[caoutlaw]

I have been working on beating the oddsmaker and found out that they were smarter than me so I developed a formula to use them as factors. They are good at getting the totals to be close most of the time.

Anyway this is still in experimental process but it looks good so far. I think I have come up with an answer

This is for NFL
Ncaa is alot more difficult due to the talent differences between schools

Below is week 2 and 3 results

week 4 is listed but most totals are not settled yet so they will be posted closer to game time.

GL POSTING ONLY TO KEEP RECORDS

week 2



New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills
under
lose
Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions
over
lose
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
under
win
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
over
win
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
over
win
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
under
win
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins
over
win
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
over
lose
San Francisco 49ers @ Carolina Panthers
over
win
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona Cardinals
over
lose
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams
over
lose
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos
over
win
Atlanta Falcons @ Oakland Raiders
over
win
Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Diego Chargers
under
lose
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
under
win
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
under
push

9-6-1 ytd

week 3
14 w
3L

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
under
win
Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals
over
win
Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans
under
win
Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills
over
win
Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars
under
win
Cleveland Browns @ Miami Dolphins
over w
win

Washington Redskins @ New York Giants
over
win
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
over
win
Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers
over
lose
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks
over
win
Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
over
win
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles
over
lose
New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs
under
win
San Diego Chargers @ Indianapolis Colts
under
win
Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys
over
win
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints
over
win

23-9-1 ytd

week 4

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
over 44.5

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
tba

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins
over 45.5

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
tba

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets
tba

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
tba

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
tba

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
over 40

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens
tba

Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
tba

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
tba

New Orleans Saints @ San Diego Chargers
tba

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
over 43

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers
tba

New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
tba

[unde0087]

So is this based on closing numbers?

[caoutlaw]

Yes I tried it with opening and closing and closing seemed to be working better

[caoutlaw]

week 4

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
over 44.5
lose

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
under 48.5

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins
over 45.5

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
over 43.5

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets
under 41.5

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
tba

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
tba

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
over 40

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens
tba

Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
tba

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
under 46

New Orleans Saints @ San Diego Chargers
over 53.5

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
over 43

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers
over 47.5

New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
over 44

[caoutlaw]

week 4

Miami Dolphins @ Cincinnati Bengals
over 44.5
lose

Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars
under 48.5
lose

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Redskins
over 45.5
win

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots
over 43.5
lose

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets
under 41.5
lose

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons
under 48.5
lose

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears
no bet it is under at some places and over at others

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans
over 40
win

Oakland Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens
over 45
win

Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
over 43
lose

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
under 46
win

New Orleans Saints @ San Diego Chargers
over 53.5
win

Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
over 43
lose

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers
over 47.5
win
YTD 29-16-1
New York Giants @ Minnesota Vikings
over 44

[caoutlaw]

I have added a new defensive stat to the formula that I think will improve the results. It will be included in the next weeks picks.
This is still in experimental stages but I believe I am on the right tract

[vividjohn45]

Just so many wagers out each week. Gotta pass. Thanks though

[jjgold]

Good luck but you're not beating anybody as many many have tried forever

Lines move to quick now because of a line service and everybody just copies

[caoutlaw]

UPDATE WITH THE NEW SYSTEM

NBA

sac 103
orlando 99(-1.5)
202(199)
0+3
BET sac+1.5
Lose
Boston Celtics 104 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 108(-9.5)
212(208.5)
BET Bos + 9.5
Win 0+3.5

Denver Nuggets 107 @ Minnesota Timberwolves 102 (-3.5)
209 (209)
o-0
BET den +3.5
Win
Indiana Pacers 108(-2.5) @ Milwaukee Bucks 107
215(212.5)
U-2.5
Mil +1.5

Oklahoma City Thunder 108 @ Golden State Warriors 105 (-10.5)
213 (225.5)
BET U-225.5
Win BET ok +10.5
Lose
NFL

Atlanta Falcons 30(-3.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25
55(50.5)
0+4.5
ATL +1.5


Overall: 3 - 2, +1 units

[caoutlaw]

11/4

NBA

Atlanta Hawks 112 @ Washington Wizards 99(-2)
211 (209.5) 0-1.5
atl +11

Bet Atl +2

Charlotte Hornets(-6.5)106 @ Brooklyn Nets 101
(206) 207
Brk+1.5
NB

Miami Heat 100 @ Toronto Raptors (-7.5)102
(200)202
Mia +5.5

Bet Mia +7.5

New York Knicks 98 @ Chicago Bulls (-6.5) 110
(209.5) 208
Chi +5.5

Bet Chi -6.5

Phoenix Suns 105 @ New Orleans Pelicans (-3) 105
(212.5) 210
NB

Los Angeles Clippers (-6) 101 @ Memphis Grizzlies 94
(197) 195
NB

Portland Trail Blazers (-1.5) 109 @ Dallas Mavericks 107
(206) 216

Bet over 206

San Antonio Spurs(-4)99 @ Utah Jazz 96
(186) 195

Bet over 186


Golden State Warriors(-10.5) 112 @ Los Angeles Lakers 110
(226.5) 222
NB

[CamNewtonOutfit]

Hi sir, oddsmaker is a betting site? how are you incorporating the info? i created my own betting algo and score simulator which is working splendidly for the NFL, roughly, 33-6-2 in 3 weeks.

[sportsfan9698]

posts for NFL totals quit a few weeks back. Did your system crap out?

[Bostongambler]

As far as the NFL goes this year, does anyone have the totals %? Seems like more overs have been coming in.

[Harry N. Lloyd]

It's tough to make an NFL stop on defense without a flag coming flying in. Cam's gonna get some calls his way this week after his crybaby session with Lucifer Goodell. Play the OVER in the Carolina game. It's only 44-. Low.