[phil_abuster]

11-5 last week
2-3 week before

thursday:
best team in the league, take to the road against a decent team playing at home.
adjusting the totals numbers from the cowboys sched i see a 27-23 win tonite.
adjusting the totals numbers from the vikings sched i see a 23-20 LOSS tonite.
my mean would yield cowboys 25 and vikings 21.5
so i am looking at the game totals, team totals and spread as a result.
cowboys likely to enter w/ a banged up front 7. their O will b fine though.
although one has to wonder when a poor performance will come. it always happens eventually.
until today they have faced 3 similar calibre opps on the road and won all 3 by scores of 4, 14, and 5 pts. if this holds, despite a limping front 7, then the cowboys cover -3 or possibly push.
the vikes meanwhile have not played at home vs any top rated opps. although they have played 3 winning teams recently and lost all 3 by a single posession.
will the cowboys -their O facing a strong defense, but their banged up D facing a clearly struggling viking O - continue their ATS run? theyve covered nearly every game! mind u that has to do w/ them surprising everyone early and often. last week their first ATS loss. maybe the lines r catching up now and they r no longer undervalued? tough to say
but i cant completely ignore my analysis of the likely point totals

dallas team total ovr 23.5

[phil_abuster]

0 -1 to start the week
11-5 last week

saints -6.5 __ lions have been fortunate as well as good; fortune runs out
packers -275 ML* __ they win here today, but LB corp decimated and cover is iffy
chiefs +5* __falcons could lose to a good team; chiefs make it close
chiefs TT ovr 22.5 __my stats say they score 22-27 pts here regardless if they lose
eagles +1.5 __better team by significant margin
eagles TT ovr 20* __my stats say they score 20-28 here

* best bets

good luck everyone

[phil_abuster]

probably a sh*t-split in my early bets

daaRaaaiduhs -3
giants +6.5

[phil_abuster]

split my gonch right down the middle thus far this weekend

2nite i see the colts and jets as an even match up.
and whenever i determine that i look to the homies if they r being undervalued less than the standard -3 homefield adv

jets -1-100

if u r also on the jets 2nite i sure hope U win!

[phil_abuster]

well ph_ck!
just 6 mins into the game and the jets already lost it,
against a mediocre squad missing key players,
and jets looking BAD doing it.
real bad!
is it too early to count out the hapless jets??
nope
will try and buy back my loss but the mline will b a killer

[phil_abuster]

2h colts TT ov 12.5
they should b up 31-3 at the half,
so i can see colts getting 2 TDs 2h, no?

[phil_abuster]

2h colts TT ov 12.5
they should b up 31-3 at the half,
so i can see colts getting 2 TDs 2h, no?

TD early 3Q!

so, colts have almost the whole 2half left to score just one more against the "keystone cops" and i will have effectively bought back my mistake bet on the jets

.....and lesson learned re: jets

[phil_abuster]

winner.
yay

meanwhile, just checked,
these hapless jets we r laughing at 2nite actually have 20 players on contract being paid more than $2 mill per season
this is why i enjoy the college games so much more. they r motivated to perform well since it means their future and their future isnt secured yet, like it is in the pros