1) Lugo has been a stud. 4-0 2.31 ERA last 6 starts.
2) Opposing pitcher Urena has allowed 12 earned runs in his last 5 innings pitched.
3) Mets bats have been smoking hot with the exception of the post JF game
4) Miami has to be emotionally tired at this point, and have nothing to play for
5) Mets lead wild card by 0.5 games, can not afford a loss tonight.
6) Marlins bullpen taxed
At essentially even money this is just to good to turn down. 1050 to win 1000 (-105)
Counter-argument: Line stinks, and when lines stink you are definitely rolling the dice. Unfortunately I just can't lay off of this one.