: 36-33-1 ats

ROAD favs: 8-17-1 ats

the ROAD favs have failed cumulatively in week 17
in 5 of the last 6rs - ats

over these past 6 seasons they went 20-7 su however!

heres the specific breakdown (su in parenthesis)

2015 - 2-3 (2-3)
2014 - 2-1 (3-0)
2013 - 2-3 (4-1)
2012 - 0-3 (1-2)
2011 - 1-4 (4-1)
2010 - 1-3-1 (6-0)
source: vegasinsider/sbr

today, 7 teams r listed as ROAD favs (4 in meaningful games)

could b a totally useless stat. disregard as u wish.
but i havent been on this board since last yr and
wanted to contribute more than the common one sentence posts

in addition, as far as game totals go

the UNDERS went 45-34-1 ~57%

[phil_abuster]

live action bet after Patriots score to go up 7-0,
miami +11.5

[phil_abuster]

so w/ 2 of the 3 road favs failing to cover in the early games

week 17 ROAD favs: 9-19-1 ats past 6+ yrs