1. #1
    Lucky1g
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    Lucky1's NFL 2016 thread

    A month away from real football but I might play a handful of preseason so I'll get this going now. Posted at sbr Regularly my action in both college and pros since 2013. Here's my NFL #'s:

    2015
    75-61 55% +13.6 units

    2014
    92-67 58% +18.3 units

    2013
    36-27 58% +6.3 units

    flat betting each play to win 1 unit. I will use top rated plays as 2 unit plays as I did last year. Those were a disappointing 14-11 56% but I'll look to improve on those selective bets this year.

    starting NCAA thread too in appropriate forum. Good luck this year guys

  2. #2
    McCarthyFam
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    Nice to see you back! Followed last year. Will be doing the same this year! Good Luck!

  3. #3
    oopfish
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    GL

  4. #4
    JayDr3am
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  5. #5
    Lucky1g
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    Couple I like tonight. First action of season.

    colts+2.5 even

    titans-2.5 -120


    ​good luck

  6. #6
    firekillex
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    any week 1 leans yet ??
    cheers to a good season

  7. #7
    Lucky1g
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    nailed em both. I like it. Back next time I see something I like....also, I've meant to do this in years past but never have. Will be tracking my ATS record if and when I play on games involving the bills which I will only do when I think its worth it(obviously)... I reside in western New York, home of buffalo bills training camp. They are my local team and I am a fan. I think I will do well with those picks

    NFL PRE-season now 2-0 +2.0units
    sides 2-0
    totals - -

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  8. #8
    firekillex
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    I like bills shot at +120 over Ravens week 1 barring any injuries
    gl this season

  9. #9
    AlCar G.
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    Lucky my friend; long time no speak. I hope you and your family have been doing well. Nice way to open up the season brother.

    Quick question; what do you think of Buffalo over 8 regular season wins? I really think this is going to be a great year for them and all my capping backs up the wager, but I figured there's no one better to ask than you when it comes to the Bills. Thanks in advance for your insight as always.

    FYI: I already hammered Oak. over 8.5 wins. This should be a huge breakout year for them (without getting into a long write up).

    Good luck to us all!!!!!

  10. #10
    Lucky1g
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    Hey man. Good to see u poking around. Looking forward to the season

    bills bet comes down to Tyrod staying healthy. I worry about him being injury prone. He's not built to withstand big hits. Small QB at Only 6'1 210lbs and will use his legs when things break down. He stays healthy bills will FINALLY end the longest playoff drought in NFL history. Thats also is a great angle to the bet on. The franchise is well overdue to make it to the playoffs. He misses any significant time recovering from misc injuries and we'll see more of the same problem that has always plagued the bills...terrible quarterbacking. EJ Manual has been another 1st Rd bust of a draft pick. Swing and a miss. I'm high on bills tho this year. I'd take OVER 8 wins.

  11. #11
    AlCar G.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky1g View Post
    Hey man. Good to see u poking around. Looking forward to the season

    bills bet comes down to Tyrod staying healthy. I worry about him being injury prone. He's not built to withstand big hits. Small QB at Only 6'1 210lbs and will use his legs when things break down. He stays healthy bills will FINALLY end the longest playoff drought in NFL history. Thats also is a great angle to the bet on. The franchise is well overdue to make it to the playoffs. He misses any significant time recovering from misc injuries and we'll see more of the same problem that has always plagued the bills...terrible quarterbacking. EJ Manual has been another 1st Rd bust of a draft pick. Swing and a miss. I'm high on bills tho this year. I'd take OVER 8 wins.
    As always Lucky thank you for taking the time to put some thought into it and giving an insightful response. Have a successful season my friend. I'm really busy with my business the last two years, but I'll try ad pop in from time to time to give you a hard time...Haha!!!

  12. #12
    Lucky1g
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    Tonight I like one

    Eagles & Steelers UNDER 38 -110


    Also lean Eagles but not betting the side, just total looks like the right wager here. good luck

  13. #13
    Letsgovols22
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    Nice job Lucky

  14. #14
    Lucky1g
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    Cool. Nailed another

    NFL PRE-season now 3-0 +3 units
    sides 2-0
    totals 1-0

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  15. #15
    KSmooth4U
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    Tailing... I was on Philly +3... Stared long and hard at the ML +120 but decided to take the points... Wish I would of caught your under bet in time... But either way GL and lets get it...

  16. #16
    Lucky1g
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    Taking another one tonight. Romos back, Dak looked real good last week yada yada...

    Dolphins+3

    Good luck
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  17. #17
    Penguin7
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    Dolphins down to a pk, nice bet. Wish I would have seen sooner

  18. #18
    AlCar G.
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    Good luck brother. I love the "games involving Bills" tracking....Haha!!! I usually do very well in football, but one thing is for sure; I'll never fade you on a call involving the Bills...lol.

  19. #19
    Lucky1g
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    Loser last night. Updated #'s

    NFL PRE-season now 3-1 75% +1.9 units
    sides 2-1
    totals 1-0

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

    passing tonight. Will have some week 3 action for sure and that'll wrap up preseason wagers for me. Will pass on Week 4 games and get ready for some real football

  20. #20
    Lucky1g
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    playing a total tonight

    Falcons & Dolphins UNDER 42.5

  21. #21
    Lucky1g
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    Playing 2 totals Friday night

    Panthers & Patriots UNDER 44.5

    Packers & 49ers OVER 46

  22. #22
    Lucky1g
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    Updated. 2 pending Friday night

    NFL PRE-season now 4-1 80% +2.9 units
    sides 2-1
    totals 2-0

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  23. #23
    Lucky1g
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    Split last night. Updated#'s

    NFL PRE-season now 5-2 71% +2.8 units
    sides 2-1
    totals 3-1

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  24. #24
    Lucky1g
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    Tonight's play

    Eagles+2.5


    ​goodluck

  25. #25
    Lucky1g
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    Nailed it. Updated#'s

    NFL PRE-season now 6-2 75% +3.8 units
    sides 3-1
    totals 3-1

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  26. #26
    Lucky1g
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    1 today I'm on.

    Jaguars-1.5


    Points Awarded:

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  27. #27
    mikmik
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    Boom, what a comeback. Thanks G

  28. #28
    Penguin7
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    hope things go this smooth regular season! nice work!

  29. #29
    Lucky1g
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    Nailed it again. That's it for preseason bets. Up almost 5 units and real season hasn't even started

    70% or better is just not realistic so I'll eventually drop off a bit but I think I'll have another fine season. I know what I'm doing unlike most posters on the forum. Hopefully my best season yet, maybe 60% for the year...that would be amazing. See u for week 1. Updated#'s


    NFL PRE-season now 7-2 78% +4.8units
    sides 4-1
    totals 3-1

    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)

    Games involving Bills 1-0

  30. #30
    KSmooth4U
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    Lets get it

  31. #31
    Lucky1g
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    Should I start regular season with a clean slate at 0 units or should I roll my preseason right into regular season overall #'s??? Hmmmmm. On another note, secured my limo ride and tickets to Buffalo Bills Home Opener in week 3. Pumped. Thursday night against the Jets. Should be epic. Be back with some week 1 action

  32. #32
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky1g View Post
    Should I start regular season with a clean slate at 0 units or should I roll my preseason right into regular season overall #'s??? Hmmmmm. On another note, secured my limo ride and tickets to Buffalo Bills Home Opener in week 3. Pumped. Thursday night against the Jets. Should be epic. Be back with some week 1 action
    Regular season a whole different animal. For tracking purposes I'd say start at 0 units and just cash those pre season winnings out, even playoff bets are seperate for me... Goodluck this season and have fun at bills week 3, I'm going later in the year to watch them vs Jaguars should be a good time went to a Dolphins/bills game last year always fun
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  33. #33
    Lucky1g
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    Ok template for the season is set. Ratings haven't changed. All plays are 1.1 to win 1 unless otherwise noted. Back in here with week 1 wagers

    PRESEASON 7-2 78% +4.8units

    sides 4-1
    totals 3-1
    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
    Buffalo bills games 1-0

    Regular Season --- 0units
    sides ---
    totals---
    ***top rated plays (2 units) ---
    "Circle the Wagon" plays
    (buffalo bills only) 1-0

  34. #34
    Lucky1g
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    I've been looking at this season opener and decided to pass. Leans are Denver and under but I'm just feeling too conflicted about what we'll actually see play out so my play is a no play. I like the week 1 card a lot. Will probably wait till game day to place wagers and post my action. Goodluck if you play tmrw night. Will feel great to have NFL back

  35. #35
    firekillex
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lucky1g View Post
    I've been looking at this season opener and decided to pass. Leans are Denver and under but I'm just feeling too conflicted about what we'll actually see play out so my play is a no play. I like the week 1 card a lot. Will probably wait till game day to place wagers and post my action. Goodluck if you play tmrw night. Will feel great to have NFL back
    Super tough game to gauge with Broncos getting a new qb then panthers coming with some rookie dbs as well this could be an ugly game I was leanin the under as well for a small play... I kinda like the panthers in this spot thinking cam would want some SB redemption but with kelvin still not 100% I'm not sure they'll be able to put enough points on the board unless sieman throws some terrible picks and gives them great field position for some gimme touchdowns.. Much better / easier games betting wise this weekend definitely agreed cya Sunday pal

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