1. #1
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,099
    Betpoints: 90288

    NFL In London this Sunday.......

    Game in England, first game this Sunday. Here we got Buffalo vs Jacksonvile with the total at 41.

    I'm telling you, these two teams will put on a show in London. It will not be a boring low scoring game. Also the weather will be clear and nice.

    There will be no Defense with tons of injuries in this game. I could go on but here is one of my total plays this weekend.

    BILLS vs JAGUARS

    OVER 41

  2. #2
    PUBABEAR1
    PUBABEAR1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-28-15
    Posts: 24
    Betpoints: 252

    What if bills pound the run game and play great defense and win 17-6. Maybe after all the crying from the bills defense Rex will unleash the blitzes. Did you see the bills titans a few weeks ago. Could be like that

  3. #3
    DiggityDaggityDo
    DiggityDaggityDo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-30-08
    Posts: 82,770
    Betpoints: 32174

    Do the teams take their own meals or do they have to eat the shitty UK food?

  4. #4
    JayDr3am
    Handi
    JayDr3am's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-06-14
    Posts: 18,259
    Betpoints: 8206

    bills -4 is a leg in my parlay. I think they beat down the jags

  5. #5
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Bills have the 2nd best defense in the league on paper.

    Stats always mean nothing this early in year

    Pimike caps based on stats he probably doesn't know any of the players on the bills d

    I'm sure the bills will put up 30 by themselves so don't worry.

    bortles should have some costly turnovers.

  6. #6
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Bills have the 2nd best defense in the league on paper.

    Stats always mean nothing this early in year

    Pimike caps based on stats he probably doesn't know any of the players on the bills d

    I'm sure the bills will put up 30 by themselves so don't worry.

    bortles should have some costly turnovers.
    Mike one of the most solid dudes round this joint, I guess it no surprise you think names on jerseys are more vital to capping a game than stats. seeing how pimike track record is light years better than yours it would serve you well to stop being a prisoner to jersey sales.

  7. #7
    recon1
    Yep
    recon1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-12
    Posts: 2,579
    Betpoints: 5637

    Take own food

  8. #8
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    Mike one of the most solid dudes round this joint, I guess it no surprise you think names on jerseys are more vital to capping a game than stats. seeing how pimike track record is light years better than yours it would serve you well to stop being a prisoner to jersey sales.
    Did I say anything to offend Pimike?

    No I did not

    I simply said he caps NFL on stats

    Talk about being a prisoner.....you're capping games using 6 games of data....If that's not being prisoner of moment not sure what is.

    terrible way to cap games in the nfl, where stats and rankings change drastically week to week

    Bills will be an elite defense. that's obvious

    you can't make too much out of these games

    it's all about matchups, not stats

    lions were worst offense in the league then went against (statistically) one of the best overall defenses in the bears and what happened? stafford had a career game.

    why?

    because matchups were all in lions favor on offense.

    anyone that knows a lick about football knew the bears defense wasn't anywhere near as good as their stats indicated.......

    prime example right there of why stats at this point in season mean nothing.

  9. #9
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    lmao.. i started stafford in dfs and went and grabbed him off waivers and started him in 2 leagues last week. whatever stats you looking at that calling bears one of the "best overall defenses" is incredibly flawed and just a guess considering who im speaking with very basic.. find some stats that have some actual merit, there never a large enough sample in a nfl season if you really wanna argue that but doesnt mean there arnt ways to draw logical conclusions and lines using certain stats and combining that with level of competition faced.

  10. #10
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    cmon goat, surely yo could have went and found a game that actually supports your goofy stance. as im positive i can find 20 where the team you deemed to be "better" based off jersey sales got beat easily..

  11. #11
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,099
    Betpoints: 90288

    Will post another play in the NFL thread.

  12. #12
    Martinr
    Martinr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-13
    Posts: 529
    Betpoints: 21

    I love this over play. First max bet of the year for me.
    Someone took all the value out of the Lions money line before I got on so this is it.
    gl

  13. #13
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by Martinr View Post
    I love this over play. First max bet of the year for me.
    Someone took all the value out of the Lions money line before I got on so this is it.
    gl
    how could you love the over

  14. #14
    BeanTownClown88
    BeanTownClown88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-08-13
    Posts: 1,961
    Betpoints: 4131

    This on tv?

  15. #15
    DwightShrute
    I don't believe you ... please continue
    DwightShrute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-09
    Posts: 97,227
    Betpoints: 8583

    good luck

    0/25/2015 @ 09:40 AM NFL Wembley Stadium - London
    [452] JACKSONVILLE +150

  16. #16
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by BeanTownClown88 View Post
    This on tv?
    no.. https://nflstream.yahoo.com/?&mktg=f...ball-sem-goog-

  17. #17
    imadegen
    imadegen's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-11
    Posts: 1,261
    Betpoints: 9093

    I'm not a believer in buffalo yet.

  18. #18
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    Drink beer. Eat breakfast only. English breakfast only edible meal. Then drink beer rest of day. Eat breakfast again. Maybe sprinkle in some tea in the afternoon.

  19. #19
    Scarface63
    Scarface63's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-09-14
    Posts: 260
    Betpoints: 1942

    This has got to be the most boring fukkin game of the year. Poor London fans.

  20. #20
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    They watch games that frequently end in 0-0 tie.

    I'm sure they are plenty entertained.

  21. #21
    leetreaper
    leetreaper's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-10
    Posts: 34,841
    Betpoints: 2140

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    They watch games that frequently end in 0-0 tie.

    I'm sure they are plenty entertained.

  22. #22
    BigOrange
    BigOrange's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-13-09
    Posts: 6,701
    Betpoints: 5369

    Manuel looks awful so far. Looks like a scared kid afraid to make a decision.

  23. #23
    rake922
    rake922's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-07
    Posts: 11,692
    Betpoints: 2105

    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrange View Post
    Manuel looks awful so far. Looks like a scared kid afraid to make a decision.
    Both offenses are bad. This bet is toast

  24. #24
    alamo
    Why R.E.M. and not The Go-Betweens
    alamo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 7,131
    Betpoints: 10890

    NFL needs to get rid of the holding rule. Every play could be seen as someone is holding...

  25. #25
    VegasPlayer
    VegasPlayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-27-09
    Posts: 3,676
    Betpoints: 6319

    Should have bet the over on 3rd and 10+

  26. #26
    Allure
    Allure's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-10
    Posts: 7,589
    Betpoints: 15121

    Mike how's your tout service going?

  27. #27
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8383

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    Both offenses are bad. This bet is toast
    Jax with 27 points in less than half a quarter! I'm sure they've never done that before and prob will never do it again. Nice timing for this bet.

  28. #28
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    Man U - Man City 0-0 @ '40. But both teams ALMOST scored a few times, lol

  29. #29
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,099
    Betpoints: 90288

    Easy money.

  30. #30
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,099
    Betpoints: 90288

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    Both offenses are bad. This bet is toast
    Thanks lol

  31. #31
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    Both offenses are bad. This bet is toast
    I dub thee King Midas

  32. #32
    pimike
    SPORTS IS MONEY
    pimike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 37,099
    Betpoints: 90288

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    They watch games that frequently end in 0-0 tie.

    I'm sure they are plenty entertained.
    Haha

    Good one

  33. #33
    Martinr
    Martinr's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-13
    Posts: 529
    Betpoints: 21

    Quote Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
    how could you love the over
    I just checked in and saw this reply. I find it hard to answer now because I'd be accused of after timing but this over play had value for a number of reasons, and I guess the op saw that too. What can I say? I saw the thread, it tied in with what I was thinking and I felt like adding a comment. It was a strong play for me.
    A couple of generic reasons:
    1. Totals in London have trended high scoring.
    2. 41.5? Anything can happen in a game that's predicted to stay low, and at 41.5 under bettors need too many things to go right. Predicted defensive games so often break apart.
    Add in some player match-ups and not a lot of motivation in places and the over's looking even better.
    It all added up to a good play to me.
    I like the Lions too today and they were also a strong play, but I'm not betting them now because I missed the value. I'll bet them live at a spread if they fall behind.

Top