Originally Posted by
2daBank
Originally Posted by
2daBank
atl ml +125 (2x).. simply put i just think atl is the better team here and as i mentioned last week the team i think that wins the nfc south. like expected the D was vastly improved with a competent coach and they have a shut down type corner that i think can limit odel's production. they also appear t have found a running gm with coleman to go along with a passing game that should never be in question with matty ice and julio. we cashed with nyg last week but that was more about dal incompetency to cover even in a gm they statistically dominated and would have lost if nyg was any kind of contender. gmen have no pass rush so despite having solid corners if julio has time to run his routes and ryan can sit back and wait there really no stopping them . the addition of the run gm means they can close out gms and against a gmen run d that will end up ranking rather poorly by seasons end id imagine i dont think that will be a problem here. wrong team favored imo so ill happily take plus anything they will give me..
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2 team 6 point teaser (2x)
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atl+8
bills+8
i think both these gms will be extremely competitive so think this play makes a ton of sense. actually lean to bills winning but feel really good playing it like this..
zona-2 -105 (1.5x).. if i told ya i understood this line at all id be lying, i honestly feel like im being set up after the way last week went and only reason this bet isnt for more. yes chi was competitive with gb but that mostly was due to forte rushing all over the pack soft ass d, lets be real that shit aint happening here. id say i worry about cutler making some big plays against a blitz crazy zona team and maybe he makes a few but alshon being questionable and certainly not 100% if he plays makes that less likely, and of course on the flip side there no question zona picks him at least once and probably twice with one of them at least setting up a score. palmer will torch this secondary for several big plays and a combo of cj2ypc/and the rookie will do plenty of work on the ground. im just gonna tell myself that books continue to sell this zona squad short as they did last week and bet this despite my concern of how wrong it feels... i lean over as well as i prob will in a lot of cards gms long as palmer is upright but think im just sticking with the side in what i think a 28-20 type gm.
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lambs/skins un 41 (1.5x).. i still dont know what the lambs offense is gonna look like, being i know fisher id expect a run 1st run often approach. if how skins played last week is any indicator they appear content doing the same and i wouldnt expect them to be nearly as successful as they were last week. id warn going nuts lining up to trust lambs just cause ive seen this story many many times, fisher teams as dogs against the top teams show up, fisher teams after a gm like that playing a gm they should win look flat and uninterested. maybe times are changing but i wouldnt be real quick to trust them in a gm i feel will end up being a serious stinker with 20 points winning. defensive/special teams scores the only real threat to this total but that can work both ways as turnovers can just as easily help keeps points off the board as put more on. 20-17 gun to head id say lambs.
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bungals-3 -125 (2x)..once again quite possibly the most complete team in the afc minus the qb who usually just fine in the reg season and especially at home. team is loaded with the return of efiert and marvin jones on offense and one of the best defensive tackles in the league in atkins.. dont get caught up in chargers comeback last week, instead realize that it likely they get down early again with the early start and bungals are far more equipped to drop the hammer on them with hill and gio punishing them in the run gm. on a nuetral id make cincy a 3 point fav and we talking about one of the best home cover teams in the league so i think it fair to say their home field is prob worth a little more than the standard 3. in other words this line feels really short to me, this line be better suited to be somewhere between 4.5 and 6 but thanks to names and the charger comeback getting the pub we get a bit of a softy fav here imo..
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det/minny un 44 (1x).. neither gm last year topped 30 combined points and while i could see a few more here this has makings of one of the quicker early gms to finish up mostly due to how minny plays with the dink and dunk passing and id imagine a study dose of the run gm. defensively zimmer teams make you work for your points so when det scores it not gonna be quickly. i see a lot of clock chewing drives ending in fgs and punts in a gm while i think may approach the total i have 40-43 and really dont think it gets higher than that.
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sd/cincy ov 47 (1x). not huge fan of side and total on same gm but i do think this worth a play as i dont expect sd to be able to chew up clock and i dont think they can contain bungals weapons from driving the field or punching it in when they get in the red zone as cincy has so many excellent options far as red zone threats go. i expect a cincy to jump out and get chargers out of their typical clock chewing bs which essentially how they play defense, once chargers cant play keep away their defense gets exposed and the offense clearly capable of putting up points when they have to let rivers wing it. i think cincy gets into the 30s and have no problem trusting sd to provide the rest in catch up mode.
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titans-1 2nd half .5x
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