1. #1
    stevenash
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    Patriots at Colts: Discuss

    Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

    So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

    Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
    Colts seconday is not that good.

    Early lean to New England you would think

  2. #2
    mcdonae101
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    patriots for me

  3. #3
    BIGDAY
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    Flip a coin,

  4. #4
    boomer62
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

    So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

    Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
    Colts seconday is not that good.

    Early lean to New England you would think
    The line should be Indy -4/4.5 I believe they opened -2.5 because the sharps will come in and take the Pats. I lean to NE also, besides Bear likes the Colts and gave his analysis which makes me like NE even more after reading it.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: dfish

  5. #5
    Ted Sheckler
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    Coin has been flipped, landed on Indy ML parlayed with Lions ML and Fed this morning.

    New England has looked good lately. Will likely hedge out if available.

  6. #6
    dfish
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    Yep,let the players move the line
    Giving the edge to NE offense
    Probs on the over with everyone else

  7. #7
    Big Bear
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    colts

  8. #8
    klemopixx
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    Brady getting points is always a good bet in my opinion but in a way I see this as a red flag. Any time I see a line I don't understand, I'll read up on it till something convinces me it's right. Otherwise I'm staying away from this one.

  9. #9
    lakerboy
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    Colts all day. Bad spot for ne. Revenge game for indy.

  10. #10
    Vinnie Paz
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Colts all day. Bad spot for ne. Revenge game for indy.
    yeah this is basically my angle too. Really wish ne wasn't off a bye as well but whatever . I like colts here. This isn't an Xs and Os play where colts have all kinds of mismatches. Just kinda like em in this spot.

  11. #11
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    yeah this is basically my angle too. Really wish ne wasn't off a bye as well but whatever . I like colts here. This isn't an Xs and Os play where colts have all kinds of mismatches. Just kinda like em in this spot.
    yeah on paper the Patriots obviously have the better secondary and pass rush but Luck is pretty special at home.

    This might be the last time the Patriots lose all season.

  12. #12
    jjgold
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    guys over is real easy

    why make it complicated

  13. #13
    stevek173
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    coin flip and great game to watch

    if you bet it you're lost

  14. #14
    lukey016
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    I'll take the Pats here

  15. #15
    Broncos
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    Pats and the over (good call coach).

  16. #16
    BeanTownClown88
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    Brady is just too good to not post crazy numbers vs a team that cant cover gronk..Brady is better in Indy than Luck is

  17. #17
    WinningSince86
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    Over

    Both teams reach in 30 pts.

  18. #18
    yankees10
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    Ne due for a loss !!

  19. #19
    Jeffie
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    Not betting on this game, but its gonna come down to who gets all the calls in the 4th qrt.
    Pats will probably win it by a field goal.

  20. #20
    pavyracer
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    Nothing to discuss for me. I'd wait until lakerboy picks a side and then bet the other team.

  21. #21
    jjgold
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    Lol..good one Stavros

    It will be the week of the overs in NFL

  22. #22
    Barnes & Whine
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    All the Pats love is making me think Indy is the play.

  23. #23
    GunShard
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    Over.

  24. #24
    sneakerhead
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    Bellicheck isnt going to let Luck throw for 300 yards. I think they will try to run it and use as much clock as they can to keep it away from Luck. Thats just a lean but who knows, im not gonna play the under

  25. #25
    Seaweed
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    Only suckers bet this game

    Real money to be made elsewhere

  26. #26
    SmittyZ28
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    Brady has a 106.42 passer rating all time in domes, Pats +points 2-0 this year. Personally, and I am biased, you are crazy to not bet the pats at +3 or above. I am a huge Colts fan, been cashing tickets on them since last year but Brady and Bill +points is basically the unicorn of the NFL and should be bet every time it is available, especially if you get a key number like 3/3.5

    Great leg for a teaser as well.

    Good luck, can't wait to watch this game

  27. #27
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by SmittyZ28 View Post
    Brady has a 106.42 passer rating all time in domes, Pats +points 2-0 this year. Personally, and I am biased, you are crazy to not bet the pats at +3 or above. I am a huge Colts fan, been cashing tickets on them since last year but Brady and Bill +points is basically the unicorn of the NFL and should be bet every time it is available, especially if you get a key number like 3/3.5

    Great leg for a teaser as well.

    Good luck, can't wait to watch this game
    I would disagree, the line moving to 3 is not a good sign.

  28. #28
    Fred The Hammer
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    I live in Indy and the Colts D is completely different at home with the crowd noise. Both teams have good corners and I'm sure Belechik will make sure NE has help over the top to contain TY Hilton. On the other side NE doesn't have alot of deep speed so you might see both teams with long time consuming drives. The Colts get LeRon Landry back so maybe he could body slam Gronk with those guns? It should be a great game but I don't see it as a great betting game. Even if NE jumps on top its not like Luck hasn't made comebacks before. Prob the best 2 kickers in the NFL as well

  29. #29
    Smoke
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    Everyone likes the over so game will go under now

  30. #30
    odog11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I live in Indy and the Colts D is completely different at home with the crowd noise. Both teams have good corners and I'm sure Belechik will make sure NE has help over the top to contain TY Hilton. On the other side NE doesn't have alot of deep speed so you might see both teams with long time consuming drives. The Colts get LeRon Landry back so maybe he could body slam Gronk with those guns? It should be a great game but I don't see it as a great betting game. Even if NE jumps on top its not like Luck hasn't made comebacks before. Prob the best 2 kickers in the NFL as well
    Agree Colts D much better at home and Pats could struggle in protection here. That being said I am in for plus money, Pats are playing well and coming off a bye. Patriots ML +135.

  31. #31
    Scottish
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    Pats by 10. Turnovers will be the diff here Colts secondary can't stop the TE or slot and can't get pressure without blitzing. Luck is great but liable for a pick or two vs Pats opportunistic defense and you're getting a fg now.

  32. #32
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Barnes & Whine View Post
    All the Pats love is making me think Indy is the play.

  33. #33
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Bear likes Indy so Pats is a must play

  34. #34
    unusialsusp5
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    pats 0-5-1 last 6 years after bye week. does it mean that they are due or is this a trend that will continue. pats get caught napping in this one. give... over/under way too high. tread carefully on that. do not tease that total down to 51.5. game will progress with a unusual lack of scoring. field goal city. brady took long vacation with that shrew (but hot) wife of his down in some south america beach resort. he didn't want to go but she insisted. she runs the show in that family. bill will say in his post game press conference we were outplayed on offense, defense, special teams and coaching, which of course he says after every loss. that record after the bye week is against the spread, which is all that really matters.

  35. #35
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Line is 2.5, a bookmaker once told me if you see an opener at 2.5, we aren't sure where to set it, let the people bet it up or down (or something to that effect)

    So, if Lucas Oil is worth 3.5 points, are the Colts 1 point better than NE on a neutral field?

    Patriots secondary is good, are they good enough to stop Chuck and Luck?
    Colts seconday is not that good.

    Early lean to New England you would think
    Bet the OVER.

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