Just seems like Tampa has more to play for with their young team. Winston's still trying to get better, they want to make sure Doug Martin gets the rushing title, Lovie Smith goes against his former team...the -3 is a compelling play, no? Not to mention that Cutler might be checked out of this season.
I'm not sure those trends matter at this point. Chicago's not the same team that was competing week in and week out. They've had some tough losses. Might be done.