I did a study of how teams did when they had <=41% of the public on them in the first three weeks of the season. I used covers percentages because they have no reason to falsify their data. I excluded Thursday and Monday night football.
Year wins losses
2014 15 8
2013 16 7
2012 15 8
2011 16 9
2010 14 11
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Total 76 43
Home favorites Home dogs Away favorites Away dogs Total
10-5 39-20 0-0 27-18 76-43
week wins losses
1 23 14
2 25 14
3 28 15
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Total 76 43
Consider zigging when everyone else is zagging. Good luck.